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Kobe vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Projected 78-86
Projected total 164.1
Final 71-81
19-11 19-22 19-25 14-23
Position#22
Record2-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game86.5
Vs
24%
76%
■ KOBE 24%■ NAGA 76%
Pythia win probability
Position#21
Record5-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game80.2
JapanB League· Glion Arena Kobe
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kobe v Nagasaki
01 Nov 2026
KOBE90
NAGA87
31 Oct 2026
KOBE71
NAGA81
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Kobe host Nagasaki in the B League. Pythia makes Nagasaki the favourite at 76% and projects 78-86, about 164 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Kobe are 2-9 this season (78.6 scored, 86.5 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Nagasaki are 5-7 this season (75.8 scored, 80.2 allowed a game), form LWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kobe winLost
24.2%fair 4.14
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
75.8%fair 1.32
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 29 Oct 18:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KobeJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKobe
Date
Competition
Osaka
#26
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 71
H27/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
61avg 71
A02/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
61avg 71
A04/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 71
H08/10
B League
Saga
#25
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 71
H10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 71
A12/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
71-80
71
80
-9
66avg 71
A19/10
B League
Shiga
#19
L
80-92
80
92
-12
74avg 71
A21/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 71
H24/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
87-97
87
97
-10
76avg 71
A26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
22-26
23-12
20-16
12-26
26-20
19-23
16-27
16-15
14-30
10-16
32-22
19-22
24-29
18-18
33-17
20-27
12-17
26-15
19-25
13-19
13-20
26-23
17-23
17-23
9-16
16-28
29-13
26-18
17-22
14-23
23-29
21-22
16-25
28-27
24-17
19-24
17-25
24-24
27-24
166.8Avg total
79.6Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.686.5165.1-7.818%
Season at home (5)82.683.6166.2-1.040%
Season away (6)75.388.8164.2-13.50%
Last 10 (10)79.687.2166.8-7.620%
Last 5 (5)79.289.0168.2-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.083.7164.7-2.730%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.080.0161.0+1.045%
vs Weaker (9)83.675.8159.3+7.878%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#20
W
74-71
74
71
+3
63avg 83
H08/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
70-59
70
59
+11
66avg 83
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#22
W
85-69
85
69
+16
88avg 83
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#1
L
83-98
83
98
-15
no box
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
44avg 83
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#18
L
65-82
65
82
-17
53avg 83
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 83
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#19
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 83
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 83
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
16-24
15-10
24-15
15-16
27-19
9-10
19-14
19-13
20-13
23-26
23-17
16-26
27-17
27-28
13-27
20-30
15-22
17-18
11-25
17-15
16-27
21-18
11-22
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
159.6Avg total
80.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.880.2156.1-4.442%
Season at home (7)76.777.0153.7-0.357%
Season away (5)74.684.8159.4-10.220%
Last 10 (10)80.778.9159.6+1.860%
Last 5 (5)86.479.4165.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.085.5160.5-10.525%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.277.8155.0-0.550%
vs Weaker (18)87.876.4164.2+11.383%
This opponent (Kobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163Actual: Under 163
Over 163
52.0%
Under 163
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168Actual: Under 168
Over 168
39.7%
Under 168
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173Actual: Under 173
Over 173
28.5%
Under 173
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Kobe total 79.5Actual: Kobe under 79.5
Over 79.5
43.8%
Under 79.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kobe total 83.5Actual: Kobe under 83.5
Over 83.5
29.5%
Under 83.5
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kobe total 87.5Actual: Kobe under 87.5
Over 87.5
18.0%
Under 87.5
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagasaki total 80.5Actual: Nagasaki over 80.5
Over 80.5
70.8%
Under 80.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagasaki total 84.5Actual: Nagasaki under 84.5
Over 84.5
55.9%
Under 84.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagasaki total 88.5Actual: Nagasaki under 88.5
Over 88.5
40.2%
Under 88.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kobe -3Actual: Nagasaki +3
KOBE -3
17.5%
NAGA +3
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
KOBE
No market prices yet.
NAGA
No market prices yet.
Spread Kobe 0Actual: Nagasaki 0
KOBE 0
24.2%
NAGA 0
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
KOBE
No market prices yet.
NAGA
No market prices yet.
Spread Kobe +3Actual: Nagasaki -3
KOBE +3
31.2%
NAGA -3
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
KOBE
No market prices yet.
NAGA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
KobeNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#26
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H27/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A02/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A04/10
B League
Chiba
#14
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H08/10
B League
Saga
#25
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A12/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A19/10
B League
Shiga
#19
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H24/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A26/10
B League
80.2Avg total
35.2Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.478.2-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.741.982.7-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)34.938.873.7-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.245.080.2-9.810%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.876.4-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.942.179.0-5.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.040.976.9-4.936%-
vs Weaker (9)41.037.878.8+3.256%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#20
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H08/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#22
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#18
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
82.0Avg total
42.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.980.5+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.938.679.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (11)43.039.482.4+3.673%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.782.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.084.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.139.677.8-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.537.875.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (18)44.238.882.9+5.467%-
This opponent (Kobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobe: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.222.6
51.1%
53.6%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.5
27.8%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.412.1
65.8%
73.8%12.1
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.6
51.6%
53.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.4
34.8%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.010.2
72.9%
73.8%10.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kobe
LLLLLLWLLW
Nagasaki
WWLWLLLWWW
#22
League position
#21
-8.2
Net rating
-2.7
88.8
Offensive rating
89.5
97.0
Defensive rating
92.2
47.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.8%
3-point %
34.8%
64.5%
Assist %
65.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.8 · 89.5Defence97.0 · 92.2Shooting47.5% · 51.9%3-point %27.8% · 34.8%Ball care14.2% · 16.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Kobe   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kobe wins
1
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
12/10/26Nagasaki v Kobe85-69
Kobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/26AShinshu87-97
24/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-91
21/10/26AShiga80-92
19/10/26ASendai71-80
12/10/26ANagasaki69-85
10/10/26HSaga77-84
08/10/26HChiba94-86
04/10/26AHiroshima D.72-83
02/10/26AHiroshima D.73-96
27/09/26HOsaka84-78
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
19/10/26HAltiri Chiba65-82
17/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-95
14/10/26HKCC Egis83-98
12/10/26HKobe85-69
10/10/26HGunma70-59
08/10/26HShinshu74-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kobe
B League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%40%0%
Points / game78.682.675.3
Allowed / game86.583.688.8
Point differential-7.8-1.0-13.5
Avg total165.1166.2164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%57%20%
Points / game75.876.774.6
Allowed / game80.277.084.8
Point differential-4.4-0.3-10.2
Avg total156.1153.7159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1211192%92.680.2+12.4
3 NeoPhoenix76186%87.179.1+8.0
4 SeaHorses Mikawa86275%90.177.6+12.5
5 Alvark129375%94.183.5+10.6
6 Sendai129375%86.680.1+6.5
7 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
8 Tokyo Sunrockers128467%91.079.2+11.8
9 Gunma117464%78.975.2+3.7
10 Levanga Hokkaido106460%97.893.9+3.9
11 Ryukyu116555%84.981.2+3.7
12 Toyama116555%82.385.7-3.5
13 Utsunomiya Brex115645%81.482.0-0.6
14 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
15 Ibaraki Robots125742%81.879.2+2.7
16 Nagasaki125742%75.880.2-4.4
17 Yokohama125742%79.686.1-6.5
18 Shimane114736%81.983.5-1.6
19 Brave Thunders114736%81.885.6-3.8
20 Chiba114736%91.598.0-6.5
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe112918%78.686.5-7.8
25 Saga111109%75.594.4-18.8
26 Osaka111109%69.388.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kobe1919191471
Nagasaki1122252381
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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