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Jena vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-87
17-15 23-22 22-26 27-24
Position#1
Record9-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game75.6
Jena 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#3
Record5-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game85.8
GermanyPro ARound 11· Sparkassen-Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jena v Crailsheim Merlins
01 Dec 2024
JEN89
CME87
10 May 2019
JEN88
CME91
16 Nov 2013
JEN92
CME78
24 Nov 2012
JEN101
CME93
03 Mar 2012
JEN93
CME98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A21/09
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H29/09
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
96-69
96
69
+27
no box
A05/10
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
no box
H13/10
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
A19/10
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
H26/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
H02/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
A08/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
H10/11
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
104-72
104
72
+32
no box
A16/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
11-24
24-16
25-17
18-24
24-22
18-20
21-9
22-19
27-16
25-18
22-16
18-24
19-27
21-18
29-14
28-18
17-22
21-18
24-16
16-19
32-17
22-29
15-26
11-17
19-21
33-16
16-11
22-21
12-15
25-15
22-23
26-20
19-25
19-16
23-16
30-11
17-14
30-27
27-20
163.0Avg total
87.4Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.475.6163.0+11.890%
Season at home (5)83.878.2162.0+5.680%
Season away (5)91.073.0164.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.475.6163.0+11.890%
Last 5 (5)87.275.8163.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)93.0101.0194.0-8.00%
vs Similar (10)75.980.0155.9-4.130%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.274.1159.2+11.183%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Nurnberger
#14
W
84-67
84
67
+17
no box
H28/09
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A05/10
Pro A
Alba Berlin
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
59avg 71
H13/10
German Cup
Munster
#10
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
A19/10
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
80-62
80
62
+18
no box
H26/10
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
no box
H02/11
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
100-66
100
66
+34
no box
A08/11
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A10/11
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H16/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
102-114
102
114
-12
no box
H27/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
25-18
22-17
19-12
23-18
18-22
30-19
23-26
26-17
17-11
19-22
12-25
29-26
14-35
26-19
22-23
16-20
26-13
20-14
18-15
21-23
24-16
14-21
19-20
30-15
22-19
22-17
26-15
24-24
16-22
17-11
20-27
27-19
17-24
17-23
26-28
18-27
25-35
28-25
31-27
169.7Avg total
86.7Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.985.8175.7+4.150%
Season at home (5)86.283.4169.6+2.840%
Season away (5)93.688.2181.8+5.460%
Last 10 (10)86.783.0169.7+3.740%
Last 5 (5)88.887.6176.4+1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)82.190.6172.7-8.527%
vs Similar (6)91.592.0183.5-0.533%
vs Weaker (8)87.481.8169.1+5.650%
This opponent (Jena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
JenaCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A21/09
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H29/09
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A05/10
Pro A
Munster
#10
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H13/10
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A19/10
Pro A
Trier
#2
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H26/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H02/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A08/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H10/11
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A16/11
Pro A
80.7Avg total
41.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.879.8+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.482.5+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.177.2-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.580.7+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.076.8+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.049.088.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (10)38.341.179.4-2.830%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.738.480.1+3.356%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nurnberger
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H28/09
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A05/10
Pro A
Alba Berlin
#10
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H13/10
German Cup
Munster
#10
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A19/10
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/10
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/11
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A08/11
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A10/11
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H16/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H27/11
Pro A
86.0Avg total
43.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.245.087.2-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.243.186.3+0.156%-
Last 30 away (14)41.147.288.3-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.486.0+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.889.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.245.185.3-4.927%-
vs Similar (6)43.550.093.5-6.550%-
vs Weaker (8)44.542.086.5+2.562%-
This opponent (Jena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.0
51.5%
-34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.08.0
23.5%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
-12.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.4
58.3%
-40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.6
32.4%
-28.8
🏀 Free throws18.414.3
77.7%
-14.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jena
WWWWLWWWWW
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLWLWLLWW
#1
League position
#3
-10.7
Net rating
-5.5
93.2
Offensive rating
106.6
103.9
Defensive rating
112.1
43.3%
Effective FG%
53.9%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
19.0%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
23.5%
3-point %
32.4%
60.0%
Assist %
58.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Jena   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jena wins
5
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24APS Karlsruhe104-72
10/11/24HKirchheim87-77
08/11/24AGiessen81-74
02/11/24HTubingen79-65
26/10/24HTrier85-91
19/10/24ABayreuth90-74
13/10/24HMunster87-83
05/10/24ADusseldorf96-69
29/09/24HBremerhaven81-75
21/09/24APhoenix Hagen84-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24HTrier102-114
16/11/24HBochum87-94
10/11/24APhoenix Hagen77-84
08/11/24ADusseldorf100-66
02/11/24HGiessen78-80
26/10/24HArtland80-62
19/10/24AMunster91-103
13/10/24HAlba Berlin74-75
05/10/24ABremerhaven94-85
28/09/24HNurnberger84-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW90%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%80%100%
Points / game87.483.891.0
Allowed / game75.678.273.0
Point differential+11.8+5.6+18.0
Avg total163.0162.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game89.986.293.6
Allowed / game85.883.488.2
Point differential+4.1+2.8+5.4
Avg total175.7169.6181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena109190%87.475.6+11.8
2 Tubingen108280%80.277.7+2.5
3 Bremerhaven118373%86.276.7+9.5
4 Munster118373%88.380.5+7.8
5 Bochum118373%83.275.9+7.3
6 Kirchheim118373%83.578.3+5.2
7 Trier117464%88.279.3+8.9
8 Giessen117464%84.776.1+8.6
9 Phoenix Hagen117464%82.978.4+4.5
10 Crailsheim Merlins105550%89.985.8+4.1
11 Koblenz104640%74.082.5-8.5
12 Artland114736%82.284.9-2.7
13 Dresden114736%80.387.3-7.0
14 Bayreuth103730%86.191.7-5.6
15 PS Karlsruhe113827%75.580.5-5.0
16 Nurnberger102820%72.982.2-9.3
17 Dusseldorf111109%74.089.4-15.4
18 Vechta 2110110%78.896.0-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jena1723222789
Crailsheim Merlins1522262487
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