Kataja vs Lappeenranta Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Mar 2011

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 93-72

30-17 19-19 24-18 20-18

Position#3

Record29-13

FormWWWLW

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game77.0

Kataja 🏆

Lappeenranta

Position#11

Record9-33

FormWLLLL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game86.6

KorisliigaRound 43

Other2010-11

Meetings · Kataja v Lappeenranta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lappeenranta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kataja

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

101-61

101

+40

H08/02

Korisliiga

Porvoon Tarmo

#12

104-90

104

+14

H12/02

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

100-67

100

+33

A16/02

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

87-85

H19/02

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

59-70

-11

A23/02

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

99-77

+22

H28/02

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

#10

102-78

102

+24

A02/03

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

78-66

+12

A05/03

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

91-102

102

-11

H16/03

Korisliiga

Honka

83-69

+14

A19/03

Korisliiga

17-17

32-18

25-14

27-12

31-24

25-19

22-22

26-25

22-18

32-21

21-11

25-17

27-32

27-20

22-16

11-17

10-17

15-13

19-23

15-17

23-20

27-14

24-23

25-20

22-24

28-18

33-14

19-22

26-22

21-19

19-10

12-15

28-26

20-19

23-31

20-26

19-18

23-15

22-16

19-20

166.9Avg total

90.4Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (42)	85.6	77.0	162.6	+8.6	69%
Season at home (21)	89.1	76.0	165.1	+13.2	81%
Season away (21)	82.0	78.1	160.1	+4.0	57%
Last 10 (10)	90.4	76.5	166.9	+13.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	78.4	169.0	+12.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	67.7	77.3	145.0	-9.7	0%
vs Similar (3)	91.0	84.3	175.3	+6.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	90.2	76.3	166.5	+13.9	79%

This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lappeenranta Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Salon Vilpas

#10

87-81

A09/02

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

109-110 OT

109

110

-1

A14/02

Korisliiga

Honka

69-83

-14

H16/02

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

78-88

-10

H18/02

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

68-89

-21

A25/02

Korisliiga

Porvoon Tarmo

#12

95-76

+19

H28/02

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

92-100

100

-8

A05/03

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

75-87

-12

H09/03

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

76-88

-12

A11/03

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

69-86

-17

H17/03

Korisliiga

17-19

25-25

31-14

14-23

22-22

24-24

22-22

23-24

17-18

19-20

10-21

16-25

19-20

21-19

22-24

20-19

18-32

9-23

21-15

32-13

14-13

24-16

25-34

15-18

22-29

27-25

28-28

11-17

15-18

24-22

25-30

20-27

19-12

15-20

22-29

14-18

23-17

17-18

15-33

170.6Avg total

81.8Scored

88.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (42)	78.5	86.6	165.2	-8.1	21%
Season at home (21)	77.3	83.1	160.4	-5.8	24%
Season away (21)	79.8	90.1	170.0	-10.3	19%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	88.8	170.6	-7.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	87.4	168.8	-6.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	77.2	90.7	167.9	-13.5	14%
vs Similar (5)	92.2	94.6	186.8	-2.4	20%
vs Weaker (3)	84.7	78.7	163.3	+6.0	67%

This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KatajaLappeenranta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.3	42.3	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	20.4	43.4	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.8	44.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.0	45.6	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	21.7	38.0	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	23.3	44.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	29.0	18.7	47.7	+10.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	18.4	40.8	+4.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	17.9	40.6	+4.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	18.9	40.9	+3.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	17.6	42.6	+7.4	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.0	40.8	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	17.0	33.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.4	18.3	41.7	+5.1	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	24.9	45.3	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.3	22.4	41.7	-3.1	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	67%	-

KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

49-35

+14

H08/02

Korisliiga

Porvoon Tarmo

#12

56-43

+13

H12/02

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

54-39

+15

A16/02

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

54-52

H19/02

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

25-30

-5

A23/02

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

50-34

+16

H28/02

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

#10

50-42

A02/03

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

47-41

A05/03

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

48-45

H16/03

Korisliiga

Honka

42-33

A19/03

Korisliiga

86.9Avg total

47.5Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	38.7	83.0	+5.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	38.3	83.9	+7.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.1	39.1	82.2	+4.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.5	39.4	86.9	+8.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	39.0	86.4	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.7	38.7	71.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.3	44.0	85.3	-2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	46.1	38.1	84.2	+8.0	79%	-

This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LappeenrantaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Salon Vilpas

#10

42-44

-2

A09/02

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

46-46

A14/02

Korisliiga

Honka

40-42

-2

H16/02

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

35-45

-10

H18/02

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

38-51

-13

A25/02

Korisliiga

Porvoon Tarmo

#12

46-26

+20

H28/02

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

37-47

-10

A05/03

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

26-35

-9

H09/03

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

39-39

A11/03

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

37-35

H17/03

Korisliiga

79.6Avg total

38.6Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	42.7	83.0	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.0	39.1	79.1	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	46.8	87.4	-6.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	41.0	79.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	36.4	73.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	38.8	44.5	83.3	-5.6	18%	-
vs Similar (5)	42.8	40.2	83.0	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.0	33.7	80.7	+13.3	100%	-

This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.0	40.9	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.3	20.1	44.4	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	16.1	37.9	+5.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	18.8	43.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	26.0	19.3	45.3	+6.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.2	17.8	41.0	+5.3	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.8	40.9	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	22.7	42.4	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.5	22.1	40.7	-3.6	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.6	41.6	+2.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.7	21.0	44.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	23.7	43.0	-4.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	25.1	45.3	-4.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	22.1	40.3	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	25.9	46.3	-5.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	30.8	53.8	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.0	23.3	42.3	-4.2	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.8	25.0	44.8	-5.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	24.3	44.7	-4.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	38.5	82.2	+5.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.4	39.7	86.1	+6.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	37.4	78.8	+4.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	37.1	80.0	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	39.4	82.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.0	38.7	73.7	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	49.7	40.3	90.0	+9.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	44.1	38.2	82.3	+5.9	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	45.5	83.8	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.7	46.1	84.8	-7.4	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	44.8	82.7	-6.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	46.0	87.5	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	51.0	95.4	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	37.6	45.4	83.0	-7.8	18%	-
vs Similar (5)	42.0	46.2	88.2	-4.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	37.7	45.0	82.7	-7.3	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kataja wins

Lappeenranta wins

Date	Game	Score
02/02/11	Lappeenranta v Kataja	67-90
28/12/10	Kataja v Lappeenranta	106-67
30/10/10	Lappeenranta v Kataja	65-69
07/03/10	Lappeenranta v Kataja	83-72
20/01/10	Kataja v Lappeenranta	90-65
27/11/09	Lappeenranta v Kataja	72-87
14/10/09	Kataja v Lappeenranta	76-92
11/04/09	Lappeenranta v Kataja	85-105
25/02/09	Kataja v Lappeenranta	106-86
07/01/09	Lappeenranta v Kataja	98-101

Katajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/03/11	A	Honka	83-69
16/03/11	H	KTP Kotka Basket	91-102
05/03/11	A	Kouvot Kouvola	78-66
02/03/11	A	Salon Vilpas	102-78
28/02/11	H	Kauhajoen Karhu	99-77
23/02/11	A	Pyrinto Tampere	59-70
19/02/11	H	ToPo Helsinki	87-85
16/02/11	A	Namika Lahti	100-67
12/02/11	H	Porvoon Tarmo	104-90
08/02/11	H	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	101-61

Lappeenrantalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/11	H	Kauhajoen Karhu	69-86
11/03/11	A	Pyrinto Tampere	76-88
09/03/11	H	ToPo Helsinki	75-87
05/03/11	A	Namika Lahti	92-100
28/02/11	H	Porvoon Tarmo	95-76
25/02/11	A	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	68-89
18/02/11	H	Kouvot Kouvola	78-88
16/02/11	H	Honka	69-83
14/02/11	A	KTP Kotka Basket	109-110 OT
09/02/11	A	Salon Vilpas	87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja

Korisliiga 2010-11

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	69%
Home	WWWWL	81%
Away	WLWWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	42	21	21
Win %	69%	81%	57%
Points / game	85.6	89.1	82.0
Allowed / game	77.0	76.0	78.1
Point differential	+8.6	+13.2	+4.0
Avg total	162.6	165.1	160.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	57%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	75% (4)	67% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lappeenranta

Korisliiga 2010-11

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	21%
Home	LLWLL	24%
Away	WLLLL	19%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	42	21	21
Win %	21%	24%	19%
Points / game	78.5	77.3	79.8
Allowed / game	86.6	83.1	90.1
Point differential	-8.1	-5.8	-10.3
Avg total	165.2	160.4	170.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	2%	5%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (14)	17% (6)	38% (8)
Overtime %	7%	5%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Pyrinto Tampere	42	35	7	83%	85.2	75.3	+9.9
2	KTP Kotka Basket	42	30	12	71%	89.3	82.0	+7.3
3	Kataja	42	29	13	69%	85.6	77.0	+8.6
4	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	42	27	15	64%	83.9	80.0	+3.9
5	Honka	42	24	18	57%	85.1	84.8	+0.3
6	Kouvot Kouvola	42	22	20	52%	78.9	75.8	+3.2
7	Kauhajoen Karhu	42	21	21	50%	87.3	87.3	+0.1
8	ToPo Helsinki	42	20	22	48%	84.3	84.0	+0.2
9	Namika Lahti	42	17	25	40%	83.4	87.9	-4.5
10	Salon Vilpas	42	13	29	31%	75.5	84.1	-8.7
11	Lappeenranta	42	9	33	21%	78.5	86.6	-8.1
12	Porvoon Tarmo	42	5	37	12%	77.7	89.9	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kataja	30	19	24	20	93
Lappeenranta	17	19	18	18	72

← all games of the day

Kataja vs Lappeenranta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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