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Kipina vs Lappeenranta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 102-86
27-15 21-19 27-26 27-26
Position#2
Record16-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game103.9
Allowed / game89.9
Kipina 🏆
Finland
vs
Lappeenranta
Finland
Position#10
Record8-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game82.5
FinlandI Divisioona A· Aanekosken liikuntatalo
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kipina v Lappeenranta
02 Nov 2025
KIPI107
LAPP93
16 Mar 2025
KIPI102
LAPP86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kipina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lappeenranta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KipinaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKipina
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
91-75
91
75
+16
91avg 95
A02/01
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
L
86-99
86
99
-13
74avg 95
H12/01
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
104-69
104
69
+35
83avg 95
A18/01
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
W
127-106
127
106
+21
118avg 95
H26/01
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
92-102
92
102
-10
90avg 95
H02/02
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
98-94
98
94
+4
92avg 95
A07/02
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
W
115-89
115
89
+26
112avg 95
H22/02
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
W
101-95
101
95
+6
106avg 95
H25/02
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
L
75-102
75
102
-27
53avg 95
A01/03
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
W
102-101
102
101
+1
98avg 95
A08/03
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
19-19
18-17
27-19
25-26
24-28
18-28
19-17
33-13
27-12
25-21
19-23
31-19
40-31
32-34
24-22
25-23
18-36
26-26
23-17
29-23
19-25
29-28
21-18
30-26
23-31
31-15
31-17
28-36
28-22
20-17
25-20
17-31
26-33
17-16
15-22
29-25
31-20
22-23
20-33
192.3Avg total
99.1Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)103.989.9193.7+14.076%
Season at home (10)110.992.7203.6+18.270%
Season away (11)97.587.3184.7+10.282%
Last 10 (10)99.193.2192.3+5.970%
Last 5 (5)98.296.2194.4+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.693.6178.1-9.014%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)104.487.7192.1+16.787%
This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LappeenrantaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLappeenranta
Date
Competition
Raiders Basket
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
62avg 67
H02/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
65-76
65
76
-11
53avg 67
A12/01
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
W
93-68
93
68
+25
85avg 67
H16/01
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
W
82-68
82
68
+14
65avg 67
A25/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
L
77-91
77
91
-14
66avg 67
H30/01
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
65-70
65
70
-5
57avg 67
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 67
A13/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
84avg 67
H20/02
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
L
53-83
53
83
-30
30avg 67
A01/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
56avg 67
H06/03
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-8
20-25
15-19
21-22
14-32
22-16
12-15
17-13
29-21
16-11
22-19
26-17
17-16
26-19
17-19
22-14
18-29
18-20
20-16
21-26
16-22
12-21
18-12
19-15
24-24
22-25
15-27
23-16
20-6
21-26
23-18
14-28
18-19
7-24
15-17
13-23
19-20
12-24
20-14
23-23
155.9Avg total
76.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.582.5161.0-4.038%
Season at home (11)80.582.2162.6-1.745%
Season away (10)76.382.9159.2-6.630%
Last 10 (10)76.679.3155.9-2.740%
Last 5 (5)74.483.2157.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.986.0159.9-12.17%
vs Similar (10)84.080.5164.5+3.560%
vs Weaker (5)81.278.8160.0+2.460%
This opponent (Kipina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
KipinaLappeenranta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KipinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A02/01
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H12/01
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
W
60-25
60
25
+35
A18/01
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
W
71-50
71
50
+21
H26/01
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H02/02
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A07/02
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H22/02
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H25/02
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
L
43-64
43
64
-21
A01/03
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A08/03
I Divisioona A
102.8Avg total
52.9Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.945.096.0+5.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.145.699.7+8.553%-
Last 30 away (15)47.844.592.3+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)52.949.9102.8+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)52.054.4106.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.045.984.9-6.914%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)54.644.899.3+9.870%-
This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LappeenrantaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raiders Basket
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H02/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A12/01
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H16/01
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A25/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H30/01
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A13/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H20/02
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A01/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/03
I Divisioona A
78.0Avg total
37.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.580.4-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.439.375.7-2.940%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.785.1-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.878.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.242.276.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.344.980.2-9.57%-
vs Similar (10)40.740.681.3+0.150%-
vs Weaker (5)40.239.279.4+1.060%-
This opponent (Kipina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kipinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kipina: 98.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.027.0
56.2%
52.4%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.5
34.5%
30.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
70.0%15.9
They take 75.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lappeenrantatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lappeenranta: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.8
46.1%
52.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.39.9
29.7%
30.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws12.48.3
66.9%
70.0%8.3
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kipina
WLWWWLWWLW
Lappeenranta
LLWLLLWWLW
#2
League position
#10
+7.1
Net rating
-3.7
117.0
Offensive rating
96.6
109.9
Defensive rating
100.3
54.6%
Effective FG%
45.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.17
34.5%
3-point %
29.7%
54.8%
Assist %
51.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 96.6Defence109.9 · 100.3Shooting54.6% · 45.4%3-point %34.5% · 29.7%Ball care16.9% · 16.1%Off. rebounds36.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Kipina   ■ Lappeenranta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kipina wins
0
Lappeenranta wins
DateGameScore
19/12/24Lappeenranta v Kipina92-94 OT
Kipinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AHuima102-101
01/03/25AOulu75-102
25/02/25HJyvaskyla101-95
22/02/25HHBA-Marsky Helsinki115-89
07/02/25ARaiders Basket98-94
02/02/25HLahti Basketball92-102
26/01/25HToPo Helsinki127-106
18/01/25ARaholan Pyrkiva104-69
12/01/25HHelsingin NMKY86-99
02/01/25APyrinto Tampere 291-75
Lappeenrantalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25HToPo Helsinki74-81
01/03/25ARaholan Pyrkiva53-83
20/02/25HHelsingin NMKY96-90 OT
13/02/25APyrinto Tampere 284-92
07/02/25ALahti Basketball65-70
30/01/25HHuima77-91
25/01/25AOulu82-68
16/01/25HHBA-Marsky Helsinki93-68
12/01/25AJyvaskyla65-76
02/01/25HRaiders Basket77-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kipina
I Divisioona A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeLWLWW70%
AwayWWWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%70%82%
Points / game103.9110.997.5
Allowed / game89.992.787.3
Point differential+14.0+18.2+10.2
Avg total193.7203.6184.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Lappeenranta
I Divisioona A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLWL45%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%45%30%
Points / game78.580.576.3
Allowed / game82.582.282.9
Point differential-4.0-1.7-6.6
Avg total161.0162.6159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lahti Basketball21210100%97.974.6+23.3
2 Kipina2116576%103.989.9+14.0
3 Pyrinto Tampere 221111052%86.085.0+1.0
4 ToPo Helsinki21111052%85.985.7+0.1
5 Jyvaskyla21101148%84.279.2+5.0
6 Huima21101148%88.889.1-0.3
7 HBA-Marsky Helsinki21101148%81.783.4-1.7
8 Oulu2191243%83.498.1-14.8
9 Lappeenranta2181338%78.582.5-4.0
10 Raholan Pyrkiva2171433%78.083.5-5.6
11 Helsingin NMKY2171433%81.487.0-5.7
12 Raiders Basket2161529%80.091.3-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kipina27212727102
Lappeenranta1519262686
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