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Baylor vs Kansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 70-56
41-24 29-32
Position#149
Record18-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game69.4
Baylor 🏆
USA
vs
Position#216
Record16-16
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Baylor v Kansas State
02 Jan 2027
BAYL v KANS
upcoming
12 Mar 2025
BAYL70
KANS56
22 Jan 2025
BAYL70
KANS62
07 Jan 2023
BAYL95
KANS97
25 Jan 2022
BAYL74
KANS49
11 Mar 2021
BAYL74
KANS68
27 Jan 2021
BAYL107
KANS59
12 Mar 2020
BAYL v KANS
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
BAYL85
KANS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#33
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A05/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H08/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A11/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H18/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H02/03
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A05/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-34
35-39
45-36
46-40
30-38
35-38
30-25
35-40
33-41
34-33
32-30
42-46
26-39
41-30
26-24
45-37
35-35
26-23
29-26
32-39
138.9Avg total
69.0Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.769.4146.1+7.458%
Season at home (17)82.163.0145.1+19.182%
Season away (14)70.377.1147.4-6.829%
Last 10 (10)69.069.9138.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)66.865.8132.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.877.2144.0-10.317%
vs Similar (12)75.969.6145.5+6.358%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.762.6146.2+21.183%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H12/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A16/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H23/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H08/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
37-37
35-29
38-41
22-40
43-40
32-32
37-42
28-34
26-32
34-41
42-39
33-22
32-34
22-25
32-24
26-34
31-39
38-31
33-35
135.2Avg total
66.5Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)71.369.6140.9+1.750%
Season at home (20)73.367.2140.6+6.065%
Season away (12)67.973.5141.4-5.625%
Last 10 (10)66.568.7135.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)64.664.8129.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.873.7142.5-4.831%
vs Similar (13)67.367.3134.6+0.054%
vs Weaker (4)86.266.2152.5+20.075%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -1.2-1.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -1.2-1.2
BaylorKansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#33
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A05/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A11/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H18/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H02/03
NCAA
TCU
#210
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H09/03
NCAA
63.8Avg total
31.0Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.831.866.5+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.828.267.0+10.582%-
Last 30 away (13)29.536.465.9-6.831%-
Last 10 (10)31.032.863.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)29.630.860.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.337.063.3-10.717%-
vs Similar (12)32.833.466.2-0.758%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.027.568.5+13.583%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A16/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H23/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H08/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H11/03
NCAA
63.8Avg total
31.4Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.265.7+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.831.367.1+4.567%-
Last 30 away (12)30.133.763.8-3.642%-
Last 10 (10)31.432.463.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.630.661.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.434.366.7-1.954%-
vs Similar (13)32.830.763.5+2.254%-
vs Weaker (4)39.230.569.8+8.875%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Baylor wins
3
Kansas State wins
DateGameScore
23/01/25Baylor v Kansas State70-62
17/01/24Kansas State v Baylor68-64 OT
22/02/23Kansas State v Baylor75-65
07/01/23Baylor v Kansas State95-97 OT
10/02/22Kansas State v Baylor60-75
26/01/22Baylor v Kansas State74-49
11/03/21Baylor v Kansas State74-68
28/01/21Baylor v Kansas State107-59
19/12/20Kansas State v Baylor69-100
26/02/20Baylor v Kansas State85-66
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HHouston61-65
05/03/25ATCU61-58
02/03/25HOklahoma State71-61
26/02/25ACincinnati67-69
22/02/25AColorado74-76
18/02/25HArizona67-74
15/02/25HWest Virginia74-71 OT
11/02/25AHouston65-76
08/02/25HUCF Knights91-76
05/02/25ATexas Tech59-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25HArizona State71-66
08/03/25HIowa State57-73
06/03/25ACincinnati54-49
02/03/25HColorado65-56
27/02/25AUCF Knights76-80
23/02/25HArizona State54-66
18/02/25AUtah Utes69-74
16/02/25ABrigham Young65-80
12/02/25HArizona73-70
08/02/25HKansas81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL58%
HomeWWLWL82%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %58%82%29%
Points / game76.782.170.3
Allowed / game69.463.077.1
Point differential+7.4+19.1-6.8
Avg total146.1145.1147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%65%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %13%6%21%
Kansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLWLW65%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %50%65%25%
Points / game71.373.367.9
Allowed / game69.667.273.5
Point differential+1.7+6.0-5.6
Avg total140.9140.6141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3127487%74.258.1+16.1
2 Texas Tech3124777%81.166.8+14.3
3 Iowa State3224875%80.067.2+12.8
4 Brigham Young3123874%81.470.1+11.3
5 Arizona31201165%82.072.1+9.9
6 Kansas31201165%75.567.9+7.6
7 West Virginia32191359%68.264.8+3.3
8 Baylor31181358%76.769.4+7.4
9 Cincinnati33181555%70.565.7+4.8
10 UCF Knights32171553%78.879.6-0.7
11 Utah Utes32161650%75.372.2+3.1
12 Kansas State32161650%71.369.6+1.7
13 TCU32161650%67.668.7-1.2
14 Oklahoma State32151747%72.676.5-3.9
15 Colorado33141942%70.071.3-1.3
16 Arizona State32131941%73.976.5-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor412970
Kansas State243256
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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