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Kansas State vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 98-50
45-28 53-22
Position#51
Record8-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game62.1
vs
Position#284
Record5-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#206
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H10/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
93-59
93
59
+34
H08/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A12/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H17/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H22/11
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
96-87 OT
96
87
+9
H23/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H24/11
NCAA
Butler
#256
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A30/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H04/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
33-35
52-26
41-33
36-21
27-33
41-25
28-28
44-27
33-30
36-38
44-42
33-41
28-18
25-37
39-39
29-32
26-18
35-34
46-30
135.8Avg total
72.6Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.262.1135.3+11.189%
Season at home (7)76.061.3137.3+14.7100%
Season away (2)63.565.0128.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)72.663.2135.8+9.480%
Last 5 (5)71.467.2138.6+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.073.5138.5-8.525%
vs Similar (16)71.669.3140.9+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)71.259.7130.8+11.583%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#276
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H08/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
63-88
63
88
-25
A12/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#541
W
84-47
84
47
+37
H16/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A20/11
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#415
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H23/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A27/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A29/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H01/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
29-37
29-43
34-45
39-25
45-22
26-29
38-39
44-32
41-44
38-32
31-32
29-24
34-37
26-32
36-36
67-36
45-28
16-24
23-48
137.1Avg total
69.8Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.867.3137.1+2.550%
Season at home (5)81.463.2144.6+18.280%
Season away (5)58.271.4129.6-13.220%
Last 10 (10)69.867.3137.1+2.550%
Last 5 (5)69.065.8134.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)63.074.4137.4-11.426%
vs Similar (6)67.374.5141.8-7.217%
vs Weaker (5)86.660.0146.6+26.680%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
Kansas StateIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#206
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H08/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A12/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H17/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H23/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H24/11
NCAA
Butler
#256
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A30/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H04/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H07/12
NCAA
68.4Avg total
36.5Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.667.8+0.637%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.432.769.1+3.744%-
Last 30 away (12)30.934.965.8-4.025%-
Last 10 (10)36.531.968.4+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.636.468.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.936.470.2-2.525%-
vs Similar (16)32.833.866.5-1.031%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.529.568.0+9.067%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#276
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A12/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#541
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H16/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#415
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H25/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A27/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A29/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
67-36
67
36
+31
H01/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
L
16-24
16
24
-8
A03/12
NCAA
64.7Avg total
34.2Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.735.367.0-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.135.570.6-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)28.335.063.3-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)34.230.564.7+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.229.664.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)28.236.664.8-8.532%-
vs Similar (6)32.834.567.3-1.717%-
vs Weaker (5)43.831.074.8+12.880%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kansas State wins
0
Incarnate Word wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22HAbilene Christian81-64
04/12/22HWichita State55-50
30/11/22AButler64-76
24/11/22HLSU61-59
23/11/22HNevada96-87 OT
22/11/22HRhode Island77-57
17/11/22HUMKC69-53
12/11/22ACalifornia63-54
08/11/22HUTRGV93-59
10/03/22HWest Virginia67-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22AGrambling St.39-72
01/12/22HDallas Christian112-64
29/11/22AUTSA Roadrunners62-68
27/11/22AGrambling St.63-61
25/11/22HDartmouth69-64
23/11/22HOur Lady Of The Lake85-76
20/11/22AValparaiso64-68
16/11/22HTexas Lutheran84-47
12/11/22AUNLV63-88
08/11/22HNorth Dakota57-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %89%100%50%
Points / game73.276.063.5
Allowed / game62.161.365.0
Point differential+11.1+14.7-1.5
Avg total135.3137.3128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %11%14%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game69.881.458.2
Allowed / game67.363.271.4
Point differential+2.5+18.2-13.2
Avg total137.1144.6129.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston109190%73.949.7+24.2
2 Kansas109190%79.465.6+13.8
3 Arizona State109190%72.159.8+12.3
4 Arizona98189%91.277.3+13.9
5 TCU98189%75.862.7+13.1
6 Kansas State98189%73.262.1+11.1
7 Utah Utes108280%74.558.6+15.9
8 West Virginia108280%80.565.4+15.1
9 Baylor97278%84.669.1+15.4
10 UCF Knights97278%71.760.3+11.3
11 Iowa State97278%70.058.8+11.2
12 Texas Tech86275%72.561.0+11.5
13 Cincinnati106460%79.270.1+9.1
14 Oklahoma State106460%72.063.1+8.9
15 Brigham Young116555%74.972.8+2.1
16 Colorado105550%73.568.4+5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northwestern St.108280%74.972.3+2.6
2 Stephen F. Austin96367%80.864.6+16.2
3 UTRGV106460%80.577.5+3.0
4 Texas A&M-CC95456%79.770.0+9.7
5 SE Louisiana105550%78.775.6+3.1
6 Incarnate Word105550%69.867.3+2.5
7 Lamar104640%70.373.3-3.0
8 Nicholls State83538%78.477.0+1.4
9 TX A&M Commerce114736%70.170.1+0.0
10 McNeese State93633%66.472.4-6.0
11 Houston Christian113827%79.381.3-2.0
12 New Orleans82625%68.281.8-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kansas State455398
Incarnate Word282250
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