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Kansas State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:40
Final 77-65
34-28 43-37
Position#51
Record23-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#54
Record25-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game66.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#34
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H04/02
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H08/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A12/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A15/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H18/02
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A25/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H02/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A04/03
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-25
30-44
36-30
46-31
26-33
37-38
36-36
29-43
23-31
38-24
31-34
44-31
33-35
40-33
34-25
51-44
37-39
44-50
32-37
35-43
142.4Avg total
71.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.569.0144.5+6.572%
Season at home (21)74.963.0137.8+11.990%
Season away (11)76.780.6157.4-3.936%
Last 10 (10)71.870.6142.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)76.274.2150.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.972.6148.5+3.368%
vs Weaker (8)73.862.4136.1+11.475%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#288
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A10/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H19/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H25/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H06/03
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
60-58 OT
60
58
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
48-28
27-34
39-34
24-39
29-29
29-23
32-24
40-44
35-30
25-26
43-42
48-36
38-25
41-49
47-24
37-49
24-25
24-23
42-35
43-43
139.9Avg total
72.7Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)74.266.6140.8+7.674%
Season at home (17)80.265.2145.4+15.088%
Season away (17)68.268.1136.3+0.259%
Last 10 (10)72.767.2139.9+5.590%
Last 5 (5)79.872.2152.0+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.075.7149.7-1.750%
vs Weaker (24)74.964.5139.5+10.483%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -2.8-2.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -2.8-2.8
Kansas StateMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#34
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H04/02
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H18/02
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H02/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/03
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/03
NCAA
64.9Avg total
32.4Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.468.3+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.230.664.9+3.655%-
Last 30 away (10)36.139.075.1-2.920%-
Last 10 (10)32.432.564.9-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.067.4-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)34.034.568.5-0.436%-
vs Weaker (8)37.130.667.8+6.562%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#288
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H04/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A10/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A12/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H24/02
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H06/03
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H09/03
NCAA
67.3Avg total
37.7Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.629.667.3+8.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.429.268.7+10.275%-
Last 30 away (14)35.630.165.6+5.564%-
Last 10 (10)37.729.667.3+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)38.830.269.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.034.372.3+3.750%-
vs Weaker (24)37.528.566.0+9.175%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kansas State wins
0
Montana State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23HTCU67-80
04/03/23AWest Virginia81-89
02/03/23HOklahoma85-69
25/02/23AOklahoma State73-68
22/02/23HBaylor75-65
18/02/23HIowa State61-55
15/02/23AOklahoma65-79
12/02/23ATexas Tech63-71
08/02/23HTCU82-61
04/02/23HTexas66-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23HNorthern Arizona85-78
08/03/23HWeber State60-58 OT
06/03/23HNorthern Colorado84-73
28/02/23AEast. Washington79-74
25/02/23HPortland State91-78
24/02/23HSacramento State60-56
19/02/23HMontana72-68
12/02/23AIdaho State58-52
10/02/23AWeber State63-73
04/02/23HNorthern Colorado75-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL72%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322111
Win %72%90%36%
Points / game75.574.976.7
Allowed / game69.063.080.6
Point differential+6.5+11.9-3.9
Avg total144.5137.8157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%52%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %12%14%9%
Montana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %74%88%59%
Points / game74.280.268.2
Allowed / game66.665.268.1
Point differential+7.6+15.0+0.2
Avg total140.8145.4136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%59%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3532391%74.756.4+18.3
2 Arizona3528780%81.971.1+10.7
3 Kansas3528780%75.567.9+7.6
4 Kansas State3223972%75.569.0+6.5
5 Baylor33231070%77.169.8+7.2
6 Arizona State35231266%71.167.9+3.3
7 Cincinnati33211264%77.269.2+8.0
8 TCU33211264%75.267.9+7.3
9 Iowa State33191458%67.662.6+5.0
10 UCF Knights32181456%72.266.0+6.2
11 Brigham Young34191556%75.569.9+5.6
12 West Virginia34191556%76.070.9+5.0
13 Oklahoma State33181555%68.566.1+2.4
14 Utah Utes32171553%68.763.8+4.8
15 Colorado33171652%70.066.8+3.3
16 Texas Tech32161650%73.369.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montana State3425974%74.266.6+7.6
2 East. Washington32221069%77.171.4+5.7
3 Montana31171455%69.368.2+1.1
4 Weber State33181555%67.267.5-0.3
5 Sacramento State32141844%66.167.8-1.7
6 Portland State31121939%76.275.5+0.7
7 Northern Colorado32122038%73.677.5-3.9
8 Idaho State32112134%69.271.0-1.8
9 Northern Arizona35122334%73.774.7-1.0
10 Idaho32102231%73.072.9+0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kansas State344377
Montana State283765
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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