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Koblenz vs Kirchheim Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Projected 80-90
Projected total 170.2
Final 81-92
26-28 19-19 19-23 17-22
Position#13
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game85.7
Vs
18%
82%
■ KOBL 18%■ KIRC 82%
Pythia win probability
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game75.4
GermanyPro ARound 8· Sporthalle Oberwerth
Other2026-27
Meetings · Koblenz v Kirchheim
09 Nov 2026
KOBL81
KIRC92
28 Dec 2025
KOBL98
KIRC105
12 Oct 2024
KOBL80
KIRC87
27 Dec 2023
KOBL73
KIRC57
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 9 November 2026 the Pro A fixture pits Koblenz against the unbeaten Kirchheim, the model favouring the latter with an 82% win probability because of Kirchheim's flawless 7-0 record, 93.1 points per game and 75.4 allowed, and Koblenz's 3-4 season showing 83.4 points scored and 85.7 allowed; Kirchheim's dominance is further underscored by their 3-0 road record and 96.3 points per game on the road. Koblenz has struggled in recent outings, losing three of their last five games and suffering defeats to Gottingen, Giessen and Wolmirstedt, while Kirchheim has won every one of their last five, dispatching Heidelberg, ETB Miners and Paderborn. Historically, Kirchheim has won five of six encounters, most recently 84-68 on 14 February 2026. The Pythia model projects a 80-90 scoreline with a total of 170.2 points, giving the home team a 18% chance of victory and the away team 82%; the home line of 9.5 gives a 47% chance of covering, and the over probability is 3%. The game will likely see Kirchheim's offensive firepower prevail, with Koblenz's recent losses suggesting a tough night ahead.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koblenz winLost
18.3%fair 5.46
Best odds4.50
Implied21.1%
Edge-2.8pp
Kirchheim winWon
81.7%fair 1.22
Best odds1.22
Implied78.9%
Edge+2.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KoblenzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#13
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A18/04
Pro A
Bayreuth
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H26/04
Pro A
Giessen
#7
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A02/05
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
W
109-90
109
90
+19
H27/09
Pro A
Nurnberger
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A02/10
Pro A
Artland
#10
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H04/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A10/10
Pro A
Wolmirstedt
#3
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A16/10
Pro A
Giessen
#7
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H26/10
Pro A
Gottingen
#12
L
86-107
86
107
-21
A31/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
21-10
22-26
14-23
17-21
15-17
28-25
15-26
17-24
26-24
12-21
14-19
30-24
27-18
27-28
25-20
16-30
25-18
16-18
18-19
22-12
24-26
28-25
18-17
15-23
23-20
29-25
21-18
16-30
23-12
15-10
12-17
17-21
23-26
14-24
14-12
24-27
24-29
14-27
24-24
166.2Avg total
80.6Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.485.7169.1-2.343%
Season at home (3)89.784.3174.0+5.367%
Season away (4)78.886.8165.5-8.025%
Last 10 (10)80.685.6166.2-5.030%
Last 5 (5)80.085.0165.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.988.6163.5-13.723%
vs Similar (15)88.189.7177.8-1.540%
vs Weaker (2)102.584.5187.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Kirchheim) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KirchheimGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#7
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A29/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#1
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H04/06
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A07/06
Pro A
Wolmirstedt
#3
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H26/09
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A02/10
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H04/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#9
W
92-65
92
65
+27
A10/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#11
W
100-82
100
82
+18
H17/10
Pro A
ETB Miners
#17
W
103-99
103
99
+4
A24/10
Pro A
Heidelberg
#4
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H31/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-20
15-19
21-13
20-33
29-25
26-17
19-24
12-16
25-26
21-15
13-22
23-30
24-14
20-10
32-19
11-15
22-25
23-16
18-21
31-23
24-17
26-17
21-26
33-15
22-17
21-10
27-21
22-17
27-26
25-19
22-18
26-19
22-20
25-24
24-22
32-33
9-22
29-18
20-15
14-9
169.7Avg total
90.9Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.175.4168.6+17.7100%
Season at home (4)90.869.8160.5+21.0100%
Season away (3)96.383.0179.3+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)90.978.8169.7+12.190%
Last 5 (5)94.277.0171.2+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.090.3171.3-9.333%
vs Similar (12)86.384.1170.4+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.476.5166.9+13.993%
This opponent (Koblenz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 167.5Actual: Over 167.5
Over 167.5
56.0%
@ 1.52-4.5pp
Under 167.5
44.0%
@ 2.32+4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Under
Betano
2.32
Over/Under 172.5 · main lineActual: Over 172.5
Over 172.5
43.8%
@ 1.87-6.2pp
Under 172.5
56.2%
@ 1.91+6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.83
Over/Under 177.5Actual: Under 177.5
Over 177.5
32.3%
@ 2.37-6.4pp
Under 177.5
67.7%
@ 1.50+6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Koblenz total 77Actual: Koblenz over 77
Over 77
61.2%
Under 77
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koblenz total 81 · main linePush
Over 81
45.1%
@ 1.85-4.3pp
Under 81
54.9%
@ 1.81+4.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.74
Under
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.70
Koblenz total 85Actual: Koblenz under 85
Over 85
30.0%
Under 85
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kirchheim total 86.5Actual: Kirchheim over 86.5
Over 86.5
64.6%
@ 1.39-1.6pp
Under 86.5
35.4%
@ 2.70+1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.33
Under
Betano
2.70
1xBet
2.63
Kirchheim total 90.5 · main lineActual: Kirchheim over 90.5
Over 90.5
49.0%
@ 1.83-3.5pp
Under 90.5
51.0%
@ 1.98+3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.76
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.62
Under
Betano
1.98
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Kirchheim total 94.5Actual: Kirchheim under 94.5
Over 94.5
33.5%
@ 2.35-6.1pp
Under 94.5
66.5%
@ 1.50+6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.17
Under
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.45

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Koblenz +7.5Actual: Kirchheim -7.5
KOBL +7.5
40.0%
@ 2.26-2.8pp
KIRC -7.5
60.0%
@ 1.62+2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
KOBL
1xBet
2.26
Betano
2.22
Pinnacle
2.17
KIRC
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.57
Marathon Be
1.53
1xBet
1.45
Spread Koblenz +10.5 · main lineActual: Kirchheim -10.5
KOBL +10.5
50.9%
@ 1.86+0.2pp
KIRC -10.5
49.1%
@ 1.89-0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
KOBL
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
KIRC
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
Spread Koblenz +13.5Actual: Koblenz +13.5
KOBL +13.5
61.6%
@ 1.57+1.9pp
KIRC -13.5
38.4%
@ 2.25-1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
KOBL
Marathon Be
1.57
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.47
KIRC
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.22

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +6.6+6.6Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +6.6+6.6Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
KoblenzKirchheim
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KoblenzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#13
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A18/04
Pro A
Bayreuth
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H26/04
Pro A
Giessen
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/05
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H27/09
Pro A
Nurnberger
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/10
Pro A
Artland
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H04/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A10/10
Pro A
Wolmirstedt
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/10
Pro A
Giessen
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H26/10
Pro A
Gottingen
#12
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A31/10
Pro A
85.8Avg total
42.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86.25
Last 30 (30)43.844.388.1-0.533%57%
Last 30 at home (14)45.843.689.4+2.250%64%
Last 30 away (16)42.144.987.1-2.819%50%
Last 10 (10)42.643.285.8-0.630%50%
Last 5 (5)42.245.287.4-3.020%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.545.187.6-2.523%54%
vs Similar (15)43.643.687.2+0.033%53%
vs Weaker (2)54.044.598.5+9.5100%100%
This opponent (Kirchheim) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KirchheimLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A29/05
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#1
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H04/06
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A07/06
Pro A
Wolmirstedt
#3
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H26/09
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A02/10
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H04/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#9
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A10/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#11
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H17/10
Pro A
ETB Miners
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A24/10
Pro A
Heidelberg
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/10
Pro A
84.5Avg total
46.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86.25
Last 30 (30)44.441.285.6+3.363%47%
Last 30 at home (16)44.438.082.4+6.469%31%
Last 30 away (14)44.544.889.3-0.357%64%
Last 10 (10)46.837.784.5+9.190%50%
Last 5 (5)46.038.084.0+8.080%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.044.789.7+0.367%67%
vs Similar (12)44.644.889.4-0.242%75%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.237.581.7+6.780%20%
This opponent (Koblenz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Kirchheim win
KOBL win
no forecast
@ 3.75
KIRC win
no forecast
@ 1.35
1st half Spread Koblenz +6 · main lineActual: Koblenz +6
KOBL +6
no forecast
@ 1.84
KIRC -6
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Over/Under 86.25 · main lineActual: Over 86.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Koblenz 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Koblenz over 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Kirchheim 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Kirchheim over 45.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.92
1st half: KOBL + total 86.5
KOBL & over
no forecast
@ 5.75
KOBL & under
no forecast
@ 5.75
1st half: Draw + total 86.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: KIRC + total 86.5
KIRC & over
no forecast
@ 2.70
KIRC & under
no forecast
@ 2.70
1st half Over/Under 85Actual: Over 85
Over
no forecast
@ 1.76
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread Koblenz +5Actual: Koblenz +5
KOBL +5
no forecast
@ 2.02
KIRC -5
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half Spread Koblenz +7Actual: Koblenz +7
KOBL +7
no forecast
@ 1.68
KIRC -7
no forecast
@ 2.09
1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Spread Koblenz +4Actual: Koblenz +4
KOBL +4
no forecast
@ 2.12
KIRC -4
no forecast
@ 1.66
1st half Spread Koblenz +8.5Actual: Koblenz +8.5
KOBL +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.46
KIRC -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Kirchheim (regulation)
KOBL
no forecast
@ 3.39
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
KIRC
no forecast
@ 1.40

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
KOBL win + total 172.5
🔒 Pro
KIRC win + total 172.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KOBL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KIRC leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (KOBL:KIRC): KOBL wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 179.571.9%1.40
Betano
1.40
----+6.3ppWon
Kirchheim under 95.570.1%1.40
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.38
---+6.3ppWon
Koblenz under 86.574.2%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+6.0ppWon
Koblenz under 85.571.0%1.38
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.35
---+5.6ppWon
Kirchheim -2.576.4%1.29
Betano
1.29
----+5.1ppWon
Kirchheim (regulation)79.6%1.20
Betano
1.21
Marathon Bet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
--+4.9ppWon
Overtime: no96.5%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+4.5pp-
Kirchheim -3.573.8%1.32
Betano
1.32
----+4.3ppWon
Koblenz +17.574.1%1.31
Betano
1.31
----+4.2ppWon
Koblenz +16.571.2%1.36
Betano
1.36
----+3.8ppWon
Kirchheim -4.570.5%1.37
Betano
1.37
----+3.6ppWon
Kirchheim win81.7%1.18
WilliamHill
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Marathon Bet
1.19
BetVictor
1.17
+2.8ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Koblenz wins
5
Kirchheim wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Kirchheim v Koblenz84-68
28/12/25Koblenz v Kirchheim98-105 OT
01/02/25Kirchheim v Koblenz79-71
12/10/24Koblenz v Kirchheim80-87
03/03/24Kirchheim v Koblenz82-71
27/12/23Koblenz v Kirchheim73-57
Koblenzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AGottingen86-107
26/10/26HGiessen68-83
16/10/26AWolmirstedt66-69
10/10/26APaderborn88-86
04/10/26HArtland92-80
02/10/26ANurnberger75-85
27/09/26HBayreuth109-90
02/05/26AGiessen69-88
26/04/26HBayreuth75-89
18/04/26ATubingen78-79
Kirchheimlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HHeidelberg72-64
24/10/26AETB Miners103-99
17/10/26HPaderborn100-82
10/10/26ANurnberger92-65
04/10/26HBayreuth104-75
02/10/26AOrangeAcademy94-85
26/09/26HWolmirstedt87-58
07/06/26APhoenix Hagen82-93
04/06/26HPhoenix Hagen86-82
29/05/26AGiessen89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koblenz
Pro A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game83.489.778.8
Allowed / game85.784.386.8
Point differential-2.3+5.3-8.0
Avg total169.1174.0165.5
Over 172.543%33%50%
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kirchheim
Pro A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.190.896.3
Allowed / game75.469.883.0
Point differential+17.7+21.0+13.3
Avg total168.6160.5179.3
Over 172.557%50%67%
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kirchheim770100%93.175.4+17.7
2 Crailsheim Merlins87188%80.868.0+12.8
3 Wolmirstedt87188%77.972.8+5.1
4 Heidelberg86275%81.670.8+10.9
5 Bremerhaven85362%83.183.1+0.0
6 Koln95456%84.489.3-4.9
7 Giessen84450%79.978.1+1.8
8 Tubingen84450%80.679.9+0.8
9 Nurnberger94544%78.682.6-4.0
10 Koblenz73443%83.485.7-2.3
11 Artland83538%85.985.0+0.9
12 Paderborn83538%82.182.5-0.4
13 Gottingen83538%82.283.0-0.8
14 OrangeAcademy83538%80.986.2-5.4
15 PS Karlsruhe83538%76.984.2-7.4
16 Bochum82625%79.585.4-5.9
17 ETB Miners82625%86.493.0-6.6
18 Bayreuth81712%89.198.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koblenz2619191781
Kirchheim2819232292
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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