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Khimki M. vs Chelyabinsk Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 117-82
31-15 21-20 34-19 31-28
Position#6
Record3-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game76.5
Vs
56%
44%
■ KHM 56%■ CHEL 44%
Pythia win probability
Projected 83-81
Projected total 163.9
Position#4
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game86.0
RussiaSuper League· Khimki Basketball Center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Khimki M. v Chelyabinsk
02 Nov 2026
KHM117
CHEL82
23 May 2026
KHM61
CHEL79
16 May 2026
KHM81
CHEL89
14 May 2026
KHM80
CHEL72
09 Feb 2026
KHM106
CHEL87
12 Feb 2025
KHM100
CHEL75
26 Mar 2024
KHM96
CHEL63
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Khimki M. will host Chelyabinsk on 2 November 2026 in the Super League, a matchup that pits a team on a 3-3 run against a side that has gone 5-0, a stark contrast that sets the tone for the game. Khimki M. has averaged 78.2 points per game while allowing 76.5, and sits in sixth place after six games; their last five games include two wins and three losses, with a recent loss to CSKA Moscow 68-72 and a win over Ufa 74-70. Chelyabinsk, meanwhile, leads the league with a perfect 5-0 record, averaging 93.6 points and conceding 86.0, and has won all five of their recent outings, most notably a 95-94 win over Barnaul and a 103-94 victory over Novosibirsk. The teams have split their ten encounters, with the last meeting on 23 May 2026 ending 79-61 in favour of Chelyabinsk. Pythia gives Khimki M. a 56% chance to win against Chelyabinsk's 44%, projecting a close score of 83-81 and a total of 163.9 points, with a 5% chance of overtime. The model favours Khimki M. as the likely winner.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winWon
56.1%fair 1.78
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chelyabinsk winLost
43.9%fair 2.28
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.RussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chelyabinsk
#1
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H14/05
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
H16/05
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A20/05
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H23/05
Super League
Rusichi Kursk
#14
W
83-59
83
59
+24
A02/10
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A05/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
91-102
91
102
-11
H12/10
Super League
Ufa
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H15/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#3
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A22/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#5
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A25/10
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
15-21
18-18
17-17
15-31
19-11
23-19
21-17
19-23
17-11
25-16
13-11
18-18
13-19
13-21
17-21
16-12
15-13
19-9
33-25
20-13
21-23
18-13
14-14
23-24
20-30
22-21
26-27
17-20
15-14
28-19
14-17
23-27
18-17
15-20
24-29
16-18
19-22
19-15
14-17
152.5Avg total
76.5Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.276.5154.7+1.750%
Season at home (2)82.586.0168.5-3.550%
Season away (4)76.071.8147.8+4.250%
Last 10 (10)76.576.0152.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)77.280.0157.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.288.0165.2-10.825%
vs Similar (19)78.775.3154.0+3.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.174.6159.7+10.671%
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelyabinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#4
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H10/05
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A14/05
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
A16/05
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H20/05
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A23/05
Super League
Metallurg
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A04/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A12/10
Super League
Tambov
#8
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A15/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#11
W
103-94 OT
103
94
+9
H22/10
Super League
Barnaul
#10
W
95-94
95
94
+1
H25/10
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
21-13
12-13
17-25
16-30
21-15
18-18
17-17
31-15
11-19
19-23
17-21
23-19
11-17
16-25
11-13
18-18
19-13
21-13
21-17
23-20
20-14
30-16
20-29
20-24
20-22
29-15
18-17
19-22
29-16
26-22
16-25
27-27
15-19
24-22
23-21
24-26
28-20
19-26
24-22
164.1Avg total
84.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.686.0179.6+7.6100%
Season at home (2)99.094.0193.0+5.0100%
Season away (3)90.080.7170.7+9.3100%
Last 10 (10)84.679.5164.1+5.180%
Last 5 (5)93.686.0179.6+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)91.092.0183.0-1.00%
vs Similar (9)79.979.3159.2+0.656%
vs Weaker (20)89.779.8169.4+10.085%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 151.5Actual: Over 151.5
Over 151.5
76.7%
Under 151.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156.5Actual: Over 156.5
Over 156.5
66.4%
Under 156.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 161.5Actual: Over 161.5
Over 161.5
54.8%
Under 161.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Khimki M. total 76Actual: Khimki M. over 76
Over 76
75.1%
Under 76
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki M. total 80Actual: Khimki M. over 80
Over 80
60.9%
Under 80
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki M. total 84Actual: Khimki M. over 84
Over 84
44.9%
Under 84
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk total 72.5Actual: Chelyabinsk over 72.5
Over 72.5
79.4%
Under 72.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk total 76.5Actual: Chelyabinsk over 76.5
Over 76.5
66.7%
Under 76.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk total 80.5Actual: Chelyabinsk over 80.5
Over 80.5
51.7%
Under 80.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Khimki M. -3Actual: Khimki M. -3
KHM -3
47.1%
CHEL +3
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
KHM
No market prices yet.
CHEL
No market prices yet.
Spread Khimki M. 0Actual: Khimki M. 0
KHM 0
56.1%
CHEL 0
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
KHM
No market prices yet.
CHEL
No market prices yet.
Spread Khimki M. +3Actual: Khimki M. +3
KHM +3
65.1%
CHEL -3
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
KHM
No market prices yet.
CHEL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
Khimki M.Chelyabinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chelyabinsk
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H14/05
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H16/05
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A20/05
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H23/05
Super League
Rusichi Kursk
#14
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A02/10
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A05/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H12/10
Super League
Ufa
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H15/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A22/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A25/10
Super League
75.2Avg total
36.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.075.7-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.039.181.1+2.954%-
Last 30 away (17)34.437.271.6-2.841%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.375.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.680.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.544.583.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (19)36.337.073.3-0.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.137.078.1+4.171%-
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelyabinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#4
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H10/05
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A14/05
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A16/05
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H20/05
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A23/05
Super League
Metallurg
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A04/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A12/10
Super League
Tambov
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A15/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H22/10
Super League
Barnaul
#10
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/10
Super League
81.0Avg total
42.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.539.583.0+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.640.483.9+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)43.438.782.1+4.869%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.781.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.087.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)52.044.096.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (9)40.038.278.2+1.844%-
vs Weaker (20)44.639.884.4+4.970%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.3
56.4%
-40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.2
30.6%
-21.6
🏀 Free throws17.714.0
79.1%
-14.0
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chelyabinsktheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Khimki M. wins
5
Chelyabinsk wins
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ACSKA Moscow 268-72
22/10/26ADynamo Grozny80-93
15/10/26HUfa74-70
12/10/26HTemp Sumz Revda91-102
05/10/26ADesna Bryansk73-63
02/10/26ARusichi Kursk83-59
23/05/26HChelyabinsk61-79
20/05/26AChelyabinsk74-61
16/05/26HChelyabinsk81-89 OT
14/05/26HChelyabinsk80-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HBarnaul95-94
22/10/26HNovosibirsk103-94 OT
15/10/26ATambov90-85
12/10/26AIzhevsk87-78
04/10/26AMetallurg93-79
23/05/26AKhimki M.79-61
20/05/26HKhimki M.61-74
16/05/26AKhimki M.89-81 OT
14/05/26AKhimki M.72-80
10/05/26HKhimki M.77-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.282.576.0
Allowed / game76.586.071.8
Point differential+1.7-3.5+4.2
Avg total154.7168.5147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chelyabinsk
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.699.090.0
Allowed / game86.094.080.7
Point differential+7.6+5.0+9.3
Avg total179.6193.0170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chelyabinsk550100%93.686.0+7.6
2 Ufa76186%89.171.4+17.7
3 Temp Sumz Revda76186%91.177.9+13.3
4 Dynamo Grozny65183%82.572.2+10.3
5 CSKA Moscow 264267%71.868.8+3.0
6 Khimki M.63350%78.276.5+1.7
7 University-Ugra73443%72.680.1-7.6
8 Tambov62433%71.373.8-2.5
9 Metallurg62433%76.281.2-5.0
10 Barnaul72529%78.683.9-5.3
11 Novosibirsk72529%80.989.1-8.3
12 Desna Bryansk51420%71.878.8-7.0
13 Rusichi Kursk51420%70.485.2-14.8
14 Izhevsk61517%79.586.7-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.31213431117
Chelyabinsk1520192882
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