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Kent State vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-78
46-37 40-41
Position#52
Record21-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#325
Record10-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game79.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kent State v Western Michigan
06 Mar 2026
KENT86
WEST78
13 Mar 2025
KENT73
WEST66
14 Jan 2025
KENT83
WEST94
06 Feb 2024
KENT63
WEST61
03 Jan 2023
KENT80
WEST72
25 Jan 2022
KENT75
WEST64
09 Jan 2021
KENT80
WEST54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kent State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A30/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A04/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
95-91
95
91
+4
H12/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-24
44-33
29-38
23-31
29-36
46-36
30-34
35-32
40-47
55-44
40-31
35-37
30-25
48-46
32-42
51-39
37-47
33-45
51-28
51-48
151.0Avg total
76.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.480.2165.6+5.170%
Season at home (17)93.183.6176.8+9.576%
Season away (13)75.275.8151.0-0.562%
Last 10 (10)76.774.3151.0+2.470%
Last 5 (5)81.677.6159.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.687.1164.7-9.643%
vs Similar (8)87.182.1169.2+5.088%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.476.6163.0+9.971%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A07/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H12/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
35-50
28-44
43-47
25-36
36-41
41-50
38-40
28-33
48-29
34-53
39-37
33-40
37-43
41-38
47-41
30-26
37-43
22-25
39-36
152.1Avg total
72.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.779.3153.9-4.633%
Season at home (15)77.274.2151.4+3.047%
Season away (15)72.184.3156.5-12.220%
Last 10 (10)72.180.0152.1-7.920%
Last 5 (5)73.879.0152.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.983.2156.1-10.321%
vs Similar (9)75.672.9148.4+2.756%
vs Weaker (1)94.057.0151.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -0.8-0.8
Kent StateWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H12/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A04/03
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.6Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.135.774.9+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.237.279.4+5.053%-
Last 30 away (13)35.233.869.0+1.346%-
Last 10 (10)34.635.269.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.672.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.041.176.1-6.129%-
vs Similar (8)37.936.574.4+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.033.174.1+7.957%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A04/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A07/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H12/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A14/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H04/03
NCAA
69.2Avg total
31.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.037.770.8-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.335.970.1-1.633%-
Last 30 away (15)31.839.671.4-7.820%-
Last 10 (10)31.238.069.2-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.036.468.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.339.571.8-7.321%-
vs Similar (9)32.333.966.2-1.633%-
vs Weaker (1)48.032.080.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Kent State wins
2
Western Michigan wins
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26ANorthern Illinois102-76
28/02/26HAkron70-92
25/02/26HCentral Michigan83-81
18/02/26ABowling Green78-71
14/02/26ABall State75-68
12/02/26HEastern Michigan95-91
07/02/26ASouthern Miss65-66
04/02/26AToledo75-72
30/01/26AAkron52-69
28/01/26HOhio72-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HBall State71-74 OT
27/02/26HMiami (Ohio)67-69
25/02/26ABowling Green88-79
21/02/26ACentral Michigan70-83
18/02/26HAkron73-90
14/02/26AEastern Michigan76-62
12/02/26HToledo79-90
07/02/26ATexas State61-77
04/02/26AOhio71-91
28/01/26ANorthern Illinois65-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kent State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeLWWWL76%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %70%76%62%
Points / game85.493.175.2
Allowed / game80.283.675.8
Point differential+5.1+9.5-0.5
Avg total165.6176.8151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)100% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %13%12%15%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLLLL47%
AwayLLWLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %33%47%20%
Points / game74.777.272.1
Allowed / game79.374.284.3
Point differential-4.6+3.0-12.2
Avg total153.9151.4156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)30300100%90.373.8+16.5
2 Akron3126584%89.673.7+15.9
3 Kent State3021970%85.480.2+5.1
4 Bowling Green31181358%81.571.4+10.1
5 Buffalo30171357%78.375.5+2.8
6 Toledo30161453%80.976.8+4.1
7 UMass31161552%80.577.5+3.0
8 Ohio30151550%77.077.3-0.3
9 Ball State30111937%66.969.5-2.6
10 Central Michigan30102033%73.576.6-3.1
11 Western Michigan30102033%74.779.3-4.6
12 Eastern Michigan31102132%70.773.5-2.8
13 Northern Illinois3092130%69.577.8-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kent State464086
Western Michigan374178
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