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Keila KK vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 61-83
21-23 22-19 10-27 8-14
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game65.0
Keila KK
Estonia
vs
Tartu Ulikool 🏆
Estonia
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game60.0
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Quarter-finals· Keila Tervisekeskus
Other2022-23
Meetings · Keila KK v Tartu Ulikool
17 Oct 2026
KEIL71
TUL89
17 Jan 2026
KEIL93
TUL96
26 Feb 2025
KEIL63
TUL90
15 Nov 2023
KEIL80
TUL73
18 Apr 2023
KEIL61
TUL83
03 Mar 2023
KEIL80
TUL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
75-85
75
85
-10
no box
H03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
L
60-89
60
89
-29
no box
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
68-107
68
107
-39
no box
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
no box
H19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
56-83
56
83
-27
no box
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
60-65
60
65
-5
45avg 45
A14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
20-20
17-21
23-22
19-14
14-31
12-22
15-22
26-23
31-31
22-17
12-16
15-26
15-30
15-32
23-19
30-26
18-15
23-31
20-19
18-18
30-13
14-16
25-24
28-15
17-21
12-19
23-20
16-19
12-25
16-18
12-21
34-17
20-23
24-30
16-18
18-15
16-22
17-12
9-16
162.4Avg total
77.4Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)60.065.0125.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)60.065.0125.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)77.485.0162.4-7.650%
Last 5 (5)75.476.4151.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)72.587.0159.5-14.618%
vs Similar (4)88.588.0176.5+0.575%
vs Weaker (4)99.085.0184.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
L
65-80
65
80
-15
no box
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
no box
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
99-87
99
87
+12
no box
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
W
106-86
106
86
+20
no box
H19/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
no box
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
92-69
92
69
+23
no box
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
A07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
63-60
63
60
+3
no box
H08/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#7
W
65-60
65
60
+5
64avg 64
H14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
18-19
15-24
18-17
21-21
12-17
20-20
14-15
24-23
33-17
21-19
21-28
26-17
32-23
23-24
25-22
20-25
19-22
22-25
19-18
24-23
26-20
15-15
23-21
31-23
13-12
17-17
31-17
12-18
11-27
18-22
26-22
14-8
20-16
10-21
19-15
15-18
22-16
12-17
16-9
156.5Avg total
79.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)65.060.0125.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)65.060.0125.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.277.3156.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)75.071.4146.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.579.9150.5-9.49%
vs Similar (6)79.373.0152.3+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.072.1157.1+12.985%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
Keila KKTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
83.8Avg total
41.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.882.5-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.443.585.9-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)37.142.079.1-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.683.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.679.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.943.580.3-6.632%-
vs Similar (4)42.843.085.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (4)52.838.891.5+14.0100%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H19/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H08/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
79.2Avg total
40.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.076.6+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.136.676.7+3.456%-
Last 30 away (12)38.837.776.5+1.258%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.579.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.273.8+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.039.274.2-4.227%-
vs Similar (6)38.838.277.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.834.778.5+9.185%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 58.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.014.0
34.1%
51.6%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.0
25.0%
29.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws13.09.0
69.2%
69.1%9.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.0
54.1%
51.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.04.0
18.2%
29.1%12.0
🏀 Free throws22.013.0
59.1%
69.1%13.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
LWLWWWLWLL
Tartu Ulikool
WWLWWLWWLL
#7
League position
#2
-9.0
Net rating
+9.0
74.6
Offensive rating
83.7
83.7
Defensive rating
74.6
35.5%
Effective FG%
44.1%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
35.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
28.0%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.37
25.0%
3-point %
18.2%
71.4%
Assist %
62.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence74.6 · 83.7Defence83.7 · 74.6Shooting35.5% · 44.1%3-point %25.0% · 18.2%Ball care15.6% · 28.0%Off. rebounds20.8% · 33.3%Free throws0.19 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Keila KK   ■ Tartu Ulikool
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Keila KK wins
1
Tartu Ulikool wins
DateGameScore
14/04/23Tartu Ulikool v Keila KK65-60
03/03/23Keila KK v Tartu Ulikool80-75
14/10/22Tartu Ulikool v Keila KK69-89
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/23ATartu Ulikool60-65
17/03/23AValmiera Glass Via94-88
11/03/23ABC Kalev/Cramo56-83
03/03/23HTartu Ulikool80-75
26/02/23HTal Tech87-71
19/02/23HTallinna Kalev103-100 OT
14/02/23APrometey68-107
08/02/23HViimsi91-87
05/02/23AViimsi60-89
03/02/23HBK Liepaja75-85
Tartu Ulikoollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/23HKeila KK65-60
08/04/23HBC Kalev/Cramo63-60
07/04/23APrometey67-89
01/04/23HVentspils92-69
29/03/23AVentspils88-79
24/03/23HVentspils80-90
19/03/23HViimsi106-86
11/03/23ARakvere Tarvas99-87
09/03/23HBC Kalev/Cramo67-73
07/03/23HBK Ogre65-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game60.0-60.0
Allowed / game65.0-65.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total125.0-125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Tartu Ulikool
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game65.065.0-
Allowed / game60.060.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total125.0125.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%84.073.0+11.0
2 Viimsi220100%86.578.0+8.5
3 Tartu Ulikool110100%65.060.0+5.0
4 Parnu21150%88.083.0+5.0
5 Rapla21150%83.088.0-5.0
6 Keila KK1010%60.065.0-5.0
7 Tal Tech2020%78.086.5-8.5
8 Tallinna Kalev1010%73.084.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK212210861
Tartu Ulikool2319271483
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