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JL Bourg vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 66-74
20-20 19-20 14-18 13-16
Position#12
Record8-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Brescia 🏆
Position#13
Record5-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeEurocupRound 13
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

JL Bourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JL BourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
90-91
90
91
-1
80avg 76
H21/12
Eurocup
Dijon
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
75avg 76
A23/12
LNB
Roanne
#11
L
100-102 OT
100
102
-2
no box
H27/12
LNB
Limoges
#15
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 76
A07/01
LNB
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 76
A11/01
Eurocup
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
W
69-68
69
68
+1
61avg 76
H14/01
LNB
Venezia
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
86avg 76
H17/01
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
69-73
69
73
-4
64avg 76
A21/01
LNB
Lietkabelis
#9
L
88-92
88
92
-4
84avg 76
A25/01
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 76
A29/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
18-18
19-20
30-27
19-23
17-18
26-28
21-21
20-14
25-23
18-30
27-23
30-16
9-12
8-21
21-27
17-14
21-21
20-18
30-26
26-14
14-10
16-24
13-20
24-24
19-14
17-19
26-22
13-19
13-19
23-18
20-17
18-16
13-24
16-32
41-20
23-28
26-15
15-29
16-17
166.0Avg total
82.1Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.983.8169.7+2.267%
Season at home (6)87.083.7170.7+3.367%
Season away (6)84.883.8168.7+1.067%
Last 10 (10)82.183.9166.0-1.830%
Last 5 (5)78.480.2158.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.283.0170.2+4.280%
vs Similar ◀ (17)84.385.5169.8-1.247%
vs Weaker (8)86.277.9164.1+8.475%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#151
L
83-98
83
98
-15
no box
A20/12
NCAA
Reggiana
#14
W
84-77
84
77
+7
73avg 76
H26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
no box
A02/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
67avg 76
H07/01
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
85-75
85
75
+10
82avg 76
H10/01
Eurocup
Verona
#16
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 76
A15/01
Lega A
Prometey
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 76
A18/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
80-81
80
81
-1
76avg 76
H22/01
Lega A
Ulm
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
H25/01
Eurocup
Varese
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 76
A28/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
50-55
0-0
33-43
21-18
24-15
20-19
19-25
21-17
23-23
13-29
27-15
20-25
12-25
17-13
24-15
25-17
19-20
16-18
25-20
20-14
18-22
17-20
22-25
19-15
16-16
18-23
19-25
23-18
16-18
23-24
18-21
18-15
21-21
16-22
17-27
16-15
22-29
17-27
17-9
161.8Avg total
79.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.079.5160.5+1.542%
Season at home (6)83.375.8159.2+7.550%
Season away (6)78.783.2161.8-4.533%
Last 10 (10)79.282.6161.8-3.430%
Last 5 (5)74.681.2155.8-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.290.5165.8-15.225%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.579.9160.4+0.643%
vs Weaker (8)87.686.5174.1+1.138%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
JL BourgBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H21/12
Eurocup
Dijon
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/12
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H27/12
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A07/01
LNB
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/01
Eurocup
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H14/01
LNB
Venezia
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H17/01
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A21/01
LNB
Lietkabelis
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A25/01
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A29/01
LNB
75.6Avg total
38.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.580.5+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.236.978.2+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)40.742.583.2-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.875.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.674.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.242.081.2-2.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.840.980.7-1.253%-
vs Weaker (8)44.835.079.8+9.862%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#151
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Reggiana
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A02/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H07/01
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H10/01
Eurocup
Verona
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A15/01
Lega A
Prometey
#2
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A18/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/01
Lega A
Ulm
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/01
Eurocup
Varese
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/01
Lega A
80.2Avg total
40.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.481.7-3.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.140.680.7-0.664%-
Last 30 away (16)38.643.982.5-5.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.880.2+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.674.4+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.944.279.1-9.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.641.180.7-1.657%-
vs Weaker (8)43.142.885.9+0.450%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.4
57.1%
53.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.1
35.7%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
74.2%13.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.4
52.7%
53.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.317.1
80.3%
74.2%17.1
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
JL Bourg
LLLWWWLLLL
Brescia
LLLLLWLWWL
#12
League position
#13
-1.5
Net rating
-7.4
112.2
Offensive rating
110.2
113.7
Defensive rating
117.6
55.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.7%
3-point %
35.7%
61.1%
Assist %
61.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 110.2Defence113.7 · 117.6Shooting55.5% · 53.0%3-point %35.7% · 35.7%Ball care17.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds25.2% · 27.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ JL Bourg   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
JL Bourg wins
0
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
01/11/22Brescia v JL Bourg69-71
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23AStrasbourg80-89
25/01/23ALietkabelis88-92
21/01/23AGravelines-Dunkerque69-73
17/01/23HVenezia86-79
14/01/23HFos-sur-Mer69-68
11/01/23ACluj-Napoca88-79
07/01/23ALimoges68-76
27/12/22HRoanne100-102 OT
23/12/22ADijon83-90
21/12/22HCedevita Olimpija90-91
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23AVarese72-80
25/01/23HUlm72-85
22/01/23HTreviso80-81
18/01/23APrometey72-79
15/01/23AVerona77-81
10/01/23HJoventut Badalona85-75
07/01/23HTrento73-78
02/01/23ASassari94-92 OT
26/12/22HReggiana84-77
20/12/22ATennessee State83-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

JL Bourg
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game85.987.084.8
Allowed / game83.883.783.8
Point differential+2.2+3.3+1.0
Avg total169.7170.7168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Brescia
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL42%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game81.083.378.7
Allowed / game79.575.883.2
Point differential+1.5+7.5-4.5
Avg total160.5159.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria1210283%83.276.5+6.8
2 Turk Telekom139469%85.178.5+6.6
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv128467%88.480.0+8.4
4 Joventut Badalona128467%83.279.8+3.4
5 Paris128467%84.581.5+3.0
6 JL Bourg128467%85.983.8+2.2
7 Prometey128467%86.384.8+1.6
8 Buducnost127558%78.872.6+6.2
9 Venezia127558%80.676.2+4.4
10 Promitheas127558%81.282.2-1.0
11 Ulm127558%83.486.2-2.8
12 Bursaspor126650%84.684.3+0.2
13 Lietkabelis136746%78.681.2-2.6
14 Brescia125742%81.079.5+1.5
15 London Lions125742%79.280.6-1.3
16 Hamburg124833%80.584.7-4.2
17 Cluj-Napoca134931%85.286.9-1.8
18 Cedevita Olimpija1221017%85.491.2-5.8
19 Trento1221017%71.482.8-11.3
20 Slask Wroclaw131128%72.985.6-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
JL Bourg2019141366
Brescia2020181674
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