PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kentucky vs Georgia State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 105-76
48-33 57-43
Position#71
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game66.8
vs
Position#274
Record4-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#339
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A09/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
87-97
87
97
-10
H15/03
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/03
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
103-62
103
62
+41
H05/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#166
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H09/11
NCAA
Duke
#7
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H20/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
108-59
108
59
+49
H23/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-40
48-37
33-29
52-52
42-48
45-49
35-38
41-42
46-24
57-38
47-31
53-41
37-46
40-26
43-26
54-42
54-30
54-29
45-33
42-35
164.9Avg total
91.3Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)95.366.8162.2+28.5100%
Season at home (5)99.065.8164.8+33.2100%
Season away (1)77.072.0149.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.373.6164.9+17.780%
Last 5 (5)93.867.8161.6+26.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.373.3150.7+4.067%
vs Similar (7)93.787.0180.7+6.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.377.5167.8+12.875%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H29/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H02/03
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H08/03
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H05/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
66-101
66
101
-35
A09/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A14/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#565
W
106-66
106
66
+40
H19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-46
36-38
46-42
36-37
36-41
38-45
27-27
44-39
25-47
41-54
41-31
26-41
48-32
58-34
43-38
50-41
26-32
24-30
35-34
39-37
152.7Avg total
76.1Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.373.9149.1+1.457%
Season at home (5)78.868.8147.6+10.080%
Season away (2)66.586.5153.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)76.176.6152.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)78.070.0148.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.580.6151.1-10.120%
vs Similar (9)72.070.2142.2+1.856%
vs Weaker (11)82.972.0154.9+10.964%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +9.5+9.52nd half: -0.4-0.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +9.5+9.52nd half: -0.4-0.4
KentuckyGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#339
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A09/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/03
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/03
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H05/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#166
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H09/11
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H20/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H23/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H26/11
NCAA
77.2Avg total
42.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.636.178.6+6.567%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.236.281.4+9.179%-
Last 30 away (11)38.035.973.9+2.145%-
Last 10 (10)42.734.577.2+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.233.278.4+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.039.075.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (7)42.037.479.4+4.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.835.178.9+8.670%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H29/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H02/03
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H08/03
NCAA
Ball State
#243
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H05/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A09/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A14/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#565
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H26/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H27/11
NCAA
73.9Avg total
36.9Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.836.071.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.434.272.5+4.253%-
Last 30 away (13)32.538.470.8-5.938%-
Last 10 (10)36.937.073.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.472.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.338.470.7-6.120%-
vs Similar (9)34.935.670.4-0.744%-
vs Weaker (11)39.734.273.9+5.573%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
0
Georgia State wins
No previous meetings.
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24HWestern Kentucky87-68
23/11/24HJackson State108-59
20/11/24HLipscomb97-68
13/11/24ADuke77-72
09/11/24HBucknell100-72
05/11/24HWright State103-62
21/03/24HOakland76-80
15/03/24HTexas A&M87-97
09/03/24ATennessee85-81
07/03/24HVanderbilt93-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24HTulsa74-71
26/11/24HAustin Peay50-62
23/11/24HN. Carolina Central93-79
19/11/24HToccoa Falls106-66
14/11/24AJacksonville State67-72
09/11/24AMississippi St.66-101
05/11/24HBall State71-66
08/03/24HMarshall74-86
02/03/24HMarshall82-79
29/02/24HJames Madison78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.399.077.0
Allowed / game66.865.872.0
Point differential+28.5+33.2+5.0
Avg total162.2164.8149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%80%0%
Points / game75.378.866.5
Allowed / game73.968.886.5
Point differential+1.4+10.0-20.0
Avg total149.1147.6153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kentucky660100%95.366.8+28.5
2 Tennessee770100%81.654.7+26.9
3 Florida880100%86.564.5+22.0
4 Mississippi St.660100%86.365.8+20.5
5 Auburn770100%86.766.6+20.1
6 Oklahoma770100%80.765.0+15.7
7 Vanderbilt87188%84.069.6+14.4
8 Missouri76186%90.163.0+27.1
9 Ole Miss76186%82.668.6+14.0
10 Georgia76186%81.468.0+13.4
11 Alabama76186%89.777.3+12.4
12 Texas65183%82.260.7+21.5
13 LSU65183%82.371.7+10.7
14 Arkansas75271%80.663.6+17.0
15 Texas A&M75271%77.365.9+11.4
16 South Carolina74357%75.469.4+6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State65183%81.269.3+11.8
2 Appalachian State75271%72.765.7+7.0
3 Georgia Southern75271%80.477.7+2.7
4 Marshall64267%76.267.5+8.7
5 South Alabama85362%73.165.1+8.0
6 Texas State74357%74.668.7+5.9
7 Troy74357%72.970.1+2.7
8 Georgia State74357%75.373.9+1.4
9 James Madison84450%77.270.6+6.6
10 Louisiana Monroe83538%73.669.6+4.0
11 Southern Miss62433%79.082.2-3.2
12 Coastal Carolina62433%63.867.7-3.8
13 Old Dominion82625%64.877.5-12.8
14 Louisiana Lafayette71614%69.082.7-13.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky4857105
Georgia State334376
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.