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UTSA Roadrunners vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 68-62
32-26 36-36
Position#331
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#284
Record4-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UTSA Roadrunners v Incarnate Word
25 Nov 2023
UTSA90
INCA80
28 Nov 2022
UTSA68
INCA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTSA Roadrunners winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#15
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H04/03
NCAA
Rice
#197
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H05/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Trinity of Texas
#432
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H08/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A12/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#526
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H18/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H23/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H26/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
17-28
31-31
40-34
42-37
30-25
34-42
29-17
45-30
28-25
27-50
32-33
34-26
31-27
30-29
36-32
46-43
19-35
36-40
28-35
40-33
132.6Avg total
66.4Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.166.4133.6+0.757%
Season at home (6)69.265.0134.2+4.267%
Season away (1)55.075.0130.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)66.466.2132.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)68.268.6136.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)64.574.4139.0-9.923%
vs Similar (2)51.565.0116.5-13.50%
vs Weaker (6)79.362.3141.7+17.067%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#303
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H05/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#271
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A09/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H08/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
63-88
63
88
-25
A12/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#541
W
84-47
84
47
+37
H16/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A20/11
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#415
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H23/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
33-33
31-39
37-38
33-38
31-36
28-28
29-37
29-43
34-45
39-25
45-22
26-29
38-39
44-32
41-44
38-32
31-32
29-24
34-37
137.3Avg total
68.6Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.367.0136.3+2.357%
Season at home (4)73.863.0136.8+10.875%
Season away (3)63.372.3135.7-9.033%
Last 10 (10)68.668.7137.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)73.063.2136.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)63.675.3138.9-11.725%
vs Similar (7)68.072.7140.7-4.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)86.356.0142.3+30.3100%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -1.0-1.0
UTSA RoadrunnersIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#15
L
17-28
17
28
-11
H04/03
NCAA
Rice
#197
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H09/03
NCAA
Trinity of Texas
#432
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A12/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#526
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H15/11
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H26/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H28/11
NCAA
58.1Avg total
29.0Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.632.262.8-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.829.960.7+0.944%-
Last 30 away (12)30.335.665.9-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)29.029.158.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)29.232.461.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.734.063.7-4.236%-
vs Similar (2)24.030.554.5-6.50%-
vs Weaker (6)36.026.262.2+9.850%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#303
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#271
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A09/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A12/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#541
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H16/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#415
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H25/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A27/11
NCAA
65.7Avg total
33.3Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.035.666.6-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.134.467.5-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)28.936.965.7-8.027%-
Last 10 (10)33.332.465.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.228.463.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)28.437.866.2-9.330%-
vs Similar (7)33.432.365.7+1.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.029.071.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTSA Roadrunners wins
0
Incarnate Word wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/22HDartmouth77-78 OT
26/11/22HGrambling St.55-75
23/11/22HPrairie View A&M82-75
18/11/22HTexas State61-56
15/11/22HSt. Mary's (TX)66-59
12/11/22ATexas A&M-CC55-75
08/11/22HTrinity of Texas74-47
09/03/22HSouthern Miss64-67
05/03/22HRice82-71
04/03/22HNorth Texas48-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22AGrambling St.63-61
25/11/22HDartmouth69-64
23/11/22HOur Lady Of The Lake85-76
20/11/22AValparaiso64-68
16/11/22HTexas Lutheran84-47
12/11/22AUNLV63-88
08/11/22HNorth Dakota57-65
09/03/22AHouston Christian64-74
05/03/22HTexas A&M-CC68-77
26/02/22AMcNeese State69-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %57%67%0%
Points / game67.169.255.0
Allowed / game66.465.075.0
Point differential+0.7+4.2-20.0
Avg total133.6134.2130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%17%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game69.373.863.3
Allowed / game67.063.072.3
Point differential+2.3+10.8-9.0
Avg total136.3136.8135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UAB65183%94.269.2+25.0
2 Florida Atlantic65183%76.364.2+12.2
3 Charlotte75271%65.155.0+10.1
4 Tulane75271%78.169.3+8.9
5 North Texas75271%58.752.0+6.7
6 East Carolina75271%75.170.7+4.4
7 Wichita State64267%65.559.2+6.3
8 Memphis64267%70.063.8+6.2
9 Rice64267%76.376.8-0.5
10 UTSA Roadrunners74357%67.166.4+0.7
11 Temple73443%70.670.7-0.1
12 Tulsa62433%70.274.2-4.0
13 South Florida72529%66.066.1-0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin75271%75.462.7+12.7
2 Northwestern St.75271%67.467.4+0.0
3 Texas A&M-CC74357%76.468.3+8.1
4 SE Louisiana74357%77.672.9+4.7
5 UTRGV74357%78.474.4+4.0
6 Incarnate Word74357%69.367.0+2.3
7 TX A&M Commerce73443%71.966.0+5.9
8 Lamar73443%71.173.9-2.7
9 Nicholls State62433%73.581.3-7.8
10 New Orleans62433%68.079.3-11.3
11 McNeese State72529%72.375.3-3.0
12 Houston Christian71614%73.387.3-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTSA Roadrunners323668
Incarnate Word263662
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