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Kennesaw State vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 87-90
49-45 38-45
Position#113
Record14-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#179
Record11-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kennesaw State v Middle Tenn. St.
02 Jan 2027
KENN v MIDD
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
KENN87
MIDD90
08 Feb 2025
KENN75
MIDD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kennesaw State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kennesaw StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H15/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A17/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A23/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-29
30-38
42-37
48-43
46-43
42-39
47-51
42-35
43-34
38-31
39-43
48-50
45-36
31-46
37-36
35-33
43-24
33-29
22-37
36-40
152.3Avg total
76.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.376.0161.3+9.361%
Season at home (12)92.571.7164.2+20.892%
Season away (11)77.580.7158.2-3.327%
Last 10 (10)76.975.4152.3+1.560%
Last 5 (5)73.874.8148.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.389.7174.0-5.333%
vs Similar (13)75.274.9150.2+0.354%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.577.7163.2+7.867%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A09/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H30/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
34-33
44-37
29-36
29-29
30-26
40-21
18-38
38-36
30-32
34-39
24-36
29-43
36-38
23-30
37-35
38-39
37-36
43-41
36-38
145.9Avg total
71.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.671.9146.5+2.748%
Season at home (14)79.571.0150.5+8.564%
Season away (9)67.073.3140.3-6.322%
Last 10 (10)71.074.9145.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)71.079.6150.6-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)67.378.1145.4-10.822%
vs Similar (13)73.570.3143.8+3.262%
vs Weaker (6)88.767.8156.5+20.867%
This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -3.7-3.7
Kennesaw StateMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kennesaw StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H15/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A23/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A08/02
NCAA
75.6Avg total
38.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.375.8+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.333.777.9+10.667%-
Last 30 away (15)34.838.973.7-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.075.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.272.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.043.783.7-3.733%-
vs Similar (13)35.937.273.1-1.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.635.876.3+4.850%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H30/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/02
NCAA
70.1Avg total
35.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.633.369.9+3.247%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.134.072.1+4.150%-
Last 30 away (12)34.232.366.6+1.942%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.970.1+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.471.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.836.870.6-3.022%-
vs Similar (13)34.532.066.5+2.538%-
vs Weaker (6)44.329.273.5+15.2100%-
This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kennesaw State wins
3
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26AJacksonville State58-77
31/01/26HNew Mexico State76-53
29/01/26HWestern Kentucky72-69
23/01/26ALouisiana Tech76-82
22/01/26ASam Houston St.87-93
17/01/26AWestern Kentucky81-65
15/01/26HFlorida International89-86
10/01/26HJacksonville State88-82
08/01/26HMissouri State90-80
04/01/26ADelaware52-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ADelaware88-89 OT
05/02/26HFlorida International84-88 OT
31/01/26HWestern Kentucky60-65
30/01/26HLiberty65-81
24/01/26AJacksonville State58-75
17/01/26HMissouri State90-87 OT
15/01/26ALouisiana Tech58-59
11/01/26ANew Mexico State59-55
09/01/26AUTEP80-83 OT
04/01/26HSam Houston St.68-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kennesaw State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL61%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%92%27%
Points / game85.392.577.5
Allowed / game76.071.780.7
Point differential+9.3+20.8-3.3
Avg total161.3164.2158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%58%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%8%9%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %48%64%22%
Points / game74.679.567.0
Allowed / game71.971.073.3
Point differential+2.7+8.5-6.3
Avg total146.5150.5140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %17%14%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2421388%79.267.9+11.3
2 Sam Houston St.2416867%83.073.8+9.2
3 Kennesaw State2314961%85.376.0+9.3
4 Louisiana Tech23131057%69.063.3+5.6
5 Missouri State23131057%75.372.6+2.8
6 Jacksonville State24131154%72.866.4+6.4
7 Western Kentucky24131154%77.374.4+2.9
8 New Mexico State24121250%75.871.1+4.7
9 Florida International23111248%82.478.8+3.7
10 Middle Tenn. St.23111248%74.671.9+2.7
11 UTEP25101540%70.071.8-1.8
12 Delaware2371630%66.472.3-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kennesaw State493887
Middle Tenn. St.454590
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