Kansas State faces CS Northridge on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, and Pythia rates the Wildcats the clear favourite, assigning them a 78% chance of victory largely because of their 0-1 record and 66.0 points per game compared with Northridge's 0-1 record and 67.0 points per game, while the Wildcats have allowed 68.0 points per game versus Northridge's 79.0. Kansas State's single game this season ended in a 66-68 loss to South Dakota St. at home, and their last five games show one win and four losses, with a recent defeat to Brigham Young 91-105 and to Kansas 85-104. CS Northridge also opened the season with a 67-79 loss to Wichita State, and their last five games include two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 80-70 home victory over UC San Diego. Pythia projects a 85-77 score, a total of 162.2 points, and a 43% probability that Kansas State will cover the home line of -10.5. The over line of 160.5 carries a 54% chance, and there is a 4% probability of overtime. The Wildcats' 0-1 record and higher scoring average give them the edge in this matchup.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 66.0 | 68.0 | 134.0 | -2.0 | 0% |
| Season at home (1) | 66.0 | 68.0 | 134.0 | -2.0 | 0% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 73.3 | 83.9 | 157.2 | -10.6 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.0 | 83.4 | 158.4 | -8.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (21) | 72.1 | 84.0 | 156.2 | -11.9 | 14% |
| vs Similar ◀ (7) | 86.4 | 79.6 | 166.0 | +6.9 | 57% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 101.0 | 67.0 | 168.0 | +34.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 67.0 | 79.0 | 146.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (1) | 67.0 | 79.0 | 146.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.6 | 79.8 | 158.4 | -1.2 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.6 | 83.2 | 160.8 | -5.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 72.5 | 79.0 | 151.5 | -6.5 | 17% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 78.2 | 79.9 | 158.2 | -1.7 | 54% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 88.3 | 79.5 | 167.8 | +8.7 | 82% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.6 | 39.8 | 76.4 | -3.2 | 33% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 37.1 | 38.3 | 75.4 | -1.2 | 41% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 35.9 | 41.7 | 77.6 | -5.8 | 23% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.0 | 40.9 | 73.9 | -7.9 | 10% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.2 | 39.6 | 73.8 | -5.4 | 0% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (21) | 32.6 | 41.1 | 73.8 | -8.5 | 14% | 48% |
| vs Similar ◀ (7) | 44.6 | 38.9 | 83.4 | +5.7 | 71% | 71% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 50.5 | 28.5 | 79.0 | +22.0 | 100% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.7 | 36.0 | 74.7 | +2.7 | 60% | 27% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 39.9 | 34.6 | 74.5 | +5.2 | 64% | 29% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 37.7 | 37.2 | 74.9 | +0.5 | 56% | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.5 | 37.3 | 72.8 | -1.8 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.2 | 41.0 | 77.2 | -4.8 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 36.0 | 39.5 | 75.5 | -3.5 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 36.2 | 34.5 | 70.8 | +1.7 | 54% | 15% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 43.1 | 35.8 | 78.9 | +7.3 | 82% | 36% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State under 91.5 | 72.7% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Lost |
| Kansas State under 97.5 | 88.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Kansas State under 92.5 | 75.9% | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Lost |
| Kansas State under 94.5 | 81.7% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Lost |
| CS Northridge +15.5 | 73.0% | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Lost |
| CS Northridge +15 | 72.1% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| Kansas State under 96.5 | 86.4% | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.14 | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| CS Northridge +16.5 | 75.8% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Lost |
| Kansas State under 104.5 | 97.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| CS Northridge +17.5 | 78.4% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Kansas State under 102.5 | 95.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| CS Northridge +16 | 75.1% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Lost |
| CS Northridge +17 | 77.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Push |
| Kansas State under 100.5 | 93.2% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Kansas State under 98.5 | 90.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Kansas State under 93.5 | 78.9% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Lost |
| Under 171 | 71.2% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Lost |
| Under 172 | 73.2% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Lost |
| Under 171.5 | 71.8% | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Lost |
| CS Northridge +18 | 80.3% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Under 174.5 | 77.5% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| CS Northridge +18.5 | 80.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| CS Northridge +20.5 | 85.1% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Under 172.5 | 73.8% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 96.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Under 179.5 | 85.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 59.5 | 95.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 90.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 58.5 | 96.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 61.5 | 93.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Kansas State +9.5 | 93.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 60.5 | 94.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Over 136.5 | 94.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 62.5 | 91.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 63.5 | 90.3% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Over 141.5 | 89.6% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 65.5 | 86.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 67.5 | 81.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 64.5 | 88.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 69.5 | 75.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Over 139.5 | 91.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -0.5pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 74.0% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 70.5 | 72.6% | 1.26 | 1.29 | 1.23 | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 87.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 82.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 66.5 | 84.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -1.4pp | Won |
| Kansas State +4.5 | 86.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -1.5pp | Won |
| CS Northridge over 68.5 | 78.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Won |
| Under 176.5 | 80.9% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -2.2pp | Won |
| Kansas State (regulation) | 75.5% | 1.17 | 1.19 | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | -2.3pp | Won |
| Kansas State over 76.5 | 81.3% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -2.5pp | Won |
| Kansas State -2.5 | 71.9% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | -3.4pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 85.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -3.5pp | Won |
| Kansas State -3 | 71.1% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | -3.6pp | Won |
| Kansas State over 77.5 | 78.5% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | -3.7pp | Won |
| Kansas State win | 77.8% | 1.16 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 1.16 | -4.5pp | Won |
| Kansas State over 78.5 | 75.6% | 1.16 | 1.18 | 1.14 | - | - | - | -4.6pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 77.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -7.2pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | H | South Dakota St. | 66-68 |
| 10/03/26 | A | Brigham Young | 91-105 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Kansas | 85-104 |
| 04/03/26 | H | West Virginia | 65-63 |
| 28/02/26 | H | TCU | 68-77 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Colorado | 70-79 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Texas Tech | 72-100 |
| 18/02/26 | H | Baylor | 90-74 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Houston | 64-78 |
| 12/02/26 | H | Cincinnati | 62-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | Wichita State | 67-79 |
| 14/03/26 | A | UC Irvine | 78-93 |
| 13/03/26 | H | UC San Diego | 80-70 |
| 08/03/26 | H | CS Fullerton | 77-90 |
| 06/03/26 | A | CSU Bakersfield | 86-84 |
| 01/03/26 | A | UC Riverside | 84-95 |
| 27/02/26 | H | UC Irvine | 67-68 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Long Beach State | 78-76 |
| 20/02/26 | A | UC Santa Barbara | 85-83 OT |
| 15/02/26 | H | Hawaii | 84-60 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Points / game | 66.0 | 66.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 68.0 | 68.0 | - |
| Point differential | -2.0 | -2.0 | - |
| Avg total | 134.0 | 134.0 | - |
| Over 164.5 | 0% | 0% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | - | 1 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 67.0 | - | 67.0 |
| Allowed / game | 79.0 | - | 79.0 |
| Point differential | -12.0 | - | -12.0 |
| Avg total | 146.0 | - | 146.0 |
| Over 164.5 | 0% | - | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 102.0 | 56.5 | +45.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 49.5 | +41.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 98.0 | 59.0 | +39.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 55.0 | +39.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 59.0 | +35.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 60.0 | +31.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 65.0 | +30.0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 76.0 | 50.0 | +26.0 | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 58.5 | +21.5 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 83.0 | +11.0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 75.0 | 65.0 | +10.0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 91.5 | 85.0 | +6.5 | |
| 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 66.5 | 60.0 | +6.5 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 79.5 | 68.5 | +11.0 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 89.5 | 84.0 | +5.5 | |
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 66.0 | 68.0 | -2.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 110.0 | 47.0 | +63.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 93.0 | 54.0 | +39.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 55.0 | +30.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 92.0 | 66.0 | +26.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 75.0 | +25.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 74.0 | 73.0 | +1.0 | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 70.0 | 65.5 | +4.5 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 81.0 | 83.0 | -2.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 63.0 | 66.0 | -3.0 | |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 67.0 | 79.0 | -12.0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 78.0 | 102.0 | -24.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 38 | 95 | |
| 29 | 49 | 78 |
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