PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kansas State vs Miss. Valley St. Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 108-49
55-21 53-28
Position#292
Record5-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#372
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game88.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kansas State v Miss. Valley St.
08 Dec 2025
KANS108
MISS49
19 Nov 2024
KANS74
MISS56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#149
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A12/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
93-64
93
64
+29
H05/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H09/11
NCAA
California
#79
W
99-96
99
96
+3
H14/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H18/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
98-77
98
77
+21
H21/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A22/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A26/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-41
32-29
33-34
60-30
46-30
52-41
55-34
44-62
39-34
45-49
44-36
54-41
35-45
50-41
27-39
42-47
35-49
31-33
29-35
38-43
160.8Avg total
81.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.380.3164.7+4.056%
Season at home (7)86.478.7165.1+7.771%
Season away (2)77.086.0163.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)81.579.3160.8+2.250%
Last 5 (5)77.081.8158.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)70.877.5148.2-6.831%
vs Similar (12)73.766.3140.0+7.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)75.568.0143.5+7.550%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#221
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H08/03
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
55-106
55
106
-51
A04/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#518
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
60-108
60
108
-48
A08/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
56-88
56
88
-32
A13/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A15/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A16/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
84-120
84
120
-36
A26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
28-35
22-59
33-47
40-27
57-34
23-47
37-61
23-49
33-39
32-36
33-29
32-41
41-39
22-39
48-47
35-52
49-68
29-30
23-36
154.6Avg total
68.4Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)69.188.4157.6-19.311%
Season at home (1)97.061.0158.0+36.0100%
Season away (8)65.691.9157.5-26.20%
Last 10 (10)68.486.2154.6-17.810%
Last 5 (5)70.886.6157.4-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)57.783.2140.9-25.53%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -11.9-11.92nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -5.3-5.3
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -11.9-11.92nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -5.3-5.3
Kansas StateMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#149
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A12/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H05/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H09/11
NCAA
California
#79
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H14/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A22/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H06/12
NCAA
74.4Avg total
36.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.534.067.5-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.032.769.7+4.365%-
Last 30 away (13)28.835.864.6-6.923%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.774.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.874.8-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.837.169.8-4.344%-
vs Similar (12)34.230.264.4+4.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)34.533.067.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#221
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H08/03
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
22-59
22
59
-37
A04/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#518
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A08/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A13/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A16/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A26/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A04/12
NCAA
70.3Avg total
29.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)25.137.963.1-12.820%-
Last 30 at home (10)28.632.360.9-3.750%-
Last 30 away (20)23.440.864.2-17.45%-
Last 10 (10)29.241.170.3-11.920%-
Last 5 (5)30.039.669.6-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)24.638.362.9-13.717%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kansas State wins
0
Miss. Valley St. wins
DateGameScore
20/11/24Kansas State v Miss. Valley St.74-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HSeton Hall67-78
02/12/25HBowling Green66-82
26/11/25AIndiana69-86
22/11/25ANebraska85-86
21/11/25HMississippi St.98-77
18/11/25HTulsa84-83
14/11/25HCalifornia99-96
09/11/25HBellarmine98-71
05/11/25HNC Greensboro93-64
12/03/25ABaylor56-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25ALouisiana Monroe52-66
26/11/25ATexas A&M84-120
22/11/25ACSU Bakersfield70-86
16/11/25AManhattan73-80
15/11/25AUtah Tech75-81 OT
13/11/25AHawaii56-88
08/11/25AMurray State60-108
06/11/25HMUW Owls97-61
04/11/25AUAB55-106
08/03/25HJackson State62-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %56%71%0%
Points / game84.386.477.0
Allowed / game80.378.786.0
Point differential+4.0+7.7-9.0
Avg total164.7165.1163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games918
Win %11%100%0%
Points / game69.197.065.6
Allowed / game88.461.091.9
Point differential-19.3+36.0-26.2
Avg total157.6158.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona880100%88.567.1+21.4
2 Oklahoma State990100%91.376.4+14.9
3 Iowa State98189%92.866.3+26.4
4 Houston98189%75.760.0+15.7
5 UCF Knights98189%88.075.1+12.9
6 Colorado98189%88.478.4+10.0
7 Brigham Young87188%85.268.0+17.2
8 Texas Tech97278%81.470.0+11.4
9 Arizona State97278%81.475.9+5.6
10 Baylor86275%87.881.0+6.8
11 West Virginia107370%72.658.4+14.2
12 Kansas107370%74.663.7+10.9
13 Utah Utes107370%81.478.7+2.7
14 TCU96367%78.767.0+11.7
15 Cincinnati96367%75.365.1+10.2
16 Kansas State95456%84.380.3+4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Univ.84450%92.278.0+14.2
2 Alabama A&M Bulldogs84450%65.973.9-8.0
3 Prairie View A&M94544%81.975.1+6.8
4 Grambling St.83538%70.673.4-2.8
5 Alabama State93633%79.481.4-2.0
6 Bethune-Cookman93633%73.878.8-5.0
7 Florida A&M61517%66.386.8-20.5
8 Texas Southern71614%73.786.7-13.0
9 Jackson State81712%61.190.9-29.8
10 Miss. Valley St.91811%69.188.4-19.3
11 Arkansas-Pine Bluff101910%68.992.3-23.4
12 Alcorn State101910%66.590.3-23.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kansas State5553108
Miss. Valley St.212849
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.