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Middle Tenn. St. vs Kennesaw State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 68-67
40-31 28-36
Position#179
Record5-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#113
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Kennesaw State
17 Dec 2025
MIDD68
KENN67
09 Jan 2025
MIDD84
KENN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kennesaw State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
100-51
100
51
+49
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
109-56
109
56
+53
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H07/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
48-43
0-0
36-41
0-0
48-26
0-0
52-25
0-0
54-23
0-0
55-33
0-0
36-28
0-0
41-44
0-0
30-36
0-0
31-50
0-0
43-40
0-0
47-47
0-0
41-49
0-0
38-43
0-0
34-28
0-0
28-44
0-0
32-33
0-0
44-28
0-0
31-35
0-0
31-48
158.8Avg total
81.9Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.673.3152.9+6.256%
Season at home (6)86.071.7157.7+14.367%
Season away (3)66.776.7143.3-10.033%
Last 10 (10)81.976.9158.8+5.050%
Last 5 (5)73.879.0152.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.082.0150.0-14.00%
vs Similar (14)73.872.7146.5+1.164%
vs Weaker (9)82.964.8147.7+18.1100%
This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kennesaw StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paine
#712
W
105-30
105
30
+75
H04/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
92-72
92
72
+20
A08/11
NCAA
Point Chargers
#634
W
111-60
111
60
+51
H13/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
89-108
89
108
-19
H16/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
H24/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A25/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H03/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H06/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#539
W
121-66
121
66
+55
H08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
60-10
45-20
48-34
44-38
52-36
59-24
41-56
48-52
40-41
43-42
34-37
49-54
45-44
35-36
46-32
42-41
43-28
49-41
65-22
56-44
172.5Avg total
97.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.275.3172.5+21.980%
Season at home (7)99.370.0169.3+29.386%
Season away (3)92.387.7180.0+4.767%
Last 10 (10)97.275.3172.5+21.980%
Last 5 (5)97.279.8177.0+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.286.2166.5-6.025%
vs Similar (15)73.770.9144.7+2.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.077.6166.6+11.478%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +13.4+13.42nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +7.8+7.8
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +13.4+13.42nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +7.8+7.8
Middle Tenn. St.Kennesaw State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H07/12
NCAA
73.8Avg total
39.7Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.634.270.8+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.633.872.4+4.859%-
Last 30 away (13)34.134.768.8-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.734.173.8+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.073.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.038.771.7-5.717%-
vs Similar (14)35.434.469.9+1.050%-
vs Weaker (9)39.729.869.4+9.967%-
This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kennesaw StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paine
#712
W
60-10
60
10
+50
H04/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A08/11
NCAA
Point Chargers
#634
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H13/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H16/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A25/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A27/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H06/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#539
W
65-22
65
22
+43
H08/12
NCAA
81.4Avg total
47.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.734.572.2+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.732.171.8+7.659%-
Last 30 away (13)35.037.772.7-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)47.434.081.4+13.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.632.679.2+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.042.279.2-5.225%-
vs Similar (15)32.734.767.3-2.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.233.475.7+8.867%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Middle Tenn. St. wins
0
Kennesaw State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HBelmont62-83
02/12/25HUAB76-61
25/11/25AMcNeese State62-72
24/11/25HGeorge Washington79-92
24/11/25HMurray State90-87
19/11/25AMichigan61-86
13/11/25AEvansville77-72
09/11/25HWebster Gorloks109-56
05/11/25HMilligan100-51
19/03/25HChattanooga Mocs103-109 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25HSouthern W.121-66
06/12/25HGeorgia State92-69
03/12/25HJackson State88-73
27/11/25AFlorida Gulf Coast102-100 OT
25/11/25AOral Roberts83-91
24/11/25HRice89-84 OT
16/11/25HSouth Florida89-108
13/11/25HPoint Chargers111-60
08/11/25AFlorida A&M92-72
04/11/25HPaine105-30

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %56%67%33%
Points / game79.686.066.7
Allowed / game73.371.776.7
Point differential+6.2+14.3-10.0
Avg total152.9157.7143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kennesaw State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %80%86%67%
Points / game97.299.392.3
Allowed / game75.370.087.7
Point differential+21.9+29.3+4.7
Avg total172.5169.3180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%14%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State108280%97.275.3+21.9
2 New Mexico State97278%73.867.6+6.2
3 Liberty107370%81.865.7+16.1
4 Western Kentucky107370%84.876.3+8.5
5 Louisiana Tech96367%71.456.9+14.6
6 Sam Houston St.96367%86.375.3+11.0
7 Middle Tenn. St.95456%79.673.3+6.2
8 Florida International95456%84.078.9+5.1
9 Missouri State105550%74.972.8+2.1
10 Jacksonville State104640%74.062.1+11.9
11 Delaware114736%68.473.6-5.3
12 UTEP93633%72.171.7+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.402868
Kennesaw State313667
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