Kobe will host the Tokyo Sunrockers on 10 November 2026 in the B League, with the model designating the Sunrockers as the clear favourite because their 10-5 record, 89.5 points per game and 79.8 allowed per game outpace Kobe's 4-10 record, 79.5 points per game and 84.9 allowed per game, and their 22nd-place league position. Kobe has struggled overall, winning only four of fourteen games and averaging 79.5 points while conceding 84.9, and their home form is 3-4 with 82.0 points scored and 83.7 allowed; they have won two of their last five and recently beat Yokohama 87-70 away, beat Nagasaki 90-87 at home, and lost to Nagasaki 71-81 at home. Tokyo, meanwhile, has won ten of fifteen games, scoring 89.5 and allowing 79.8, and on the road they are 5-1 with 91.7 points and 78.3 allowed; they have won three of five recent games, including a 92-87 home win over Kyoto, a 79-87 away loss to Sendai, and an 80-73 away win over Sendai. The Pythia model gives Tokyo a 85% chance of winning versus Kobe's 15%, projects a 78-90 score for a 167.7 total, and sees the 11.5-point home line covered by Kobe 48% of the time, with a 3% chance of overtime. Kobe's last game ended in a 71-81 loss to Nagasaki.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 79.5 | 84.9 | 164.4 | -5.4 | 29% |
| Season at home (7) | 82.0 | 83.7 | 165.7 | -1.7 | 43% |
| Season away (7) | 77.0 | 86.1 | 163.1 | -9.1 | 14% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.5 | 85.3 | 166.8 | -3.8 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.8 | 85.2 | 170.0 | -0.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 82.2 | 84.6 | 166.8 | -2.4 | 30% |
| vs Similar (13) | 81.5 | 78.9 | 160.4 | +2.5 | 54% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 84.1 | 78.9 | 163.0 | +5.3 | 71% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (15) | 89.5 | 79.8 | 169.3 | +9.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (9) | 88.1 | 80.8 | 168.9 | +7.3 | 56% |
| Season away (6) | 91.7 | 78.3 | 170.0 | +13.3 | 83% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.8 | 79.7 | 168.5 | +9.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.2 | 82.8 | 169.0 | +3.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 85.0 | 96.0 | 181.0 | -11.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (3) | 75.7 | 76.7 | 152.3 | -1.0 | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 93.7 | 79.2 | 172.9 | +14.5 | 82% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.7 | 40.4 | 79.1 | -1.7 | 47% | 27% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 41.5 | 40.5 | 82.0 | +1.0 | 50% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 35.6 | 40.3 | 75.9 | -4.7 | 43% | 14% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.4 | 42.1 | 78.5 | -5.7 | 40% | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 41.6 | 80.4 | -2.8 | 60% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 38.6 | 40.8 | 79.4 | -2.2 | 40% | 10% |
| vs Similar (13) | 36.5 | 40.2 | 76.6 | -3.7 | 46% | 23% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 43.1 | 40.3 | 83.4 | +2.9 | 57% | 57% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (15) | 46.1 | 39.9 | 86.0 | +6.3 | 73% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (9) | 44.6 | 37.9 | 82.4 | +6.7 | 78% | 44% |
| Last 30 away (6) | 48.5 | 42.8 | 91.3 | +5.7 | 67% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.7 | 40.2 | 86.9 | +6.5 | 70% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 41.4 | 85.6 | +2.8 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 47.0 | 43.0 | 90.0 | +4.0 | 100% | 100% |
| vs Similar (3) | 40.7 | 40.3 | 81.0 | +0.3 | 67% | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 47.5 | 39.5 | 87.0 | +8.1 | 73% | 55% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tokyo Sunrockers over 80.5 | 82.5% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers over 82.5 | 76.9% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers over 77.5 | 89.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers over 76.5 | 90.8% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers over 78.5 | 87.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers -3.5 | 78.4% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers over 74.5 | 93.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers over 70.5 | 97.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers over 72.5 | 95.7% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers over 68.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers +9.5 | 96.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers over 83.5 | 73.7% | 1.32 | 1.40 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 85.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers over 84.5 | 70.3% | 1.41 | 1.52 | 1.42 | 1.30 | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Over 158.5 | 70.9% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers -4.5 | 75.5% | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers (regulation) | 83.5% | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Over 140.5 | 95.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 76.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 97.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers +4.5 | 91.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Kobe under 83.5 | 71.6% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Lost |
| Tokyo Sunrockers +14.5 | 98.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 91.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Kobe under 96.5 | 96.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Kobe under 98.5 | 97.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Kobe under 97.5 | 96.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Kobe under 94.5 | 94.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers -5.5 | 72.4% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Kobe under 88.5 | 85.1% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Kobe under 92.5 | 92.0% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Kobe under 84.5 | 74.7% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Lost |
| Tokyo Sunrockers under 95.5 | 71.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Lost |
| Kobe under 87.5 | 82.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Kobe over 71.5 | 73.0% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Kobe under 90.5 | 89.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Kobe under 86.5 | 80.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Lost |
| Kobe over 70.5 | 76.2% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 91.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Lost |
| Tokyo Sunrockers win | 85.3% | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | +1.7pp | Won |
| Tokyo Sunrockers under 98.5 | 80.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Lost |
| Kobe +18.5 | 72.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Lost |
| Tokyo Sunrockers under 97.5 | 78.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Lost |
| Under 185.5 | 86.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Lost |
| Kobe +20.5 | 77.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Lost |
| Under 180.5 | 78.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Lost |
| Tokyo Sunrockers under 96.5 | 75.0% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 46.0 | 22.6 | 53.6% | 45.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 8.0 | 32.9% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.7 | 11.1 | 73.8% | 11.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.2 | 23.1 | 53.6% | 46.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.4 | 9.8 | 32.9% | 29.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 13.0 | 73.8% | 13.0 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWW | 29% |
| Home | WLLLW | 43% |
| Away | LLLLW | 14% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 7 | 7 |
| Win % | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| Points / game | 79.5 | 82.0 | 77.0 |
| Allowed / game | 84.9 | 83.7 | 86.1 |
| Point differential | -5.4 | -1.7 | -9.1 |
| Avg total | 164.4 | 165.7 | 163.1 |
| Over 166.25 | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Win by 10+ | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 50% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLW | 67% |
| Home | LLWLW | 56% |
| Away | WWWWL | 83% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 9 | 6 |
| Win % | 67% | 56% | 83% |
| Points / game | 89.5 | 88.1 | 91.7 |
| Allowed / game | 79.8 | 80.8 | 78.3 |
| Point differential | +9.7 | +7.3 | +13.3 |
| Avg total | 169.3 | 168.9 | 170.0 |
| Over 166.25 | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 44% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 33% (3) | - |
| Overtime % | 7% | 11% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 93% | 90.4 | 79.1 | +11.2 | |
| 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 92% | 91.2 | 75.2 | +15.9 | |
| 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 93.2 | 82.9 | +10.4 | |
| 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 90.3 | 80.2 | +10.1 | |
| 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 87.6 | 79.8 | +7.9 | |
| 6 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 73% | 82.7 | 73.7 | +8.9 | |
| 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 85.3 | 81.4 | +3.9 | |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 15 | 10 | 5 | 67% | 89.5 | 79.8 | +9.7 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 14 | 9 | 5 | 64% | 96.5 | 94.6 | +1.9 |
| 10 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 84.4 | 78.5 | +5.9 | |
| 11 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53% | 82.9 | 87.7 | -4.8 | |
| 12 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.6 | 78.4 | +5.1 | |
| 13 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 83.6 | 81.9 | +1.7 | |
| 14 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 78.5 | 83.4 | -4.9 | |
| 15 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 85.6 | 88.8 | -3.2 | |
| 16 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 81.1 | 84.6 | -3.5 | |
| 17 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 84.4 | 86.6 | -2.2 | |
| 18 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 91.8 | 96.7 | -4.9 | |
| 19 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 83.2 | 82.2 | +1.1 | |
| 20 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 38% | 77.4 | 81.9 | -4.6 | |
| 21 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 38% | 80.8 | 85.8 | -4.9 | |
| 22 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 79.5 | 84.9 | -5.4 | |
| 23 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27% | 78.8 | 84.0 | -5.2 | |
| 24 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27% | 82.7 | 90.1 | -7.4 | |
| 25 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 78.2 | 95.2 | -17.0 | |
| 26 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 67.9 | 89.9 | -22.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 18 | 24 | 26 | 87 | |
| Tokyo Sunrockers | 37 | 31 | 20 | 20 | 108 |
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