Kilsyth vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jul 2015

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 66-64

18-13 15-18 18-16 15-17

Position#11

Record6-9

FormWLLWL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game79.7

Kilsyth 🏆

Southern Sabres

Position#12

Record7-9

FormWWLLL

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game83.0

SEABLRound 12

Other2015

Meetings · Kilsyth v Southern Sabres

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Southern Sabres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

81-90

-9

H02/05

SEABL

Bendigo

69-78

-9

A09/05

SEABL

BA CoE

61-84

-23

H10/05

SEABL

Frankston

#15

91-96 OT

-5

A16/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

61-85

-24

A22/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

87-62

+25

H24/05

SEABL

Nunawading

92-96 OT

-4

H30/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

75-89

-14

H13/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

72-71

A20/06

SEABL

Albury

81-88

-7

H27/06

SEABL

24-26

23-23

19-26

15-15

25-24

19-13

17-21

8-20

9-20

17-23

17-18

18-23

23-21

17-27

24-23

22-15

18-18

15-18

12-23

16-26

22-17

21-15

20-16

24-14

21-17

20-23

25-26

17-17

17-24

19-17

20-16

19-32

20-14

13-18

23-20

16-19

22-24

20-23

17-22

22-19

160.9Avg total

77.0Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	79.5	79.7	159.3	-0.2	40%
Season at home (8)	82.0	80.5	162.5	+1.5	38%
Season away (7)	76.7	78.9	155.6	-2.1	43%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	83.9	160.9	-6.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	81.2	162.6	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	77.0	82.8	159.8	-5.8	20%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	79.1	78.0	157.1	+1.1	43%
vs Weaker (3)	84.7	78.7	163.3	+6.0	67%

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

#14

85-88 OT

-3

H10/05

SEABL

Geelong

88-93

-5

H16/05

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

81-76 OT

H23/05

SEABL

BA CoE

85-86

-1

A31/05

SEABL

Nunawading

93-80

+13

A13/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

109-82

109

+27

H14/06

SEABL

Dandenong

88-85

A18/06

SEABL

Ballarat

79-90

-11

H20/06

SEABL

Frankston

#15

66-79

-13

A27/06

SEABL

Bendigo

85-90

-5

H04/07

SEABL

24-23

18-14

17-20

17-19

28-26

18-23

23-19

19-25

21-7

20-23

15-13

14-27

24-28

23-10

22-28

16-20

29-19

21-20

19-19

24-22

26-21

37-25

28-16

18-20

27-17

15-17

25-23

21-28

23-14

20-23

14-32

22-21

23-25

10-13

20-21

13-20

15-23

25-23

21-16

24-28

170.8Avg total

85.9Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	82.2	83.0	165.2	-0.8	44%
Season at home (8)	83.2	86.9	170.1	-3.6	25%
Season away (8)	81.2	79.1	160.4	+2.1	62%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	84.9	170.8	+1.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	85.2	170.6	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	85.4	88.2	173.6	-2.8	40%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	82.0	80.0	162.0	+2.0	56%
vs Weaker (2)	75.5	83.5	159.0	-8.0	0%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KilsythSouthern Sabres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (7)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.7	21.1	40.9	-1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	15.7	38.0	+6.7	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	22.6	21.2	43.9	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (8)	24.6	20.0	44.6	+4.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	20.3	44.3	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.4	21.4	44.8	+2.0	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.8	19.4	43.2	+4.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	24.0	47.5	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.1	18.7	36.9	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	16.0	18.7	34.7	-2.7	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	19.6	19.1	38.6	+0.5	44%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	21.1	21.1	42.2	+0.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.8	18.7	37.4	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.0	13.5	27.5	+0.5	50%	-

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

47-49

-2

H02/05

SEABL

Bendigo

44-37

A09/05

SEABL

BA CoE

26-43

-17

H10/05

SEABL

Frankston

#15

40-48

-8

A16/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

33-36

-3

A22/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

43-32

+11

H24/05

SEABL

Nunawading

41-40

H30/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

36-41

-5

H13/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

33-32

A20/06

SEABL

Albury

42-47

-5

H27/06

SEABL

79.0Avg total

38.5Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	39.8	39.2	79.0	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	37.4	38.7	76.1	-1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	40.5	79.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	38.4	77.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.2	41.0	81.2	-0.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	37.3	38.6	75.9	-1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.3	36.7	76.0	+2.7	67%	-

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

#14

42-37

H10/05

SEABL

Geelong

46-49

-3

H16/05

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

41-30

+11

H23/05

SEABL

BA CoE

47-38

A31/05

SEABL

Nunawading

50-39

+11

A13/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

63-46

+17

H14/06

SEABL

Dandenong

42-34

A18/06

SEABL

Ballarat

43-37

H20/06

SEABL

Frankston

#15

33-38

-5

A27/06

SEABL

Bendigo

40-46

-6

H04/07

SEABL

84.1Avg total

44.7Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	43.2	39.7	82.9	+3.5	56%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	43.8	42.4	86.1	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (8)	42.6	37.0	79.6	+5.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	39.4	84.1	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	40.2	84.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	46.6	43.4	90.0	+3.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.6	38.1	80.7	+4.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	37.5	75.0	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	18.7	42.3	+5.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.6	62%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.2	18.6	38.9	+1.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (8)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (7)	18.9	19.3	38.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.0	37.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	17.9	22.5	40.4	-4.6	19%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	16.8	23.6	40.4	-6.9	12%	-
Last 30 away (8)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.4	43.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.4	23.6	40.0	-7.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.3	22.6	41.9	-3.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.0	19.5	34.5	-4.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	39.9	39.2	79.1	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	41.1	39.6	80.8	+1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (7)	38.6	38.7	77.3	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	41.1	78.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.2	80.8	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.8	41.8	78.6	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	40.6	37.6	78.1	+3.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.7	38.7	82.3	+5.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	37.5	41.6	79.1	-4.1	31%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	37.0	42.2	79.2	-5.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (8)	38.0	40.9	78.9	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	43.7	82.9	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	45.0	86.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.8	44.8	83.6	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.7	40.1	77.8	-2.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	33.5	40.0	73.5	-6.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kilsyth wins

Southern Sabres wins

Date	Game	Score
18/04/15	Southern Sabres v Kilsyth	64-72

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/06/15	H	Albury	81-88
20/06/15	A	Canberra	72-71
13/06/15	H	Mt Gambier	75-89
30/05/15	H	Nunawading	92-96 OT
24/05/15	H	NW Tasmania	87-62
22/05/15	A	Mt Gambier	61-85
16/05/15	A	Frankston	91-96 OT
10/05/15	H	BA CoE	61-84
09/05/15	A	Bendigo	69-78
02/05/15	H	Geelong	81-90

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/07/15	H	Bendigo	85-90
27/06/15	A	Frankston	66-79
20/06/15	H	Ballarat	79-90
18/06/15	A	Dandenong	88-85
14/06/15	H	NW Tasmania	109-82
13/06/15	A	Nunawading	93-80
31/05/15	A	BA CoE	85-86
23/05/15	H	Brisbane Spartans	81-76 OT
16/05/15	H	Geelong	88-93
10/05/15	H	Canberra	85-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth

SEABL 2015

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	40%
Home	LWLLL	38%
Away	WLLLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	40%	38%	43%
Points / game	79.5	82.0	76.7
Allowed / game	79.7	80.5	78.9
Point differential	-0.2	+1.5	-2.1
Avg total	159.3	162.5	155.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	38%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	13%	12%	14%

Southern Sabres

SEABL 2015

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	44%
Home	LWWLL	25%
Away	WLWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	44%	25%	62%
Points / game	82.2	83.2	81.2
Allowed / game	83.0	86.9	79.1
Point differential	-0.8	-3.6	+2.1
Avg total	165.2	170.1	160.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	12%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	25% (4)	60% (5)
Overtime %	19%	25%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	16	14	2	88%	87.8	73.5	+14.2
2	Geelong	14	9	5	64%	85.6	81.9	+3.7
3	Albury	16	10	6	62%	86.5	81.8	+4.8
4	BA CoE	10	6	4	60%	86.8	86.0	+0.8
5	NW Tasmania	15	9	6	60%	81.5	80.7	+0.8
6	Bendigo	14	8	6	57%	85.4	84.1	+1.2
7	Dandenong	16	9	7	56%	83.1	84.3	-1.2
8	Nunawading	17	9	8	53%	86.4	86.2	+0.2
9	Ballarat	16	7	9	44%	87.4	87.0	+0.4
10	Southern Sabres	16	7	9	44%	82.2	83.0	-0.8
11	Hobart Chargers	16	7	9	44%	70.0	70.8	-0.8
12	Kilsyth	15	6	9	40%	79.5	79.7	-0.2
13	Canberra	17	6	11	35%	76.9	84.6	-7.6
14	Brisbane Spartans	16	5	11	31%	80.3	84.2	-3.9
15	Frankston	16	3	13	19%	78.1	88.2	-10.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kilsyth	18	15	18	15	66
Southern Sabres	13	18	16	17	64

← all games of the day

Kilsyth vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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