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Jilin vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 75-93
9-20 23-22 13-26 30-25
Position#15
Record15-24
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Position#13
Record16-23
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game88.5
ChinaCBA· Changchun Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jilin v Guangzhou
01 Nov 2026
JILI v GUAN
upcoming
18 Apr 2026
JILI75
GUAN93
24 Mar 2025
JILI90
GUAN104
01 Nov 2024
JILI114
GUAN94
14 Mar 2024
JILI100
GUAN115
05 Apr 2023
JILI87
GUAN104
31 Oct 2021
JILI94
GUAN95
10 Apr 2021
JILI85
GUAN103
28 Oct 2020
JILI99
GUAN87
21 Jul 2020
JILI98
GUAN95
30 Jan 2019
JILI122
GUAN99
23 Dec 2018
JILI121
GUAN95
17 Dec 2017
JILI139
GUAN132
25 Dec 2016
JILI90
GUAN81
02 Dec 2015
JILI104
GUAN109
09 Jan 2015
JILI137
GUAN123
20 Nov 2013
JILI115
GUAN108
03 Feb 2013
JILI119
GUAN122
08 Jan 2012
JILI92
GUAN78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jilin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H25/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A27/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
86-111
86
111
-25
H29/03
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
89-110
89
110
-21
H31/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
104-84
104
84
+20
H03/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
72-111
72
111
-39
A05/04
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
103-84
103
84
+19
H07/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
84-117
84
117
-33
A10/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H13/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H16/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
25-20
22-15
17-24
12-29
21-12
19-17
20-20
15-34
28-24
24-31
19-22
23-26
20-30
21-27
25-27
20-23
25-23
31-20
28-18
20-22
13-36
17-26
22-27
28-21
27-25
23-15
25-23
22-31
19-25
24-35
19-26
25-26
19-27
19-27
18-18
11-18
21-22
20-22
14-20
178.9Avg total
83.9Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)83.290.1173.2-6.938%
Season at home (20)84.986.8171.8-1.960%
Season away (19)81.493.4174.8-12.116%
Last 10 (10)83.995.0178.9-11.130%
Last 5 (5)81.298.4179.6-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)80.992.5173.4-11.729%
vs Similar (3)78.782.7161.3-4.033%
vs Weaker (3)103.382.3185.7+21.0100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H26/03
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H28/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A30/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
88-89
88
89
-1
A01/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A03/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H06/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
94-103
94
103
-9
H08/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
95-81
95
81
+14
A11/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H13/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H15/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
23-19
20-26
20-23
27-23
22-16
21-17
23-21
21-22
21-22
17-22
11-21
28-28
23-22
22-19
15-20
22-32
27-16
18-22
22-27
21-22
21-32
21-18
18-16
14-25
33-34
18-24
29-20
24-23
17-17
25-26
29-15
19-23
20-15
24-12
17-17
22-21
23-25
26-23
18-21
173.6Avg total
86.7Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)87.288.5175.6-1.341%
Season at home (19)89.387.4176.7+1.847%
Season away (20)85.289.5174.7-4.235%
Last 10 (10)86.786.9173.6-0.230%
Last 5 (5)87.885.8173.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.993.1175.1-11.27%
vs Similar (12)89.886.4176.2+3.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)98.281.5179.8+16.8100%
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
JilinGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H25/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A27/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H29/03
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H31/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H03/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A05/04
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H07/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A10/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H13/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H16/04
CBA
90.2Avg total
41.2Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.348.289.5-6.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.147.389.4-5.238%-
Last 30 away (14)40.449.289.6-8.929%-
Last 10 (10)41.249.090.2-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)41.050.691.6-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)40.249.189.3-8.929%-
vs Similar (3)40.743.384.0-2.733%-
vs Weaker (3)50.746.096.7+4.767%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/03
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H28/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A01/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A03/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H06/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H08/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H13/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H15/04
CBA
91.2Avg total
45.3Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.889.8+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.343.489.6+2.965%-
Last 30 away (13)43.246.789.9-3.546%-
Last 10 (10)45.345.991.2-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.847.490.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)43.048.091.0-5.021%-
vs Similar (12)46.143.189.2+3.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.538.887.2+9.8100%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.9
54.1%
54.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.1
34.7%
35.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.116.8
79.6%
73.6%16.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.2
53.6%
54.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.7
37.3%
35.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.216.4
77.4%
73.6%16.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jilin
LLLWLWLLLW
Guangzhou
LWWLLLLLWL
#15
League position
#13
-11.2
Net rating
-1.1
98.3
Offensive rating
98.1
109.5
Defensive rating
99.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.6%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.7%
3-point %
37.3%
61.7%
Assist %
58.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 98.1Defence109.5 · 99.3Shooting53.3% · 54.6%3-point %34.7% · 37.3%Ball care15.7% · 15.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Jilin   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jilin wins
7
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
28/12/25Guangzhou v Jilin87-74
31/03/25Guangzhou v Jilin102-103
24/03/25Jilin v Guangzhou90-104
30/11/24Guangzhou v Jilin140-117
01/11/24Jilin v Guangzhou114-94
14/03/24Jilin v Guangzhou100-115
24/12/23Guangzhou v Jilin129-122
05/04/23Jilin v Guangzhou87-104
27/10/22Guangzhou v Jilin112-116 OT
12/11/21Guangzhou v Jilin107-104
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/26HZhejiang Chouzhou66-82
13/04/26HNanjing Tongxi81-98
10/04/26AGuangdong84-117
07/04/26HSichuan103-84
05/04/26AShanghai72-111
03/04/26HSichuan104-84
31/03/26HShanghai89-110
29/03/26HShenzhen86-111
27/03/26AJiangsu Dragons72-78
25/03/26HLiaoning82-75
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/26HShanghai89-90
13/04/26HJiangsu Dragons80-67
11/04/26ANanjing Tongxi95-81
08/04/26HBeijing94-103
06/04/26HZhejiang Guangsha81-88
03/04/26ABeijing89-97
01/04/26ABeijing Royal Fighters88-89
30/03/26AZhejiang Chouzhou70-87
28/03/26HLiaoning93-77
26/03/26HQingdao88-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jilin
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayLLLLL16%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %38%60%16%
Points / game83.284.981.4
Allowed / game90.186.893.4
Point differential-6.9-1.9-12.1
Avg total173.2171.8174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL41%
HomeWLLWL47%
AwayWLLLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %41%47%35%
Points / game87.289.385.2
Allowed / game88.587.489.5
Point differential-1.3+1.8-4.2
Avg total175.6176.7174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%32%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)33% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai4036490%100.083.5+16.4
2 Zhejiang Guangsha4031978%90.881.5+9.2
3 Shenzhen40291172%99.494.2+5.3
4 Guangdong39271269%94.788.6+6.2
5 Beijing40271368%90.182.9+7.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou39241562%87.381.8+5.5
7 Qingdao40241660%88.084.7+3.4
8 Shandong40231757%93.089.8+3.2
9 Liaoning39221756%86.383.9+2.4
10 Shanxi Zhongyu39201951%92.190.2+1.8
11 Ningbo Rockets40192148%85.785.0+0.7
12 Beijing Royal Fighters40182245%89.092.7-3.7
13 Guangzhou39162341%87.288.5-1.3
14 Fujian39152438%91.994.6-2.7
15 Jilin39152438%83.290.1-6.9
16 Nanjing Tongxi40142635%90.895.1-4.2
17 Xinjiang40132732%85.988.0-2.1
18 Tianjin40132732%93.596.8-3.2
19 Jiangsu Dragons39102926%81.190.6-9.5
20 Sichuan400400%72.4100.2-27.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jilin923133075
Guangzhou2022262593
← all games of the day
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