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Keila KK vs Tal Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 58-79
17-20 19-21 12-16 10-22
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game84.3
Vs
23%
77%
■ KEIL 23%■ TAL 77%
Pythia win probability
Projected 73-82
Projected total 155.3
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game73.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus
Other2026
Meetings · Keila KK v Tal Tech
31 Oct 2026
KEIL58
TAL 79
10 Jan 2026
KEIL79
TAL 81
19 Oct 2024
KEIL66
TAL 77
22 Oct 2023
KEIL81
TAL 86
26 Feb 2023
KEIL87
TAL 71
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Keila KK host Tal Tech in the Latvia-Estonian League. Pythia makes Tal Tech the favourite at 77% and projects 73-82, about 155 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Keila KK are 3-4 this season (73.9 scored, 84.3 allowed a game), form WLWLW; Tal Tech are 5-3 this season (74.0 scored, 73.5 allowed a game), form WWWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
22.8%fair 4.38
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tal Tech winWon
77.2%fair 1.30
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
119-115 OT
119
115
+4
104avg 67
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
73avg 67
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
54avg 67
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
43avg 67
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
82-106
82
106
-24
77avg 67
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 67
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
71-89
71
89
-18
56avg 67
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
81-60
81
60
+21
80avg 67
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
58avg 67
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
74avg 67
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
24-27
29-24
28-29
17-24
28-35
17-18
21-16
16-16
28-24
12-33
18-23
21-33
10-21
10-17
19-19
30-38
17-22
16-18
19-28
21-24
19-12
20-11
15-23
19-19
21-23
9-26
22-21
22-19
17-20
25-11
17-10
18-25
21-27
14-26
17-25
28-19
24-27
12-11
14-15
168.7Avg total
79.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.984.3158.1-10.443%
Season at home (4)78.081.8159.8-3.850%
Season away (3)68.387.7156.0-19.333%
Last 10 (10)79.389.4168.7-10.140%
Last 5 (5)75.078.8153.8-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.595.6173.2-18.19%
vs Similar (7)90.688.1178.7+2.471%
vs Weaker (1)81.060.0141.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Tal Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tal TechLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTech
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
73-79
73
79
-6
62avg 76
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Donar Groningen
#13
W
83-70
83
70
+13
81avg 76
H30/09
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
85-64
85
64
+21
68avg 76
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#7
L
74-80
74
80
-6
69avg 76
A07/10
ENBL
VEF Riga
#2
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 76
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 76
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
80avg 76
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
75avg 76
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
41-65
41
65
-24
28avg 76
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
78-59
78
59
+19
76avg 76
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
10-21
14-18
22-22
20-19
20-21
23-14
20-16
24-15
21-14
19-19
21-16
14-22
20-20
19-18
21-20
15-18
18-21
19-28
18-23
16-20
17-16
24-15
21-20
17-17
16-22
28-17
24-26
26-21
25-18
18-18
13-21
9-15
15-21
9-12
8-17
28-11
13-11
21-18
16-19
148.7Avg total
74.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.073.5147.5+0.562%
Season at home (4)75.876.5152.2-0.850%
Season away (4)72.270.5142.8+1.875%
Last 10 (10)74.973.8148.7+1.160%
Last 5 (5)72.871.0143.8+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.787.6161.2-13.98%
vs Similar (7)81.778.9160.6+2.986%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.073.5160.5+13.591%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159Actual: Under 159
Over 159
40.3%
Under 159
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164Actual: Under 164
Over 164
29.0%
Under 164
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169Actual: Under 169
Over 169
19.6%
Under 169
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Keila KK total 79.5Actual: Keila KK under 79.5
Over 79.5
27.4%
Under 79.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keila KK total 83.5Actual: Keila KK under 83.5
Over 83.5
16.5%
Under 83.5
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keila KK total 87.5Actual: Keila KK under 87.5
Over 87.5
9.0%
Under 87.5
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tal Tech total 76.5Actual: Tal Tech over 76.5
Over 76.5
70.4%
Under 76.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tal Tech total 80.5Actual: Tal Tech under 80.5
Over 80.5
55.5%
Under 80.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tal Tech total 84.5Actual: Tal Tech under 84.5
Over 84.5
39.7%
Under 84.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Keila KK -3Actual: Tal Tech +3
KEIL -3
16.4%
TAL +3
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
KEIL
No market prices yet.
TAL
No market prices yet.
Spread Keila KK 0Actual: Tal Tech 0
KEIL 0
22.8%
TAL 0
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
KEIL
No market prices yet.
TAL
No market prices yet.
Spread Keila KK +3Actual: Tal Tech -3
KEIL +3
29.6%
TAL -3
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
KEIL
No market prices yet.
TAL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
Keila KKTal Tech
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
89.3Avg total
41.9Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.647.289.8-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.346.789.0-4.431%-
Last 30 away (14)42.947.790.6-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)41.947.489.3-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.085.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)41.448.489.8-7.023%-
vs Similar (7)47.044.491.4+2.657%-
vs Weaker (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Tal Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tal TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Donar Groningen
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H30/09
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A07/10
ENBL
VEF Riga
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#12
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
73.2Avg total
37.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.578.9-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.640.684.3+3.050%-
Last 30 away (16)35.738.574.2-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.173.2+1.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.470.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.544.080.5-7.517%-
vs Similar (7)39.339.478.7-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.634.677.3+8.064%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.6
48.2%
52.7%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.6
35.7%
31.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.314.1
63.2%
67.8%14.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tal Techtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tal Tech: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
52.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
31.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.512.9
60.0%
67.8%12.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
WLWLWLLLLW
Tal Tech
WLWWWLLWWL
#11
League position
#6
-12.0
Net rating
-0.7
82.7
Offensive rating
86.5
94.6
Defensive rating
87.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.7%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.7%
3-point %
32.0%
55.1%
Assist %
72.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.7 · 86.5Defence94.6 · 87.2Shooting50.5% · 49.7%3-point %35.7% · 32.0%Ball care19.7% · 16.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Keila KK   ■ Tal Tech
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keila KK wins
7
Tal Tech wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Keila KK v Tal Tech79-81
12/11/25Tal Tech v Keila KK110-82
15/03/25Tal Tech v Keila KK101-88
19/10/24Keila KK v Tal Tech66-77
06/01/24Tal Tech v Keila KK83-72
22/10/23Keila KK v Tal Tech81-86
26/02/23Keila KK v Tal Tech87-71
19/11/22Tal Tech v Keila KK85-62
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HViimsi78-72
24/10/26ARigas Zelli70-103
20/10/26HKeila Coolbet81-60
17/10/26HTartu Ulikool71-89
10/10/26AParnu75-70
03/10/26HValmiera Glass Via82-106
29/09/26AVEF Riga60-90
14/03/26HValmiera Glass Via74-96
11/03/26AKeila Coolbet83-93
07/03/26HLatvijas Universitate119-115 OT
Tal Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HLatvijas Universitate78-59
24/10/26ATartu Ulikool41-65
21/10/26HBK Ogre82-78
16/10/26AVentspils85-82
14/10/26ABK Liepaja78-71
10/10/26HVEF Riga70-90
07/10/26AVoluntari74-80
04/10/26AViimsi85-64
30/09/26HDonar Groningen83-70
26/09/26HRigas Zelli73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game73.978.068.3
Allowed / game84.381.887.7
Point differential-10.4-3.8-19.3
Avg total158.1159.8156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tal Tech
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game74.075.872.2
Allowed / game73.576.570.5
Point differential+0.5-0.8+1.8
Avg total147.5152.2142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga770100%92.069.3+22.7
2 Rigas Zelli660100%94.273.7+20.5
3 Valmiera Glass Via76186%91.775.7+16.0
4 Ventspils86275%87.081.1+5.9
5 Tartu Ulikool64267%81.774.0+7.7
6 BC Kalev/Cramo64267%83.779.3+4.3
7 Tal Tech85362%74.073.5+0.5
8 Rigas Juniori63350%84.288.3-4.2
9 BK Ogre73443%86.786.1+0.6
10 Keila KK73443%73.984.3-10.4
11 Parnu52340%77.478.6-1.2
12 BK Liepaja72529%80.178.6+1.6
13 Viimsi91811%71.286.0-14.8
14 Latvijas Universitate91811%76.991.9-15.0
15 Keila Coolbet8080%71.091.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK1719121058
Tal Tech2021162279
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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