PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Joker vs Sloboda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-98
21-21 20-28 22-23 17-26
Position#6
Record14-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Sloboda 🏆
Serbia
Position#4
Record14-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game78.6
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 24· Gradska hala Mostonga
Other2024-25
Meetings · Joker v Sloboda
14 Mar 2025
JOKE80
SLOB98
07 Oct 2023
JOKE85
SLOB112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Joker winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sloboda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JokerSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJoker
Date
Competition
Vrsac
#1
L
96-97
96
97
-1
89avg 86
H28/12
First League
Radnicki
#8
L
93-97
93
97
-4
85avg 86
A04/01
First League
Mladost Zemun
#5
W
100-85
100
85
+15
102avg 86
A11/01
First League
OKK Novi Pazar
#16
W
111-86
111
86
+25
109avg 86
A18/01
First League
Cacak 94
#13
W
107-100
107
100
+7
98avg 86
H25/01
First League
KK Mladost SP
#15
W
89-72
89
72
+17
86avg 86
A01/02
First League
Dynamic
#9
W
106-104 OT
106
104
+2
98avg 86
H08/02
First League
OKK Beograd
#7
L
82-99
82
99
-17
74avg 86
A26/02
First League
Tamis
#12
W
94-88
94
88
+6
87avg 86
H02/03
First League
Zlatibor
#3
W
103-94
103
94
+9
95avg 86
A08/03
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
26-24
22-29
23-21
17-22
24-29
25-25
27-21
29-27
26-25
24-21
21-12
23-21
32-18
30-22
26-25
33-30
25-18
22-29
27-23
17-23
23-17
28-22
21-10
21-24
19-22
25-23
29-25
29-29
19-17
15-18
19-35
18-23
28-26
22-22
26-17
21-23
29-31
32-25
21-15
190.3Avg total
98.1Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)92.086.2178.2+5.861%
Season at home (11)94.483.5177.8+10.982%
Season away (12)89.888.7178.5+1.242%
Last 10 (10)98.192.2190.3+5.970%
Last 5 (5)94.891.4186.2+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)11.329.440.7-18.10%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.585.8173.2+1.850%
vs Weaker (15)95.185.9181.1+9.273%
This opponent (Sloboda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSloboda
Date
Competition
Promo
#12
L
59-71
59
71
-12
47avg 76
A25/01
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Metalac
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
78avg 76
A25/01
First League
Sloga
#11
W
107-76
107
76
+31
111avg 76
H01/02
First League
Borac Banja Luka
#4
W
72-68
72
68
+4
61avg 76
H01/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
W
86-66
86
66
+20
84avg 76
A08/02
Prvenstvo BiH
BKK Radnicki
#10
L
76-77
76
77
-1
68avg 76
A08/02
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 76
H22/02
First League
Vrsac
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
77avg 76
A01/03
First League
Radnicki
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
88avg 76
H07/03
First League
KK Bosna
#2
W
85-76
85
76
+9
85avg 76
A09/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
9-19
14-17
21-23
25-20
16-16
14-22
30-21
28-17
28-23
30-18
21-18
18-21
26-19
15-16
13-12
33-23
10-19
26-17
17-7
22-25
23-20
15-16
16-16
19-21
21-8
19-26
21-17
24-23
17-23
15-24
29-19
29-14
23-27
21-9
19-37
19-19
25-20
16-21
25-16
158.8Avg total
82.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.678.6160.2+3.061%
Season at home (12)85.678.7164.2+6.975%
Season away (11)77.378.5155.7-1.245%
Last 10 (10)82.776.1158.8+6.670%
Last 5 (5)83.680.2163.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.374.0161.3+13.3100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.980.8158.7-2.950%
vs Weaker (17)85.078.2163.2+6.871%
This opponent (Joker) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
JokerSloboda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JokerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vrsac
#1
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H28/12
First League
Radnicki
#8
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/01
First League
Mladost Zemun
#5
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A11/01
First League
OKK Novi Pazar
#16
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A18/01
First League
Cacak 94
#13
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H25/01
First League
KK Mladost SP
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A01/02
First League
Dynamic
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/02
First League
OKK Beograd
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A26/02
First League
Tamis
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H02/03
First League
Zlatibor
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A08/03
First League
95.6Avg total
48.4Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)45.844.089.8+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.342.288.6+4.167%-
Last 30 away (12)45.245.891.1-0.633%-
Last 10 (10)48.447.295.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.847.091.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.050.096.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.644.189.8+1.550%-
vs Weaker (15)45.943.689.5+2.353%-
This opponent (Sloboda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promo
#12
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A25/01
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Metalac
#14
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A25/01
First League
Sloga
#11
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H01/02
First League
Borac Banja Luka
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H01/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A08/02
Prvenstvo BiH
BKK Radnicki
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A08/02
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H22/02
First League
Vrsac
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A01/03
First League
Radnicki
#8
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H07/03
First League
KK Bosna
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A09/03
Prvenstvo BiH
81.9Avg total
43.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.483.0+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.839.684.4+5.260%-
Last 30 away (15)42.539.281.7+3.367%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.981.9+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.084.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.340.780.0-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.540.981.4-0.450%-
vs Weaker (17)46.238.384.5+7.976%-
This opponent (Joker) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jokertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Joker: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.626.9
60.3%
55.3%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.5
33.1%
33.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.118.0
77.9%
72.4%18.0
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slobodatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.1
56.2%
55.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.612.8
68.8%
72.4%12.8
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Joker
WWLWWWWWLL
Sloboda
WWLWLWWWWL
#6
League position
#4
+7.1
Net rating
+6.3
117.0
Offensive rating
109.1
109.9
Defensive rating
102.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.9%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.1%
3-point %
33.3%
52.3%
Assist %
61.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 109.1Defence109.9 · 102.8Shooting56.4% · 53.6%3-point %33.1% · 33.3%Ball care14.3% · 15.9%Off. rebounds26.3% · 28.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Joker   ■ Sloboda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Joker wins
2
Sloboda wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Sloboda v Joker94-82
13/01/24Sloboda v Joker82-94
07/10/23Joker v Sloboda85-112
Jokerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AZlatibor103-94
02/03/25HTamis94-88
26/02/25AOKK Beograd82-99
08/02/25HDynamic106-104 OT
01/02/25AKK Mladost SP89-72
25/01/25HCacak 94107-100
18/01/25AOKK Novi Pazar111-86
11/01/25AMladost Zemun100-85
04/01/25ARadnicki93-97
28/12/24HVrsac96-97
Slobodalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25AKK Bosna85-76
07/03/25HRadnicki92-87
01/03/25AVrsac85-89
22/02/25HVojvodina Novi Sad80-72
08/02/25ABKK Radnicki76-77
08/02/25ASlavija86-66
01/02/25HBorac Banja Luka72-68
01/02/25HSloga107-76
25/01/25AKK Metalac85-79
25/01/25APromo59-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Joker
First League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayWWWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%82%42%
Points / game92.094.489.8
Allowed / game86.283.588.7
Point differential+5.8+10.9+1.2
Avg total178.2177.8178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Sloboda
First League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW61%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%75%45%
Points / game81.685.677.3
Allowed / game78.678.778.5
Point differential+3.0+6.9-1.2
Avg total160.2164.2155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vrsac2318578%86.081.2+4.8
2 Vojvodina Novi Sad2317674%84.272.9+11.3
3 Mladost Zemun2316770%85.480.7+4.7
4 Zlatibor2315865%86.378.6+7.8
5 Joker2314961%92.086.2+5.8
6 Sloboda2314961%81.678.6+3.0
7 OKK Beograd2314961%87.886.8+1.0
8 Radnicki23131057%82.881.3+1.5
9 Dynamic23121152%87.486.0+1.4
10 BKK Radnicki23111248%83.782.8+0.9
11 Cacak 9423101343%82.079.8+2.1
12 Sloga2391439%80.787.5-6.8
13 Tamis2381535%79.483.8-4.4
14 KK Metalac2361726%78.784.1-5.3
15 KK Mladost SP2361726%77.585.2-7.7
16 OKK Novi Pazar231224%75.395.4-20.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Joker2120221780
Sloboda2128232698
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.