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Joker vs Radnicki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-78
21-10 12-30 30-22 26-16
Position#6
Record18-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game86.2
Joker 🏆
Serbia
vs
Position#8
Record16-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.1
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 30· Gradska hala Mostonga
Other2024-25
Meetings · Joker v Radnicki
16 Apr 2025
JOKE89
RAD78
22 Jan 2024
JOKE74
RAD52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Joker winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Radnicki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JokerSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJoker
Date
Competition
Dynamic
#9
W
106-104 OT
106
104
+2
98avg 84
H08/02
First League
OKK Beograd
#7
L
82-99
82
99
-17
74avg 84
A26/02
First League
Tamis
#12
W
94-88
94
88
+6
87avg 84
H02/03
First League
Zlatibor
#3
W
103-94
103
94
+9
95avg 84
A08/03
First League
Sloboda
#4
L
80-98
80
98
-18
67avg 84
H14/03
First League
KK Metalac
#14
W
76-63
76
63
+13
65avg 84
A22/03
First League
Sloga
#11
W
89-75
89
75
+14
80avg 84
H26/03
First League
BKK Radnicki
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
88avg 84
A31/03
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
W
99-94
99
94
+5
90avg 84
H05/04
First League
Vrsac
#1
L
89-101
89
101
-12
82avg 84
A11/04
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
19-22
25-23
29-25
29-29
19-17
15-18
19-35
18-23
28-26
22-22
26-17
21-23
29-31
32-25
21-15
21-21
20-28
22-23
17-26
19-13
19-25
19-11
19-14
23-22
24-13
16-14
26-26
19-21
22-23
25-19
24-25
27-28
26-27
22-16
24-23
23-32
26-24
26-22
14-23
181.2Avg total
90.8Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)91.086.2177.2+4.862%
Season at home (14)93.384.6177.9+8.679%
Season away (15)88.987.7176.6+1.147%
Last 10 (10)90.890.4181.2+0.470%
Last 5 (5)88.684.2172.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.743.373.0-13.717%
vs Similar (9)88.689.7178.2-1.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)93.985.8179.7+8.173%
This opponent (Radnicki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RadnickiSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRadnicki
Date
Competition
OKK Beograd
#7
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
H07/02
First League
Tamis
#12
L
113-116 OT
113
116
-3
100avg 76
A22/02
First League
Zlatibor
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
72avg 76
H01/03
First League
Sloboda
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
81avg 76
A07/03
First League
KK Metalac
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 76
H14/03
First League
Sloga
#11
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 76
A22/03
First League
BKK Radnicki
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
77avg 76
H26/03
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
no box
A28/03
First League
Vrsac
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
51avg 76
H05/04
First League
Mladost Zemun
#5
W
100-93 OT
100
93
+7
92avg 76
H11/04
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-9
17-22
12-21
19-20
25-23
17-15
21-26
27-26
19-19
22-19
17-22
23-24
14-29
27-23
9-21
37-19
15-18
27-22
20-22
20-14
26-9
14-21
11-23
24-29
17-21
24-16
18-19
23-18
21-24
8-13
19-24
20-33
17-28
15-27
19-8
15-28
21-28
24-13
21-18
17-24
169.9Avg total
82.5Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.082.1164.0-0.155%
Season at home (15)82.180.3162.4+1.967%
Season away (14)81.884.0165.8-2.243%
Last 10 (10)82.587.4169.9-4.930%
Last 5 (5)78.286.8165.0-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.083.5165.5-1.550%
vs Similar (10)77.876.3154.1+1.560%
vs Weaker (8)85.983.8169.6+2.162%
This opponent (Joker) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
JokerRadnicki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JokerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dynamic
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/02
First League
OKK Beograd
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A26/02
First League
Tamis
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H02/03
First League
Zlatibor
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A08/03
First League
Sloboda
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H14/03
First League
KK Metalac
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/03
First League
Sloga
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H26/03
First League
BKK Radnicki
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A31/03
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H05/04
First League
Vrsac
#1
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A11/04
First League
92.5Avg total
45.3Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)46.145.191.2+1.042%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.843.790.4+3.158%-
Last 30 away (14)45.646.491.9-0.829%-
Last 10 (10)45.347.292.5-1.920%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.691.2+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.552.5102.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (9)46.746.993.6-0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.343.188.4+2.347%-
This opponent (Radnicki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RadnickiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OKK Beograd
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H07/02
First League
Tamis
#12
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A22/02
First League
Zlatibor
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/03
First League
Sloboda
#4
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A07/03
First League
KK Metalac
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/03
First League
Sloga
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A22/03
First League
BKK Radnicki
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H26/03
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A28/03
First League
Vrsac
#1
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H05/04
First League
Mladost Zemun
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/04
First League
79.2Avg total
39.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.877.5+0.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.438.878.2+0.662%-
Last 30 away (14)38.138.776.8-0.657%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.979.2-0.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.077.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.841.679.4-3.842%-
vs Similar (10)39.036.375.3+2.780%-
vs Weaker (8)39.937.677.5+2.262%-
This opponent (Joker) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jokertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Joker: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.0
56.5%
55.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.3
32.9%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
72.4%15.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Radnickitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Radnicki: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.1
57.2%
55.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.95.6
26.8%
33.0%16.8
🏀 Free throws14.612.0
82.2%
72.4%12.0
They take 54.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Joker
LWWWWLWWLW
Radnicki
WLLWLWLLLL
#6
League position
#8
+1.8
Net rating
-4.2
114.4
Offensive rating
105.5
112.6
Defensive rating
109.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
50.6%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.9%
3-point %
26.8%
55.3%
Assist %
47.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 105.5Defence112.6 · 109.7Shooting53.3% · 50.6%3-point %32.9% · 26.8%Ball care14.3% · 15.4%Off. rebounds30.2% · 27.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Joker   ■ Radnicki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Joker wins
2
Radnicki wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25Radnicki v Joker97-93
22/01/24Joker v Radnicki74-52
14/10/23Radnicki v Joker80-78
Jokerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25AVrsac89-101
05/04/25HVojvodina Novi Sad99-94
31/03/25ABKK Radnicki90-88
26/03/25HSloga89-75
22/03/25AKK Metalac76-63
14/03/25HSloboda80-98
08/03/25AZlatibor103-94
02/03/25HTamis94-88
26/02/25AOKK Beograd82-99
08/02/25HDynamic106-104 OT
Radnickilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25HMladost Zemun100-93 OT
05/04/25HVrsac66-91
28/03/25AVojvodina Novi Sad68-94
26/03/25HBKK Radnicki82-74
22/03/25ASloga75-82
14/03/25HKK Metalac82-76
07/03/25ASloboda87-92
01/03/25HZlatibor81-84
22/02/25ATamis113-116 OT
07/02/25HOKK Beograd71-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Joker
First League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayLWWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %62%79%47%
Points / game91.093.388.9
Allowed / game86.284.687.7
Point differential+4.8+8.6+1.1
Avg total177.2177.9176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%36%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Radnicki
First League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW55%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%67%43%
Points / game82.082.181.8
Allowed / game82.180.384.0
Point differential-0.1+1.9-2.2
Avg total164.0162.4165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%13%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vrsac3025583%87.679.9+7.7
2 Zlatibor2921872%88.479.6+8.9
3 Vojvodina Novi Sad2920969%84.374.7+9.6
4 Sloboda2920969%84.477.9+6.5
5 Mladost Zemun29191066%86.182.2+3.9
6 Joker29181162%91.086.2+4.8
7 OKK Beograd29171259%88.786.6+2.2
8 Radnicki29161355%82.082.1-0.1
9 BKK Radnicki29131645%83.482.7+0.8
10 Dynamic29131645%85.986.0-0.1
11 Sloga29121741%80.885.7-4.9
12 Tamis29111838%80.585.3-4.8
13 Cacak 9429101934%80.481.2-0.9
14 KK Metalac2992031%78.182.3-4.2
15 KK Mladost SP2982128%78.485.7-7.3
16 OKK Novi Pazar301293%74.395.9-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Joker2112302689
Radnicki1030221678
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