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Duke vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 72-77
46-37 26-40
Position#7
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game60.0
Duke
USA
vs
Kentucky 🏆
USA
Position#71
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Duke v Kentucky
12 Nov 2024
DUKE72
KENT77
09 Nov 2021
DUKE79
KENT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H02/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A05/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H09/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H14/03
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H22/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
93-55
93
55
+38
H24/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A30/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H31/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Army
#187
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-18
33-30
33-30
46-34
31-40
48-44
32-35
37-39
34-29
30-18
47-25
46-30
23-22
31-29
27-21
37-55
44-33
52-29
43-20
57-38
139.0Avg total
77.1Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.060.0158.0+38.0100%
Season at home (2)98.060.0158.0+38.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.161.9139.0+15.270%
Last 5 (5)81.460.4141.8+21.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)75.366.7142.0+8.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.365.4145.7+14.983%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#182
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
117-95
117
95
+22
H24/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
111-102
111
102
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A09/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
87-97
87
97
-10
H15/03
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/03
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
103-62
103
62
+41
H05/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#166
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-27
38-48
58-42
59-53
35-43
56-46
53-48
58-54
45-40
48-37
33-29
52-52
42-48
45-49
35-38
41-42
46-24
57-38
47-31
53-41
176.7Avg total
93.7Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)101.567.0168.5+34.5100%
Season at home (2)101.567.0168.5+34.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.783.0176.7+10.770%
Last 5 (5)90.278.4168.6+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)77.574.0151.5+3.550%
vs Similar (7)90.388.7179.0+1.657%
vs Weaker (21)90.878.3169.0+12.576%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +4.7+4.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +4.7+4.7
DukeKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
W
40-18
40
18
+22
H02/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A05/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H09/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/03
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H22/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H24/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
23-22
23
22
+1
A30/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H31/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/11
NCAA
Army
#187
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H08/11
NCAA
62.7Avg total
35.4Scored
27.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.029.967.0+7.183%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.029.866.8+7.380%-
Last 30 away (10)37.030.367.3+6.790%-
Last 10 (10)35.427.362.7+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)36.824.261.0+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)34.032.266.2+1.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.829.467.2+8.488%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#182
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H24/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H02/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A09/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/03
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/03
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H05/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#166
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H09/11
NCAA
80.0Avg total
43.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.836.879.6+6.166%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.337.783.1+7.674%-
Last 30 away (10)38.134.973.0+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.080.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.074.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.535.571.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (7)40.639.680.1+1.057%-
vs Weaker (20)44.435.980.2+8.570%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Duke wins
0
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
10/11/21Duke v Kentucky79-71
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/24HArmy100-58
05/11/24HMaine Black Bears96-62
31/03/24HNC State64-76
30/03/24AHouston54-51
24/03/24HJames Madison93-55
22/03/24HVermont64-47
14/03/24HNC State69-74
09/03/24HNorth Carolina79-84
05/03/24ANC State79-64
02/03/24HVirginia73-48
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HBucknell100-72
05/11/24HWright State103-62
21/03/24HOakland76-80
15/03/24HTexas A&M87-97
09/03/24ATennessee85-81
07/03/24HVanderbilt93-77
02/03/24HArkansas111-102
28/02/24AMississippi St.91-89
24/02/24HAlabama117-95
22/02/24ALSU74-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game98.098.0-
Allowed / game60.060.0-
Point differential+38.0+38.0-
Avg total158.0158.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game101.5101.5-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+34.5+34.5-
Avg total168.5168.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke220100%98.060.0+38.0
2 Miami (FL)220100%100.568.0+32.5
3 SMU Mustangs330100%93.067.7+25.3
4 Stanford220100%82.557.5+25.0
5 Pittsburgh330100%87.362.7+24.7
6 Clemson330100%84.762.7+22.0
7 NC State220100%89.069.0+20.0
8 Notre Dame220100%87.568.5+19.0
9 Virginia Tech330100%78.062.0+16.0
10 California220100%88.573.0+15.5
11 Florida State330100%73.059.7+13.3
12 Virginia220100%63.550.5+13.0
13 Wake Forest330100%72.061.0+11.0
14 Syracuse220100%80.077.0+3.0
15 Georgia Tech32167%86.376.3+10.0
16 Louisville21150%74.061.0+13.0
17 North Carolina21150%89.584.0+5.5
18 Boston College21150%62.070.0-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kentucky220100%101.567.0+34.5
2 Mississippi St.330100%92.061.7+30.3
3 Auburn220100%84.056.0+28.0
4 Oklahoma220100%83.058.5+24.5
5 Alabama330100%90.065.7+24.3
6 LSU220100%84.560.5+24.0
7 Vanderbilt220100%93.569.5+24.0
8 Florida330100%88.368.3+20.0
9 Tennessee220100%78.559.5+19.0
10 Georgia330100%88.373.0+15.3
11 Ole Miss330100%73.359.3+14.0
12 Texas32167%89.065.7+23.3
13 Texas A&M32167%81.763.3+18.3
14 South Carolina32167%79.064.0+15.0
15 Missouri32167%78.774.0+4.7
16 Arkansas21150%71.566.0+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke462672
Kentucky374077
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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