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Jena vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 104-72
17-21 23-19 34-19 30-13
Position#1
Record23-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game73.8
Jena 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#13
Record8-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game89.0
GermanyPro ARound 26· Sparkassen-Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jena v Bayreuth
07 Mar 2025
JEN104
BAR72
27 Oct 2023
JEN68
BAR85
16 Mar 2019
JEN89
BAR96
16 Mar 2018
JEN107
BAR90
09 Oct 2016
JEN76
BAR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dresden
#11
W
101-78
101
78
+23
H03/01
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
103-48
103
48
+55
H05/01
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
112-84
112
84
+28
A12/01
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H19/01
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
W
99-73
99
73
+26
A25/01
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
106-68
106
68
+38
H01/02
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A07/02
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H09/02
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H15/02
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A01/03
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
23-23
27-15
21-25
24-11
32-13
23-14
24-10
35-27
21-18
32-15
24-24
27-18
21-28
26-16
21-23
22-15
17-27
29-15
31-16
34-12
28-20
22-30
22-6
20-23
28-15
21-19
25-27
26-22
29-7
20-19
19-14
20-29
23-11
16-14
19-16
31-21
31-18
16-29
14-13
170.7Avg total
97.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)91.273.8165.0+17.492%
Season at home (13)91.871.9163.8+19.992%
Season away (12)90.475.8166.2+14.692%
Last 10 (10)97.473.3170.7+24.1100%
Last 5 (5)92.873.0165.8+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)72.681.6154.2-9.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)91.473.1164.5+18.396%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koblenz
#17
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H03/01
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A05/01
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
73-98
73
98
-25
A11/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
L
84-100
84
100
-16
H18/01
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
95-93
95
93
+2
A22/01
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H01/02
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A07/02
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
109-112 OT
109
112
-3
A09/02
Pro A
Munster
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H15/02
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H01/03
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
20-24
21-14
26-23
12-20
18-22
18-18
20-20
22-18
24-33
14-21
13-26
18-33
36-25
14-19
16-23
27-22
23-21
24-27
21-23
25-25
21-20
17-14
20-18
23-25
13-30
20-9
17-20
27-20
25-29
18-25
28-24
20-14
14-35
24-18
22-19
12-22
22-11
22-17
15-17
169.7Avg total
82.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.389.0172.3-5.732%
Season at home (13)84.388.5172.8-4.231%
Season away (12)82.289.5171.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)82.387.4169.7-5.140%
Last 5 (5)83.285.2168.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.488.5165.9-11.120%
vs Similar (11)86.390.5176.8-4.327%
vs Weaker (4)89.081.8170.8+7.2100%
This opponent (Jena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
JenaBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dresden
#11
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/01
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H05/01
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A12/01
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H19/01
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A25/01
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
62-32
62
32
+30
H01/02
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A07/02
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H09/02
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H15/02
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
62-39
62
39
+23
A01/03
Pro A
89.5Avg total
52.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.883.0+5.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.638.183.7+7.662%-
Last 30 away (14)42.639.682.1+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)52.237.389.5+14.990%-
Last 5 (5)54.035.689.6+18.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)39.841.881.6-2.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.838.083.8+7.862%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koblenz
#17
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H03/01
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A05/01
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A11/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H18/01
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A22/01
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H01/02
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A07/02
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A09/02
Pro A
Munster
#10
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H15/02
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H01/03
Pro A
88.7Avg total
42.2Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.944.286.1-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.944.286.1-2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)41.844.286.0-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.246.588.7-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.286.6-5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.345.384.6-6.127%-
vs Similar (11)44.243.888.0+0.464%-
vs Weaker (4)45.241.086.2+4.250%-
This opponent (Jena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.0
51.5%
-34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.08.0
23.5%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
-12.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.016.0
53.3%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.3
37.9%
-33.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
-14.1
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jena
WWWWWWWWWW
Bayreuth
WLLLWWLLLW
#1
League position
#13
-10.7
Net rating
-19.5
93.2
Offensive rating
112.0
103.9
Defensive rating
131.5
43.3%
Effective FG%
55.1%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
61.8%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.6%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
23.5%
3-point %
37.9%
60.0%
Assist %
59.0%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Jena   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jena wins
6
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Bayreuth v Jena74-90
07/02/24Bayreuth v Jena86-83
27/10/23Jena v Bayreuth68-85
16/03/19Jena v Bayreuth89-96
01/03/19Bayreuth v Jena103-78
16/03/18Jena v Bayreuth107-90
15/10/17Bayreuth v Jena75-88
04/03/17Bayreuth v Jena92-84
09/10/16Jena v Bayreuth76-79
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AMunster92-81
15/02/25HDusseldorf78-70
09/02/25HNurnberger94-62
07/02/25ACrailsheim Merlins94-84
01/02/25HPS Karlsruhe106-68
25/01/25ATubingen99-73
19/01/25HArtland95-85
12/01/25AVechta 2112-84
05/01/25HKoblenz103-48
03/01/25HDresden101-78
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HBremerhaven71-67
15/02/25HMunster80-86
09/02/25ABochum109-112 OT
07/02/25APhoenix Hagen73-84
01/02/25HArtland83-77
22/01/25AKoblenz95-93
18/01/25HKirchheim84-100
11/01/25ATrier73-98
05/01/25APS Karlsruhe68-80
03/01/25HKoblenz87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game91.291.890.4
Allowed / game73.871.975.8
Point differential+17.4+19.9+14.6
Avg total165.0163.8166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%62%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW32%
HomeWLWLW31%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %32%31%33%
Points / game83.384.382.2
Allowed / game89.088.589.5
Point differential-5.7-4.2-7.3
Avg total172.3172.8171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)20% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena2523292%91.273.8+17.4
2 Trier2519676%92.480.9+11.4
3 Giessen2517868%86.276.1+10.0
4 Crailsheim Merlins2517868%89.279.5+9.7
5 Bremerhaven25151060%80.876.9+3.9
6 Munster25151060%84.481.7+2.8
7 Tubingen25151060%77.778.0-0.3
8 Bochum25151060%82.483.4-1.0
9 Phoenix Hagen25141156%82.379.8+2.4
10 Kirchheim25141156%82.081.6+0.5
11 Dresden25131252%85.385.7-0.4
12 PS Karlsruhe2591636%77.283.0-5.8
13 Bayreuth2581732%83.389.0-5.7
14 Nurnberger2581732%73.980.0-6.1
15 Koblenz2571828%74.084.8-10.7
16 Artland2561924%79.585.2-5.7
17 Dusseldorf2561924%77.585.7-8.2
18 Vechta 22542116%77.191.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jena17233430104
Bayreuth2119191372
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