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Kirchheim vs Dresden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-76
21-21 23-16 21-30 21-9
Position#6
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#11
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game86.2
GermanyPro ARound 6· Sporthalle Stadtmitte
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kirchheim v Dresden
26 Oct 2024
KIRC86
DRES76
29 Oct 2023
KIRC78
DRES91
21 Jan 2023
KIRC95
DRES92
21 Jan 2017
KIRC88
DRES70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kirchheim winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KirchheimGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Hagen
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A02/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H05/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
W
97-78
97
78
+19
A07/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H10/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
66-91
66
91
-25
A12/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H21/09
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A28/09
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H06/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A12/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H19/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
19-29
30-13
13-22
26-18
12-27
21-12
9-15
19-15
19-29
27-21
32-13
18-13
20-23
15-16
15-24
19-16
14-21
14-26
19-28
25-17
26-16
20-26
21-14
16-24
23-10
19-15
12-26
18-12
17-18
14-15
21-18
16-22
20-17
22-20
29-21
25-20
14-21
27-15
24-26
155.9Avg total
79.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.874.6156.4+7.280%
Season at home (3)84.072.7156.7+11.3100%
Season away (2)78.577.5156.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.176.8155.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)81.874.6156.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.079.0156.0-2.033%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.580.5160.0-0.946%
vs Weaker (14)82.876.0158.8+6.886%
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A03/04
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H07/04
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A14/04
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H21/04
Pro A
Giessen
#2
L
88-89
88
89
-1
A27/04
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H21/09
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A29/09
Pro A
Artland
#15
L
96-109
96
109
-13
H06/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A12/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H20/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
17-14
19-26
22-29
27-22
18-18
21-16
20-14
21-25
19-22
15-12
20-20
22-17
19-21
26-22
24-21
23-26
27-26
22-20
16-17
24-17
19-15
25-21
16-21
25-17
25-19
15-23
11-20
25-34
31-26
18-25
22-24
19-20
15-34
18-18
20-26
18-21
15-12
18-20
16-18
165.1Avg total
81.5Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.086.2165.2-7.220%
Season at home (3)82.384.7167.0-2.333%
Season away (2)74.088.5162.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)81.583.6165.1-2.130%
Last 5 (5)79.086.2165.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.088.3163.3-13.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.183.6165.7-1.422%
vs Weaker (18)89.582.5172.0+7.061%
This opponent (Kirchheim) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
KirchheimDresden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KirchheimLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A02/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A07/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A12/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H21/09
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A28/09
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H06/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A12/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/10
Pro A
76.9Avg total
38.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.778.7+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.936.976.7+3.047%-
Last 30 away (15)40.040.680.6-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.276.9+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.475.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.037.376.3+1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.741.180.8-1.438%-
vs Weaker (14)40.436.977.2+3.557%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/04
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H07/04
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/04
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/04
Pro A
Giessen
#2
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A27/04
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H21/09
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A29/09
Pro A
Artland
#15
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H06/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A12/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/10
Pro A
85.4Avg total
43.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.141.585.6+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.842.289.0+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.782.2+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.385.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.350.090.3-9.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.142.084.1+0.133%-
vs Weaker (18)45.839.885.6+6.067%-
This opponent (Kirchheim) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kirchheimtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kirchheim wins
2
Dresden wins
DateGameScore
11/02/24Dresden v Kirchheim73-84
29/10/23Kirchheim v Dresden78-91
21/01/23Kirchheim v Dresden95-92
13/01/23Dresden v Kirchheim74-55
21/01/17Kirchheim v Dresden88-70
25/09/16Dresden v Kirchheim90-92
Kirchheimlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HNurnberger90-82
12/10/24AKoblenz87-80
06/10/24HBochum70-63
28/09/24APhoenix Hagen70-75
21/09/24HGiessen92-73
12/05/24APhoenix Hagen66-91
10/05/24HPhoenix Hagen68-76
07/05/24APhoenix Hagen97-78
05/05/24HPhoenix Hagen68-72
02/05/24APhoenix Hagen83-78
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HTubingen67-71
12/10/24ABremerhaven72-98
06/10/24HArtland96-109
29/09/24AKoblenz76-79
21/09/24HDusseldorf84-74
27/04/24AGiessen88-89
21/04/24HBremerhaven91-81
14/04/24AFrankfurt75-79
07/04/24HDusseldorf86-70
03/04/24ABayreuth80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kirchheim
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game81.884.078.5
Allowed / game74.672.777.5
Point differential+7.2+11.3+1.0
Avg total156.4156.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dresden
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game79.082.374.0
Allowed / game86.284.788.5
Point differential-7.2-2.3-14.5
Avg total165.2167.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena65183%87.278.0+9.2
2 Phoenix Hagen54180%88.274.8+13.4
3 Artland54180%92.082.4+9.6
4 Munster54180%89.281.6+7.6
5 Kirchheim54180%81.874.6+7.2
6 Tubingen54180%77.276.4+0.8
7 Crailsheim Merlins43175%93.889.5+4.2
8 Bremerhaven64267%90.075.3+14.7
9 Giessen53260%85.874.4+11.4
10 Trier53260%84.079.0+5.0
11 Bochum53260%72.869.8+3.0
12 PS Karlsruhe52340%77.678.6-1.0
13 Koblenz52340%75.282.6-7.4
14 Dresden51420%79.086.2-7.2
15 Nurnberger6060%70.879.8-9.0
16 Bayreuth5050%85.0100.6-15.6
17 Dusseldorf5050%70.290.6-20.4
18 Vechta 25050%74.0101.6-27.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kirchheim2123212186
Dresden211630976
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