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Jilin vs Liaoning Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game89.7
ChinaCBARound 9· Changchun Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jilin v Liaoning
14 Mar 2027
JILI v LIAO
upcoming
04 Dec 2026
JILI v LIAO
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
JILI82
LIAO75
04 Jan 2025
JILI81
LIAO102
18 Dec 2024
JILI114
LIAO102
05 Jan 2024
JILI112
LIAO104
16 Jan 2023
JILI88
LIAO116
06 Nov 2021
JILI89
LIAO117
06 Apr 2021
JILI97
LIAO109
04 Dec 2020
JILI91
LIAO112
15 Jul 2020
JILI118
LIAO125
05 Mar 2019
JILI120
LIAO113
17 Jan 2019
JILI150
LIAO153
02 Feb 2018
JILI99
LIAO114
04 Jan 2017
JILI113
LIAO109
15 Nov 2015
JILI100
LIAO119
07 Dec 2014
JILI85
LIAO87
10 Jan 2014
JILI109
LIAO113
25 Nov 2012
JILI84
LIAO103
18 Jan 2012
JILI98
LIAO91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jilin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Jilin
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.2
85.0▲ 2.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 89.4
82.6▼ 6.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
56%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.9
22.0▲ 4.1
🔥 Form · Liaoning
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.3
98.0▲ 10.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.4
90.8▲ 5.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
59%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.2
23.8▲ 3.6
JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H16/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H18/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
55-105
55
105
-50
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
21-22
20-22
14-20
9-20
23-22
13-26
30-25
13-26
14-25
18-21
20-12
8-27
13-34
25-23
9-21
25-16
21-21
12-18
24-29
22-24
20-24
26-22
20-21
21-18
28-21
29-20
11-24
20-24
22-23
19-22
21-12
18-29
23-21
27-15
17-11
22-19
22-26
16-18
21-19
162.9Avg total
76.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.582.8167.3+1.750%
Season at home (4)85.085.0170.0+0.025%
Season away (2)83.578.5162.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.886.1162.9-9.330%
Last 5 (5)85.082.6167.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.993.4173.2-13.529%
vs Similar (4)81.085.0166.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (5)92.283.4175.6+8.860%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
108-89
108
89
+19
A24/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A28/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
86-102
86
102
-16
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
95-84
95
84
+11
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#17
W
104-93
104
93
+11
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
107-91
107
91
+16
A30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
24-18
31-25
27-19
24-17
25-18
14-19
14-13
21-29
28-29
13-20
24-24
22-28
22-27
6-26
32-17
27-13
26-31
21-23
21-17
27-21
25-27
29-29
16-16
30-23
29-29
25-22
20-19
30-25
25-25
22-22
21-15
27-20
15-32
23-19
19-19
26-22
31-21
31-22
19-26
183.2Avg total
93.8Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.589.7187.2+7.883%
Season at home (2)101.090.0191.0+11.0100%
Season away (4)95.889.5185.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)93.889.4183.2+4.470%
Last 5 (5)98.090.8188.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.591.0168.5-13.50%
vs Similar (13)90.287.4177.6+2.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)97.686.9184.5+10.785%
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
JilinLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H16/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H18/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
21-61
21
61
-40
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#17
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H30/10
CBA
83.6Avg total
37.6Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.448.288.6-7.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.446.388.8-3.938%-
Last 30 away (14)38.150.388.4-12.121%-
Last 10 (10)37.646.083.6-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)43.645.889.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.049.088.0-10.133%-
vs Similar (4)42.045.087.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker (5)45.447.092.4-1.620%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A24/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A28/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#17
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A30/10
CBA
99.2Avg total
51.0Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.845.693.4+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.944.593.4+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)46.846.593.3+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)51.048.299.2+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)53.049.0102.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.045.588.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (13)47.545.292.6+2.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)49.646.095.6+3.669%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
53.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.7
31.2%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
74.8%13.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.7
55.4%
53.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
34.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
74.8%15.0
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jilin
LWWWLLLLLL
Liaoning
WLWWWWLLWW
#9
League position
#3
-12.7
Net rating
-0.1
90.3
Offensive rating
101.5
103.1
Defensive rating
101.6
48.8%
Effective FG%
53.6%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.2%
3-point %
33.8%
66.2%
Assist %
62.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 101.5Defence103.1 · 101.6Shooting48.8% · 53.6%3-point %31.2% · 33.8%Ball care13.9% · 13.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Jilin   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jilin wins
7
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
25/03/26Jilin v Liaoning82-75
04/01/26Liaoning v Jilin86-72
17/03/25Liaoning v Jilin136-99
09/03/25Liaoning v Jilin112-99
04/01/25Jilin v Liaoning81-102
18/12/24Jilin v Liaoning114-102
06/03/24Liaoning v Jilin119-97
05/01/24Jilin v Liaoning112-104
01/11/23Liaoning v Jilin106-76
16/01/23Jilin v Liaoning88-116
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HShenzhen81-82
26/10/26ANingbo Rockets85-76
24/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha82-81
22/10/26HXinjiang89-83
20/10/26HSichuan88-91
18/10/26HBeijing82-84
24/04/26ABeijing55-105
20/04/26ANingbo Rockets65-84
18/04/26HGuangzhou75-93
16/04/26HZhejiang Chouzhou66-82
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ANingbo Rockets107-91
27/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha84-90
25/10/26HXinjiang98-87
23/10/26HSichuan104-93
21/10/26AQingdao97-93
18/10/26AShandong95-84
03/05/26AShandong82-98
01/05/26HShandong86-102
28/04/26AShandong77-67
24/04/26AJiangsu Dragons108-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jilin
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%25%100%
Points / game84.585.083.5
Allowed / game82.885.078.5
Point differential+1.7+0.0+5.0
Avg total167.3170.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game97.5101.095.8
Allowed / game89.790.089.5
Point differential+7.8+11.0+6.2
Avg total187.2191.0185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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