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Joker vs Vrsac Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 96-97
25-23 26-24 22-29 23-21
Position#6
Record7-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Vrsac 🏆
Serbia
Position#1
Record10-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game77.3
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 14· Gradska hala Mostonga
Other2024-25
Meetings · Joker v Vrsac
28 Dec 2024
JOKE96
VRS97
25 Nov 2023
JOKE90
VRS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Joker winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vrsac winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JokerSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJoker
Date
Competition
Pelister
#12
L
0-20
0
20
-20
94avg 82
H12/11
ABA League 2
Tamis
#12
L
85-94
85
94
-9
71avg 82
A17/11
First League
Zlatibor
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
74avg 82
H22/11
First League
Sloboda
#4
L
82-94
82
94
-12
74avg 82
A30/11
First League
Podgorica
#8
L
0-20
0
20
-20
80avg 82
H03/12
ABA League 2
KK Metalac
#14
W
89-80
89
80
+9
83avg 82
H07/12
First League
Sloga
#11
L
87-90
87
90
-3
78avg 82
A11/12
First League
BKK Radnicki
#10
W
93-62
93
62
+31
92avg 82
H14/12
First League
Siroki Brijeg
#7
L
0-20
0
20
-20
40avg 82
A17/12
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 82
A21/12
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
26-28
23-22
17-22
19-22
19-20
16-15
21-25
19-13
24-20
17-24
14-29
27-21
–
–
–
–
25-13
24-32
26-25
14-10
22-21
17-16
24-23
24-30
19-12
23-17
24-11
27-22
–
–
–
–
22-23
24-27
21-20
12-16
122.9Avg total
59.0Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.381.5168.8+5.854%
Season at home (7)90.775.6166.3+15.186%
Season away (6)83.388.5171.8-5.217%
Last 10 (10)59.063.9122.9-4.930%
Last 5 (5)69.667.6137.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.248.582.7-14.30%
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.381.7164.0+0.750%
vs Weaker (14)91.983.1175.0+8.764%
This opponent (Vrsac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VrsacSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVrsac
Date
Competition
OKK Beograd
#7
W
103-82
103
82
+21
107avg 80
H26/10
First League
Tamis
#12
W
79-66
79
66
+13
72avg 80
A03/11
First League
Zlatibor
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
85avg 80
H09/11
First League
Sloboda
#4
L
67-79
67
79
-12
46avg 80
A16/11
First League
KK Metalac
#14
W
88-62
88
62
+26
81avg 80
H23/11
First League
Sloga
#11
W
82-73
82
73
+9
73avg 80
A30/11
First League
BKK Radnicki
#10
W
100-88
100
88
+12
100avg 80
H06/12
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
53avg 80
A11/12
First League
Mladost Zemun
#5
W
75-59
75
59
+16
67avg 80
A15/12
First League
Radnicki
#8
W
92-83
92
83
+9
84avg 80
H20/12
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-26
25-19
21-25
20-12
25-14
17-20
16-19
21-13
19-14
28-23
14-21
23-24
12-24
24-11
16-22
15-22
20-11
24-15
26-26
18-10
16-20
24-10
21-26
21-17
23-22
21-22
26-19
30-25
16-15
18-33
16-8
15-23
18-14
19-13
18-17
20-15
26-20
21-17
25-30
20-16
158.8Avg total
83.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.277.3160.5+5.877%
Season at home (6)92.777.3170.0+15.3100%
Season away (7)75.077.3152.3-2.357%
Last 10 (10)83.575.3158.8+8.280%
Last 5 (5)82.876.4159.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.066.0153.0+21.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.880.2158.0-2.538%
vs Weaker (21)91.382.3173.6+9.086%
This opponent (Joker) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
JokerVrsac
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JokerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tamis
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A17/11
First League
Zlatibor
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H22/11
First League
Sloboda
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A30/11
First League
KK Metalac
#14
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H07/12
First League
Sloga
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/12
First League
BKK Radnicki
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/12
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A21/12
First League
84.4Avg total
43.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)43.943.387.2+0.646%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.840.985.8+3.962%-
Last 30 away (11)42.846.289.0-3.427%-
Last 10 (7)43.041.484.4+1.643%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.084.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.047.889.8-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.540.782.2+0.833%-
vs Weaker (14)45.543.288.7+2.357%-
This opponent (Vrsac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VrsacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OKK Beograd
#7
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H26/10
First League
Tamis
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A03/11
First League
Zlatibor
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H09/11
First League
Sloboda
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/11
First League
KK Metalac
#14
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H23/11
First League
Sloga
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A30/11
First League
BKK Radnicki
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H06/12
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A11/12
First League
Mladost Zemun
#5
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A15/12
First League
Radnicki
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H20/12
First League
79.6Avg total
43.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.239.183.2+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.738.284.9+8.580%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.981.6+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)43.336.379.6+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.277.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.034.083.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.639.078.6+0.662%-
vs Weaker (21)45.739.385.0+6.376%-
This opponent (Joker) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jokertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Joker: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.324.0
55.4%
55.3%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.25.8
27.4%
33.0%17.4
🏀 Free throws22.916.0
69.9%
72.4%16.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vrsactheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vrsac: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.3
55.8%
55.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.0
29.6%
33.0%18.0
🏀 Free throws22.516.5
73.3%
72.4%16.5
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Joker
LLWLWLLWLL
Vrsac
WWLWWWLWWW
#6
League position
#1
+1.7
Net rating
+1.9
106.2
Offensive rating
109.7
104.5
Defensive rating
107.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.2%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
27.4%
3-point %
29.6%
57.7%
Assist %
46.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 109.7Defence104.5 · 107.8Shooting50.7% · 51.7%3-point %27.4% · 29.6%Ball care15.6% · 14.2%Off. rebounds27.7% · 25.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Joker   ■ Vrsac
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Joker wins
1
Vrsac wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Vrsac v Joker99-91
25/11/23Joker v Vrsac90-82
Jokerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AVojvodina Novi Sad79-86
17/12/24ASiroki Brijeg0-20
14/12/24HBKK Radnicki93-62
11/12/24ASloga87-90
07/12/24HKK Metalac89-80
03/12/24HPodgorica0-20
30/11/24ASloboda82-94
22/11/24HZlatibor75-73
17/11/24ATamis85-94
12/11/24HPelister0-20
Vrsaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HRadnicki92-83
15/12/24AMladost Zemun75-59
11/12/24AVojvodina Novi Sad65-79
06/12/24HBKK Radnicki100-88
30/11/24ASloga82-73
23/11/24HKK Metalac88-62
16/11/24ASloboda67-79
09/11/24HZlatibor84-82
03/11/24ATamis79-66
26/10/24HOKK Beograd103-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Joker
First League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL54%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%86%17%
Points / game87.390.783.3
Allowed / game81.575.688.5
Point differential+5.8+15.1-5.2
Avg total168.8166.3171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vrsac
First League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%100%57%
Points / game83.292.775.0
Allowed / game77.377.377.3
Point differential+5.8+15.3-2.3
Avg total160.5170.0152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vojvodina Novi Sad1311285%86.573.4+13.2
2 Vrsac1310377%83.277.3+5.8
3 Zlatibor139469%85.376.5+8.8
4 Dynamic149564%91.186.4+4.7
5 Mladost Zemun149564%83.579.6+3.9
6 Sloboda138562%79.777.2+2.5
7 Radnicki148657%79.978.8+1.1
8 Joker137654%87.381.5+5.8
9 OKK Beograd136746%84.287.8-3.6
10 BKK Radnicki146843%83.484.3-0.9
11 Sloga146843%81.383.6-2.3
12 Tamis135838%74.979.0-4.1
13 Cacak 94145936%77.876.6+1.2
14 KK Metalac1441029%76.282.7-6.5
15 KK Mladost SP1441029%75.985.4-9.6
16 OKK Novi Pazar131128%75.294.5-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Joker2526222396
Vrsac2324292197
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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