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Kansas State vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 90-74
41-34 49-40
Position#292
Record10-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.7
Kansas State 🏆
USA
vs
Baylor
USA
Position#200
Record13-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game76.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kansas State v Baylor
17 Feb 2026
KANS90
BAYL74
16 Jan 2024
KANS68
BAYL64
21 Feb 2023
KANS75
BAYL65
09 Feb 2022
KANS60
BAYL75
19 Dec 2020
KANS69
BAYL100
03 Feb 2020
KANS67
BAYL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#194
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A10/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H15/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H25/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
61-95
61
95
-34
H01/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
62-91
62
91
-29
H12/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
46-51
28-42
45-40
43-48
40-36
46-43
35-35
35-37
27-49
22-28
32-31
21-50
40-45
46-42
36-42
31-53
31-38
19-33
45-45
153.0Avg total
70.6Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.280.7160.9-0.540%
Season at home (16)82.879.8162.6+3.156%
Season away (9)75.682.3157.9-6.811%
Last 10 (10)70.682.4153.0-11.810%
Last 5 (5)64.681.4146.0-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.083.1153.1-13.112%
vs Similar (11)83.371.3154.5+12.082%
vs Weaker (2)101.067.0168.0+34.0100%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A14/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A17/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H21/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H24/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
57-39
37-40
37-43
25-37
36-55
37-37
38-38
52-59
28-35
29-32
38-30
25-23
45-21
41-46
33-37
36-35
41-41
53-58
34-34
37-48
154.7Avg total
75.9Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.476.1159.5+7.252%
Season at home (17)89.177.9166.9+11.259%
Season away (8)71.272.4143.6-1.138%
Last 10 (10)75.978.8154.7-2.930%
Last 5 (5)76.674.6151.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.175.9141.0-10.70%
vs Similar (14)80.877.9158.6+2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.771.1164.8+22.689%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.3-8.31st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -4.3-4.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.3-8.31st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -4.3-4.3
Kansas StateBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#194
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A10/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H15/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H25/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
21-50
21
50
-29
H01/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H12/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A14/02
NCAA
74.1Avg total
32.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.537.473.9-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.536.875.4+1.753%-
Last 30 away (11)33.038.371.3-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)32.941.274.1-8.330%-
Last 5 (5)27.841.269.0-13.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.940.772.6-8.818%-
vs Similar (11)41.033.874.8+7.273%-
vs Weaker (2)50.528.579.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A14/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H21/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
NCAA
76.0Avg total
38.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.975.5+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.834.776.5+7.163%-
Last 30 away (11)36.037.973.9-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.376.0+1.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.670.8+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.736.367.0-5.614%-
vs Similar (14)37.436.674.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)50.234.384.6+15.989%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kansas State wins
7
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25Baylor v Kansas State70-56
23/01/25Baylor v Kansas State70-62
17/01/24Kansas State v Baylor68-64 OT
22/02/23Kansas State v Baylor75-65
07/01/23Baylor v Kansas State95-97 OT
10/02/22Kansas State v Baylor60-75
26/01/22Baylor v Kansas State74-49
11/03/21Baylor v Kansas State74-68
28/01/21Baylor v Kansas State107-59
19/12/20Kansas State v Baylor69-100
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AHouston64-78
12/02/26HCincinnati62-91
07/02/26ATCU82-84
01/02/26HIowa State61-95
28/01/26AWest Virginia54-59
25/01/26HKansas62-86
21/01/26HUtah Utes81-78
18/01/26AOklahoma State83-84
15/01/26HUCF Knights73-82
10/01/26AArizona State84-87
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HLouisville71-82
11/02/26HBrigham Young94-99
07/02/26AIowa State69-72
05/02/26HColorado86-67
31/01/26AWest Virginia63-53
28/01/26ACincinnati57-67
24/01/26HTCU90-97
21/01/26HTexas Tech73-92
17/01/26AKansas62-80
14/01/26AOklahoma State94-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeLWLLL56%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %40%56%11%
Points / game80.282.875.6
Allowed / game80.779.882.3
Point differential-0.5+3.1-6.8
Avg total160.9162.6157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)100% (3)0% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL52%
HomeLLWLL59%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %52%59%38%
Points / game83.489.171.2
Allowed / game76.177.972.4
Point differential+7.2+11.2-1.1
Avg total159.5166.9143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%47%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2523292%88.268.6+19.6
2 Houston2623388%77.861.6+16.2
3 Iowa State2622485%83.065.2+17.8
4 Brigham Young2519676%86.574.5+12.0
5 Texas Tech2519676%82.072.4+9.6
6 Kansas2519676%77.168.0+9.1
7 UCF Knights2518772%81.877.4+4.4
8 West Virginia2516964%70.163.8+6.4
9 Oklahoma State2516964%84.781.3+3.4
10 TCU26161062%78.672.5+6.1
11 Cincinnati26141254%72.367.0+5.3
12 Colorado26141254%80.078.5+1.5
13 Baylor25131252%83.476.1+7.2
14 Arizona State25131252%78.779.2-0.4
15 Kansas State25101540%80.280.7-0.5
16 Utah Utes2591636%76.479.5-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kansas State414990
Baylor344074
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