Kirchheim hosts PS Karlsruhe in the Pro A on 13 November 2026, with the model rating Kirchheim as the clear favourite at 91% versus 9% for the visitors, driven by an undefeated 8-0 season, 93.0 points per game and only 76.1 allowed, placing them first in the league. Kirchheim's home form is flawless, 4-0 at home with 90.8 points per game and 69.8 allowed, and they have won their last five games, including a 92-81 away victory over Koblenz, a 72-64 home win over Heidelberg and a 103-99 away win over ETB Miners. PS Karlsruhe, meanwhile, sits 15th with a 3-5 record, 76.9 points per game and 84.2 allowed, and their road record is 2-1 with 88.3 points per game and 85.3 allowed; they have won two of their last five, notably a 90-82 away win over Artland and a 87-83 home win over Tubingen, but lost 86-87 at home to Bremerhaven. In their ten meetings, Kirchheim has won seven, most recently 89-70 on 8 March 2026. Pythia projects a 89-74 score for Kirchheim, 162.9 total points, a -13.5 line with a 56% chance of covering, an over line of 164.5 with a 46% probability, and a 2% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on Kirchheim's defensive dominance and PS Karlsruhe's struggle to keep pace.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kirchheim winLost
90.6%fair 1.10
Best odds1.11
Implied86.2%
Edge+4.4pp
PS Karlsruhe winWon
9.4%fair 10.67
Best odds7.50
Implied13.8%
Edge-4.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Kirchheim) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159.5Actual: Over 159.5
Over 159.5
59.4%
@ 1.50-1.7pp
Under 159.5
40.6%
@ 2.35+1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.35
Over/Under 164.5 · main lineActual: Over 164.5
Over 164.5
47.1%
@ 1.88-2.6pp
Under 164.5
52.9%
@ 1.86+2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Over/Under 169.5Actual: Over 169.5
Over 169.5
35.2%
@ 2.37-3.5pp
Under 169.5
64.8%
@ 1.50+3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Kirchheim total 84.5Actual: Kirchheim under 84.5
Over 84.5
68.8%
@ 1.40+3.4pp
Under 84.5
31.2%
@ 2.67-3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.35
Under
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.52
Kirchheim total 88.5 · main lineActual: Kirchheim under 88.5
Over 88.5
53.4%
@ 1.83+1.3pp
Under 88.5
46.6%
@ 1.93-1.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.75
Marathon Be
1.74
1xBet
1.66
Under
Betano
1.93
Marathon Be
1.91
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Kirchheim total 92.5Actual: Kirchheim under 92.5
Over 92.5
37.4%
@ 2.37-1.1pp
Under 92.5
62.6%
@ 1.50+1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.27
Under
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.41
PS Karlsruhe total 71Actual: PS Karlsruhe over 71
Over 71
62.3%
Under 71
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PS Karlsruhe total 75 · main lineActual: PS Karlsruhe over 75
Over 75
45.9%
@ 1.83-3.8pp
Under 75
54.1%
@ 1.83+3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.74
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.70
PS Karlsruhe total 79Actual: PS Karlsruhe over 79
Over 79
30.4%
Under 79
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Kirchheim -17Actual: PS Karlsruhe +17
KIRC -17
43.1%
@ 2.21+1.1pp
PS K +17
56.9%
@ 1.60-1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
KIRC
Pinnacle
2.21
PS K
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathon Be
1.54
Spread Kirchheim -14 · main lineActual: PS Karlsruhe +14
KIRC -14
54.2%
@ 1.86+3.9pp
PS K +14
45.8%
@ 1.88-3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
KIRC
Pinnacle
1.86
SBO
1.86
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
PS K
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.80
Spread Kirchheim -11Actual: PS Karlsruhe +11
KIRC -11
65.0%
@ 1.58+6.3pp
PS K +11
35.0%
@ 2.24-6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
KIRC
Pinnacle
1.58
PS K
Pinnacle
2.24
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
KirchheimPS Karlsruhe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KirchheimLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Hagen
#1
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H04/06
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#1
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A07/06
Pro A
Wolmirstedt
#3
W
24-14
24
14
+10
H26/09
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#15
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A02/10
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
W
24-17
24
17
+7
H04/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#13
W
22-17
22
17
+5
A10/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#10
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H17/10
Pro A
ETB Miners
#17
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A24/10
Pro A
Heidelberg
#4
L
9-22
9
22
-13
H31/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#11
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A09/11
Pro A
45.0Avg total
23.2Scored
21.8Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)
22.6
21.9
44.4
+0.7
57%
60%
Last 30 at home (16)
22.3
20.6
42.9
+1.7
62%
56%
Last 30 away (14)
22.9
23.3
46.1
-0.4
50%
64%
Last 10 (10)
23.2
21.8
45.0
+1.4
70%
60%
Last 5 (5)
21.6
22.2
43.8
-0.6
80%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)
23.0
25.7
48.7
-2.7
33%
67%
vs Similar (12)
22.2
21.8
44.0
+0.3
50%
58%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)
22.8
21.1
43.9
+1.7
67%
60%
This opponent (PS Karlsruhe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PS KarlsruheLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Hagen
#1
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H09/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#1
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A12/05
Pro A
Nurnberger
#13
D
18-18
18
18
+0
H26/09
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
W
23-17
23
17
+6
A02/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#1
L
12-14
12
14
-2
H04/10
Pro A
ETB Miners
#17
W
20-17
20
17
+3
A10/10
Pro A
Heidelberg
#4
L
15-19
15
19
-4
H17/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#6
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H24/10
Pro A
Artland
#14
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A31/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#7
L
17-22
17
22
-5
H07/11
Pro A
40.8Avg total
19.8Scored
21.0Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)
20.4
22.1
42.5
-1.6
33%
57%
Last 30 at home (16)
19.9
22.4
42.2
-2.5
25%
56%
Last 30 away (14)
21.1
21.7
42.8
-0.6
43%
57%
Last 10 (10)
19.8
21.0
40.8
-1.2
40%
40%
Last 5 (5)
19.4
21.2
40.6
-1.8
40%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)
20.9
23.2
44.1
-2.2
29%
71%
vs Similar (12)
20.2
20.5
40.7
-0.3
42%
42%
vs Weaker (1)
15.0
22.0
37.0
-7.0
0%
0%
This opponent (Kirchheim) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st quarter bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st quarter winnerActual: Kirchheim win
KIRC win
no forecast
@ 1.37
PS K win
no forecast
@ 3.20
Q1 Spread Kirchheim -3.5 · main lineActual: PS Karlsruhe +3.5
KIRC -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.81
PS K +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
Q1 Over/Under 41.25 · main lineActual: Under 41.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
Kirchheim 1st quarter total 22.5 · main lineActual: Kirchheim under 22.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
PS Karlsruhe 1st quarter total 18.5 · main lineActual: PS Karlsruhe over 18.5
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Kirchheim -5.5
80.8%
1.29
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Lost
Kirchheim (regulation)
89.3%
1.10
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Marathon Bet
1.09
-
-
+7.4pp
Lost
Kirchheim -6.5
78.2%
1.29
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Lost
Kirchheim -7.5
75.4%
1.34
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Lost
Overtime: no
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Won
PS Karlsruhe under 80.5
73.9%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Lost
PS Karlsruhe under 79.5
70.6%
1.37
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.34
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Lost
Kirchheim -8.5
72.5%
1.34
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.28
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Lost
PS Karlsruhe +22.5
74.3%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
PS Karlsruhe +21.5
71.4%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Kirchheim win
90.6%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
WilliamHill
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathon Bet
1.08
+4.4pp
Lost
Kirchheim over 83.5
72.3%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Lost
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They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kirchheimtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
PS Karlsruhetheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
PS Karlsruhe: 84.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
45.0
25.5
56.7%
-
51.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
16.5
5.5
33.3%
-
16.5
🏀Free throws
19.0
17.0
89.5%
-
17.0
Their opponents take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kirchheimtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
No box scores for this team yet.
PS Karlsruhetheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
PS Karlsruhe: 84.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
45.0
25.5
56.7%
-
51.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
16.5
5.5
33.3%
-
16.5
🏀Free throws
19.0
17.0
89.5%
-
17.0
Their opponents take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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