PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Parnu vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 70-75
24-21 12-19 11-20 23-15
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#11
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game98.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2026
Meetings · Parnu v Keila KK
10 Oct 2026
PAR70
KEIL75
27 Dec 2025
PAR76
KEIL72
25 Jan 2025
PAR91
KEIL82
02 May 2024
PAR87
KEIL67
28 Apr 2024
PAR60
KEIL53
24 Apr 2024
PAR79
KEIL71
27 Sep 2023
PAR83
KEIL66
18 Jan 2023
PAR89
KEIL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 69
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
65avg 69
A07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
88-75
88
75
+13
91avg 69
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
56avg 69
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
70avg 69
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 69
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#10
W
76-73
76
73
+3
61avg 69
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 69
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
63avg 69
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#22
L
70-88
70
88
-18
68avg 69
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
17-26
19-26
13-15
13-17
17-24
27-17
18-25
27-20
26-23
25-20
10-12
21-12
20-25
13-22
17-21
20-16
15-13
20-23
19-22
13-20
16-22
19-18
19-20
16-18
23-18
18-16
19-21
19-19
21-17
17-13
16-12
21-17
17-27
19-19
21-16
11-26
19-19
18-25
22-18
155.5Avg total
75.6Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.076.0153.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)78.079.0157.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)75.679.9155.5-4.330%
Last 5 (5)72.876.2149.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.284.5158.7-10.37%
vs Similar (6)76.276.7152.8-0.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.173.6159.7+12.6100%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
69-91
69
91
-22
56avg 66
H27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
99-112 OT
99
112
-13
85avg 66
A04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
61avg 66
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
L
73-95
73
95
-22
43avg 66
A22/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
73-98
73
98
-25
55avg 66
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
119-115 OT
119
115
+4
104avg 66
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
73avg 66
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
54avg 66
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
43avg 66
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
82-106
82
106
-24
77avg 66
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
22-29
11-21
17-25
29-22
25-17
24-25
15-29
25-15
19-33
26-14
10-22
17-19
25-24
17-27
14-25
20-25
15-23
18-26
20-24
18-19
24-27
29-24
28-29
17-24
28-35
17-18
21-16
16-16
28-24
12-33
18-23
21-33
10-21
10-17
19-19
30-38
17-22
16-18
19-28
179.2Avg total
81.2Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.098.0169.0-27.00%
Season at home (1)82.0106.0188.0-24.00%
Season away (1)60.090.0150.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)81.298.0179.2-16.810%
Last 5 (5)83.6100.0183.6-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.797.8176.5-19.04%
vs Similar (6)92.790.8183.5+1.867%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -5.9-5.9
ParnuKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#22
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
77.6Avg total
37.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.279.4-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.840.078.8-1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)39.640.580.1-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.377.6-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.675.8-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.741.778.3-5.027%-
vs Similar (6)35.838.874.7-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.738.884.4+6.989%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A22/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
90.7Avg total
42.5Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.348.290.5-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.147.089.1-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)42.549.591.9-7.020%-
Last 10 (10)42.548.290.7-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)41.851.893.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)41.349.290.6-7.921%-
vs Similar (6)46.244.290.3+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.1
49.1%
52.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.3
26.7%
31.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.513.5
65.9%
68.3%13.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.4
51.4%
52.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.0
30.4%
31.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.212.8
63.4%
68.3%12.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLWWLLLWLL
Keila KK
LLLLWLLLLL
#7
League position
#11
-4.9
Net rating
-20.5
85.9
Offensive rating
84.2
90.7
Defensive rating
104.6
45.5%
Effective FG%
49.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
13.4%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
26.7%
3-point %
30.4%
62.0%
Assist %
42.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence85.9 · 84.2Defence90.7 · 104.6Shooting45.5% · 49.4%3-point %26.7% · 30.4%Ball care13.4% · 15.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Parnu   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Parnu wins
2
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Parnu v Keila KK76-72
06/12/25Keila KK v Parnu70-97
25/01/25Parnu v Keila KK91-82
28/12/24Keila KK v Parnu68-98
02/05/24Parnu v Keila KK87-67
01/05/24Keila KK v Parnu80-79 OT
28/04/24Parnu v Keila KK60-53
26/04/24Keila KK v Parnu93-69
24/04/24Parnu v Keila KK79-71
26/01/24Keila KK v Parnu88-93
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26AKeravnos70-88
03/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo78-79
30/09/26HNeftchi IK73-61
26/09/26HBK Liepaja76-73
23/09/26ANeftchi IK67-80
23/03/26HTartu Ulikool88-89 OT
20/03/26ATartu Ulikool71-80
11/03/26HViimsi88-75
07/03/26ARigas Zelli75-83
04/03/26HTartu Ulikool70-91
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HValmiera Glass Via82-106
29/09/26AVEF Riga60-90
14/03/26HValmiera Glass Via74-96
11/03/26AKeila Coolbet83-93
07/03/26HLatvijas Universitate119-115 OT
03/03/26HBC Kalev/Cramo73-98
22/02/26AViimsi73-95
07/02/26HVentspils80-84
04/02/26ABK Ogre99-112 OT
27/01/26HRigas Zelli69-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.076.078.0
Allowed / game76.073.079.0
Point differential+1.0+3.0-1.0
Avg total153.0149.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.082.060.0
Allowed / game98.0106.090.0
Point differential-27.0-24.0-30.0
Avg total169.0188.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga440100%92.063.5+28.5
2 Valmiera Glass Via440100%95.271.8+23.5
3 Rigas Zelli440100%94.275.8+18.5
4 Ventspils32167%92.091.7+0.3
5 Rigas Juniori32167%83.083.3-0.3
6 BC Kalev/Cramo32167%77.078.0-1.0
7 Tal Tech21150%79.071.5+7.5
8 Parnu21150%77.076.0+1.0
9 Tartu Ulikool42250%84.083.0+1.0
10 Latvijas Universitate41325%82.595.8-13.2
11 BK Liepaja3030%70.381.7-11.3
12 Viimsi3030%70.385.3-15.0
13 BK Ogre2020%79.0101.0-22.0
14 Keila Coolbet3030%68.091.3-23.3
15 Keila KK2020%71.098.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2412112370
Keila KK2119201575
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.