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Kataja vs Saratov Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 88-80
16-27 27-20 21-26 24-7
Position#21
Record6-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game84.3
Kataja 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record8-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4
European cup2018
Meetings · Kataja v Saratov
23 Jan 2019
KAT88
SAR80
14 Dec 2016
KAT97
SAR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saratov winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A21/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#9
L
95-97
95
97
-2
A28/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#7
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H30/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#6
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A03/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#7
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A04/01
Korisliiga
Leiden
#22
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H12/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H13/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
121-128 OT
121
128
-7
H16/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#7
W
102-80
102
80
+22
H20/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
23-15
24-19
17-21
24-26
26-31
23-17
22-23
16-18
18-18
25-24
24-21
17-23
6-6
22-27
16-19
25-18
18-16
26-14
16-15
13-18
16-20
16-19
27-30
12-16
25-20
26-22
19-26
32-11
20-18
20-21
19-22
27-29
23-24
21-21
33-30
21-15
27-25
22-19
32-21
171.5Avg total
86.9Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.284.3164.5-4.146%
Season at home (6)91.386.3177.7+5.067%
Season away (7)70.782.6153.3-11.929%
Last 10 (10)86.984.6171.5+2.340%
Last 5 (5)93.690.2183.8+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)88.995.2184.1-6.340%
vs Similar (10)78.883.9162.7-5.130%
vs Weaker (10)89.883.1172.9+6.770%
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SaratovLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#10
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H25/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
98-75
98
75
+23
A07/12
VTB United League
Kataja
#21
W
98-57
98
57
+41
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
95-94
95
94
+1
H15/12
VTB United League
Leiden
#22
W
97-72
97
72
+25
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Astana
#6
L
83-100 OT
83
100
-17
A23/12
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A05/01
VTB United League
Bakken Bears
#2
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Parma Perm
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H13/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H19/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
32-16
18-24
16-21
15-16
22-20
36-13
25-26
27-9
23-20
23-12
25-16
19-27
24-30
28-16
24-21
16-15
31-13
25-19
25-25
20-14
25-20
17-22
16-22
24-17
28-21
20-19
21-29
19-12
14-17
18-22
20-9
25-16
26-26
23-17
19-17
20-23
19-25
33-20
23-34
171.3Avg total
90.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.878.9172.7+14.989%
Season at home (5)92.470.2162.6+22.2100%
Season away (4)95.589.8185.2+5.875%
Last 10 (10)90.680.7171.3+9.970%
Last 5 (5)87.084.8171.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)86.391.2177.6-4.944%
vs Similar (10)85.783.7169.4+2.030%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)95.882.8178.6+13.082%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
KatajaSaratov
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#9
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A28/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H30/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#6
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A03/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A04/01
Korisliiga
Leiden
#22
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#8
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H13/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H16/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H20/01
Korisliiga
79.3Avg total
40.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.683.7-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.641.684.3+1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)39.843.583.2-3.825%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.179.3+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.282.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)43.147.890.9-4.730%-
vs Similar (10)36.238.975.1-2.740%-
vs Weaker (10)44.041.285.2+2.850%-
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SaratovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H25/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A07/12
VTB United League
Kataja
#21
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H15/12
VTB United League
Leiden
#22
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Astana
#6
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A23/12
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/01
VTB United League
Bakken Bears
#2
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Parma Perm
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H13/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H19/01
VTB United League
82.7Avg total
44.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.786.4+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.542.588.0+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.984.8-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)44.638.182.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.282.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.044.685.6-3.633%-
vs Similar (10)40.743.183.8-2.430%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)48.540.989.5+7.673%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kataja wins
2
Saratov wins
DateGameScore
12/12/18Saratov v Kataja98-57
14/12/16Kataja v Saratov97-86
26/10/16Saratov v Kataja113-84
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/19HHelsinki Seagulls102-80
16/01/19HSalon Vilpas121-128 OT
13/01/19HKobrat91-72
12/01/19HPyrinto Tampere82-84
09/01/19ALeiden72-87
04/01/19AHelsinki Seagulls85-63
03/01/19AKouvot Kouvola61-75
30/12/18HHelsinki Seagulls83-81
28/12/18ABC Nokia95-97
21/12/18AKTP Kotka Basket77-79
Saratovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/19HLokomotiv Kuban95-102
13/01/19HParma Perm93-76
09/01/19HBakken Bears71-60
05/01/19AMinsk93-86
23/12/18AAstana83-100 OT
19/12/18ALeiden97-72
15/12/18HZenit Petersburg95-94
12/12/18HKataja98-57
07/12/18ANizhny Novgorod98-75
25/11/18HVEF Riga83-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL46%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game80.291.370.7
Allowed / game84.386.382.6
Point differential-4.1+5.0-11.9
Avg total164.5177.7153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saratov
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game93.892.495.5
Allowed / game78.970.289.8
Point differential+14.9+22.2+5.8
Avg total172.7162.6185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears98189%100.976.1+24.8
2 Saratov98189%93.878.9+14.9
3 Varese98189%88.273.3+14.9
4 Sassari119282%93.778.5+15.3
5 s.Oliver Wurzburg97278%85.974.6+11.3
6 Alba Fehervar129375%83.777.7+6.0
7 Nes Ziona139469%90.882.6+8.2
8 Karsiyaka96367%84.276.4+7.8
9 Donar Groningen96367%77.372.6+4.8
10 Leiden117464%76.178.4-2.3
11 Balkan127558%78.275.0+3.2
12 Lukoil Levski95456%80.281.4-1.2
13 Szolnoki Olaj95456%80.783.0-2.3
14 Z-Mobile Prishtina95456%83.287.9-4.7
15 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
16 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
17 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
18 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
19 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
20 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
21 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
22 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
23 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
24 Kataja136746%80.284.3-4.1
25 AEK Larnaca94544%74.282.6-8.3
26 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
27 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
28 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
29 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
30 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
31 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
32 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
33 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
34 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
35 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
36 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
37 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
38 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
39 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja1627212488
Saratov272026780
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