Kapshagay vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 82-95

21-22 22-29 17-22 22-22

Position#5

Record1-14

FormLLLLL

Points / game65.4

Allowed / game96.9

Kapshagay

Tobol Kostanay 🏆

Position#3

Record5-8

FormLLLLW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game88.4

National League

Other2017-18

Meetings · Kapshagay v Tobol Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kapshagay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tobol Kostanay winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kapshagay

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

93-104

104

-11

A26/01

National League

Astana

53-107

107

-54

A29/01

National League

Astana

52-103

103

-51

A30/01

National League

Astana

53-98

-45

H01/02

National League

Astana

49-104

104

-55

H02/02

National League

Atyrau

50-108

108

-58

A24/02

National League

Atyrau

55-114

114

-59

A25/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

58-92

-34

A28/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

61-85

-24

A01/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

74-104

104

-30

H18/03

National League

27-22

17-26

27-34

22-22

8-31

19-24

13-27

13-25

13-24

11-31

7-27

21-21

12-21

12-26

12-32

17-19

15-25

7-31

21-28

6-20

11-29

15-27

13-34

11-18

26-24

8-29

13-38

8-23

13-19

10-18

16-32

19-23

9-19

7-31

23-25

22-10

20-25

18-28

14-23

22-28

161.7Avg total

59.8Scored

101.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	65.4	96.9	162.3	-31.5	7%
Season at home (7)	70.1	92.7	162.9	-22.6	14%
Season away (8)	61.2	100.5	161.8	-39.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	59.8	101.9	161.7	-42.1	0%
Last 5 (5)	59.6	100.6	160.2	-41.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	65.0	96.7	161.7	-31.7	6%
vs Similar (6)	80.2	74.8	155.0	+5.3	50%
vs Weaker (8)	81.6	71.9	153.5	+9.8	75%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kapshagay

104-93

104

+11

H26/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

78-62

+16

H29/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

87-94

-7

H30/01

National League

Atyrau

61-90

-29

A10/02

National League

Atyrau

96-93

A11/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

81-95

-14

A14/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

78-80

-2

A15/02

National League

Astana

69-107

107

-38

H27/02

National League

Astana

89-94

-5

H28/02

National League

Kapshagay

104-74

104

+30

A18/03

National League

22-27

26-17

34-27

22-22

23-19

25-11

14-20

16-12

22-23

22-19

25-20

18-32

11-25

20-22

22-28

8-15

28-19

24-13

21-29

23-32

17-19

25-26

22-21

17-29

14-22

23-21

18-16

23-21

23-17

10-30

17-25

19-35

26-22

25-19

18-31

20-22

25-20

28-18

23-14

28-22

172.9Avg total

84.7Scored

88.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	80.4	88.4	168.8	-8.0	38%
Season at home (6)	86.3	86.3	172.7	+0.0	50%
Season away (7)	75.3	90.1	165.4	-14.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	88.2	172.9	-3.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	90.0	174.2	-5.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	70.7	92.9	163.6	-22.2	30%
vs Similar (4)	74.2	77.5	151.8	-3.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	93.3	81.2	174.6	+12.1	75%

This opponent (Kapshagay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KapshagayTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-2.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	23.9	39.3	-8.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	23.2	39.0	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.6	23.1	39.6	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.3	21.3	43.7	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.0	15.1	37.1	+6.9	88%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	21.1	42.3	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.3	22.3	40.6	-4.0	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.8	15.2	31.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.9	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	24.1	41.3	-6.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	25.2	43.7	-6.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.1	23.1	39.1	-7.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	12.4	27.1	39.5	-14.7	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	11.6	26.6	38.2	-15.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.2	26.0	41.2	-10.8	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	23.5	43.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.2	20.6	39.9	-1.4	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.3	42.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	20.5	42.9	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.9	22.0	40.9	-3.1	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	19.5	38.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	25.3	19.4	44.7	+5.9	75%	-

KapshagayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

44-48

-4

A26/01

National League

Astana

27-55

-28

A29/01

National League

Astana

24-55

-31

A30/01

National League

Astana

24-47

-23

H01/02

National League

Astana

22-56

-34

H02/02

National League

Atyrau

26-56

-30

A24/02

National League

Atyrau

34-53

-19

A25/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

23-37

-14

A28/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

16-50

-34

A01/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

38-53

-15

H18/03

National League

78.8Avg total

27.8Scored

51.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	44.7	81.0	-8.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	44.5	82.6	-6.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.9	44.8	79.7	-9.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.8	51.0	78.8	-23.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	49.8	77.2	-22.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	31.8	49.1	80.8	-17.3	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.2	44.8	87.0	-2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.2	35.8	77.0	+5.5	62%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kapshagay

48-44

H26/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

48-30

+18

H29/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

44-42

H30/01

National League

Atyrau

31-47

-16

A10/02

National League

Atyrau

52-32

+20

A11/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

42-45

-3

A14/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

37-43

-6

A15/02

National League

Astana

33-47

-14

H27/02

National League

Astana

51-41

+10

H28/02

National League

Kapshagay

53-38

+15

A18/03

National League

84.8Avg total

43.9Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	40.7	83.2	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.5	41.6	85.1	+1.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.6	39.9	81.4	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	40.9	84.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	42.8	86.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.2	44.3	81.5	-7.1	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	34.5	34.8	69.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	47.8	39.9	87.7	+7.8	81%	-

This opponent (Kapshagay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.6	41.9	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	23.8	41.5	-6.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	30.0	45.9	-14.1	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	30.4	46.2	-14.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.0	27.8	44.8	-10.8	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	14.8	35.5	+5.8	83%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.6	18.1	40.8	+4.5	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	22.9	41.4	-4.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	23.1	44.5	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.9	25.2	41.1	-9.3	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.7	19.6	43.3	+4.1	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.4	35.3	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	20.9	37.0	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.4	36.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.2	19.8	36.1	-3.6	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	15.2	32.5	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.9	42.2	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	22.9	43.7	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	24.2	43.6	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	25.8	47.2	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.6	23.4	41.0	-5.8	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	19.2	39.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.9	21.7	43.6	+0.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	41.0	77.1	-4.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	39.9	78.5	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.9	42.0	75.9	-8.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.0	50.9	82.9	-18.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	50.8	83.0	-18.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	33.2	47.6	80.9	-14.4	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.0	30.0	68.0	+8.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.4	36.1	76.5	+4.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	43.9	84.7	-3.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	43.9	87.5	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	44.0	82.2	-5.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	47.3	88.1	-6.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	47.2	88.2	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	33.5	48.6	82.1	-15.1	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.8	42.8	82.5	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	45.6	41.3	86.9	+4.2	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kapshagay wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
18/03/18	Kapshagay v Tobol Kostanay	74-104
26/01/18	Tobol Kostanay v Kapshagay	104-93
25/01/18	Tobol Kostanay v Kapshagay	91-68
03/04/17	Kapshagay v Tobol Kostanay	59-94
16/03/17	Tobol Kostanay v Kapshagay	97-103
17/02/17	Tobol Kostanay v Kapshagay	92-67
23/01/17	Kapshagay v Tobol Kostanay	77-80
23/12/16	Kapshagay v Tobol Kostanay	97-80
09/12/16	Tobol Kostanay v Kapshagay	87-70
29/10/16	Kapshagay v Tobol Kostanay	80-76

Kapshagaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/18	H	Tobol Kostanay	74-104
01/03/18	A	Kaspiy Aktau	61-85
28/02/18	A	Kaspiy Aktau	58-92
25/02/18	A	Atyrau	55-114
24/02/18	A	Atyrau	50-108
02/02/18	H	Astana	49-104
01/02/18	H	Astana	53-98
30/01/18	A	Astana	52-103
29/01/18	A	Astana	53-107
26/01/18	A	Tobol Kostanay	93-104

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/18	A	Kapshagay	104-74
28/02/18	H	Astana	89-94
27/02/18	H	Astana	69-107
15/02/18	A	Kaspiy Aktau	78-80
14/02/18	A	Kaspiy Aktau	81-95
11/02/18	A	Atyrau	96-93
10/02/18	A	Atyrau	61-90
30/01/18	H	Kaspiy Aktau	87-94
29/01/18	H	Kaspiy Aktau	78-62
26/01/18	H	Kapshagay	104-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kapshagay

National League 2017-18

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	7%
Home	LLLLL	14%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	7%	14%	0%
Points / game	65.4	70.1	61.2
Allowed / game	96.9	92.7	100.5
Point differential	-31.5	-22.6	-39.2
Avg total	162.3	162.9	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	38%
Home	WWLLL	50%
Away	LWLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	38%	50%	29%
Points / game	80.4	86.3	75.3
Allowed / game	88.4	86.3	90.1
Point differential	-8.0	+0.0	-14.9
Avg total	168.8	172.7	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	50%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	16	16	0	100%	94.1	62.4	+31.8
2	Atyrau	11	6	5	55%	87.1	73.5	+13.5
3	Kaspiy Aktau	13	6	7	46%	76.2	82.5	-6.2
4	Tobol Kostanay	13	5	8	38%	80.4	88.4	-8.0
5	Kapshagay	15	1	14	7%	65.4	96.9	-31.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kapshagay	21	22	17	22	82
Tobol Kostanay	22	29	22	22	95

← all games of the day

Kapshagay vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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