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Trier vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 98-73
18-22 33-24 21-14 26-13
Position#2
Record13-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game79.2
Trier 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#13
Record5-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game88.7
GermanyPro ARound 18· Arena Trier
Other2024-25
Meetings · Trier v Bayreuth
11 Jan 2025
TRI98
BAR73
29 Oct 2023
TRI96
BAR88
15 Nov 2014
TRI78
BAR75
03 Jan 2014
TRI79
BAR71
16 Dec 2012
TRI72
BAR65
29 Oct 2011
TRI68
BAR62
12 Nov 2010
TRI61
BAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrierGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dresden
#11
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A10/11
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H17/11
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
W
114-102
114
102
+12
A27/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H30/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A07/12
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
98-77
98
77
+21
H15/12
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
102-73
102
73
+29
A21/12
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H29/12
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A03/01
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
112-69
112
69
+43
H05/01
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
19-22
20-22
22-18
21-14
25-25
24-17
22-14
27-18
35-25
25-28
27-31
23-22
19-14
26-24
19-19
19-19
30-24
18-12
24-23
32-23
21-17
22-19
23-18
29-12
29-16
28-28
16-17
25-24
33-17
21-22
20-29
24-30
22-17
28-20
19-18
27-24
26-14
28-21
31-10
178.4Avg total
97.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)92.179.2171.2+12.976%
Season at home (9)86.776.8163.4+9.967%
Season away (8)98.181.9180.0+16.288%
Last 10 (10)97.081.4178.4+15.690%
Last 5 (5)100.879.2180.0+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)102.593.5196.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.577.0164.5+10.670%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dresden
#11
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H08/11
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
98-102
98
102
-4
H10/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
W
93-74
93
74
+19
A16/11
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H01/12
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H07/12
Pro A
Munster
#10
L
62-92
62
92
-30
A14/12
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
H21/12
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A29/12
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H03/01
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A05/01
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-16
22-16
16-24
19-21
33-27
20-31
26-23
9-8
26-18
31-26
27-22
23-18
29-25
15-13
19-16
19-19
24-30
12-18
23-24
20-23
12-14
14-26
16-29
16-16
21-21
21-24
21-18
23-10
20-22
10-19
16-20
20-16
20-24
21-14
26-23
12-20
18-22
18-18
20-20
165.4Avg total
81.5Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.288.7171.9-5.529%
Season at home (9)86.491.2177.7-4.822%
Season away (8)79.585.9165.4-6.438%
Last 10 (10)81.583.9165.4-2.430%
Last 5 (5)77.885.6163.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.987.8163.6-11.921%
vs Similar (13)85.294.1179.3-8.823%
vs Weaker (3)87.078.0165.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
TrierBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dresden
#11
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A10/11
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/11
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A27/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H30/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A07/12
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/12
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
58-28
58
28
+30
A21/12
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H29/12
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/01
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H05/01
Pro A
91.1Avg total
50.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.239.084.2+6.277%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.637.982.6+6.782%-
Last 30 away (13)45.940.586.4+5.569%-
Last 10 (10)50.740.491.1+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)53.638.892.4+14.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)49.045.594.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.338.884.1+6.578%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dresden
#11
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/11
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H10/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A16/11
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H01/12
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H07/12
Pro A
Munster
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/12
Pro A
Bochum
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H21/12
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A29/12
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H03/01
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A05/01
Pro A
78.3Avg total
39.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.883.8-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.142.984.1-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)38.944.783.5-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.678.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.674.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.842.980.6-5.129%-
vs Similar (13)41.545.687.2-4.138%-
vs Weaker (3)43.740.384.0+3.333%-
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trier: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers7.016.0
228.6%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.0
25.0%
-21.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
-11.0
They take 35.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 80% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.016.0
53.3%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.3
37.9%
-33.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
-14.1
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trier
WWWWWWWWWL
Bayreuth
LWLLLLWWLL
#2
League position
#13
-8.3
Net rating
-19.5
133.6
Offensive rating
112.0
141.9
Defensive rating
131.5
75.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
60.2%
Opp. effective FG%
61.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.33
25.0%
3-point %
37.9%
43.5%
Assist %
59.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Trier   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trier wins
4
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Bayreuth v Trier78-91
23/03/24Bayreuth v Trier76-99
29/10/23Trier v Bayreuth96-88 OT
06/04/15Bayreuth v Trier96-82
15/11/14Trier v Bayreuth78-75
27/04/14Bayreuth v Trier80-61
03/01/14Trier v Bayreuth79-71
02/03/13Bayreuth v Trier75-71
16/12/12Trier v Bayreuth72-65
10/03/12Bayreuth v Trier68-49
Trierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HBochum112-69
03/01/25AKirchheim93-85
29/12/24HDusseldorf99-92
21/12/24APS Karlsruhe102-73
15/12/24HArtland98-77
07/12/24ABayreuth91-78
30/11/24HGiessen87-79
27/11/24ACrailsheim Merlins114-102
17/11/24HMunster92-70
10/11/24ADresden82-89
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25APS Karlsruhe68-80
03/01/25HKoblenz87-77
29/12/24ABremerhaven69-71
21/12/24HBochum103-108 OT
14/12/24AMunster62-92
07/12/24HTrier78-91
01/12/24HNurnberger86-72
16/11/24AKirchheim93-74
10/11/24HTubingen98-102
08/11/24HDresden71-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trier
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%67%88%
Points / game92.186.798.1
Allowed / game79.276.881.9
Point differential+12.9+9.9+16.2
Avg total171.2163.4180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%44%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLWLLW22%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%22%38%
Points / game83.286.479.5
Allowed / game88.791.285.9
Point differential-5.5-4.8-6.4
Avg total171.9177.7165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena1715288%88.872.8+15.9
2 Trier1713476%92.179.2+12.9
3 Bremerhaven1712571%83.176.2+6.9
4 Phoenix Hagen1712571%84.479.5+4.9
5 Crailsheim Merlins1812667%89.881.1+8.8
6 Munster1812667%86.481.2+5.2
7 Bochum1711665%82.180.7+1.4
8 Tubingen1711665%79.077.6+1.4
9 Giessen1811761%85.976.9+9.0
10 Kirchheim1810856%81.381.7-0.4
11 Dresden1771041%82.585.9-3.5
12 Koblenz1761135%72.684.2-11.6
13 Bayreuth1751229%83.288.7-5.5
14 PS Karlsruhe1751229%74.380.6-6.3
15 Nurnberger1741324%73.980.6-6.7
16 Artland1741324%78.685.5-6.8
17 Dusseldorf1741324%76.486.5-10.1
18 Vechta 2171166%77.794.4-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trier1833212698
Bayreuth2224141373
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