On 9 November 2026 the Pro A fixture pits Koblenz against the unbeaten Kirchheim, the model favouring the latter with an 82% win probability because of Kirchheim's flawless 7-0 record, 93.1 points per game and 75.4 allowed, and Koblenz's 3-4 season showing 83.4 points scored and 85.7 allowed; Kirchheim's dominance is further underscored by their 3-0 road record and 96.3 points per game on the road. Koblenz has struggled in recent outings, losing three of their last five games and suffering defeats to Gottingen, Giessen and Wolmirstedt, while Kirchheim has won every one of their last five, dispatching Heidelberg, ETB Miners and Paderborn. Historically, Kirchheim has won five of six encounters, most recently 84-68 on 14 February 2026. The Pythia model projects a 80-90 scoreline with a total of 170.2 points, giving the home team a 18% chance of victory and the away team 82%; the home line of 9.5 gives a 47% chance of covering, and the over probability is 3%. The game will likely see Kirchheim's offensive firepower prevail, with Koblenz's recent losses suggesting a tough night ahead.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 83.4 | 85.7 | 169.1 | -2.3 | 43% |
| Season at home (3) | 89.7 | 84.3 | 174.0 | +5.3 | 67% |
| Season away (4) | 78.8 | 86.8 | 165.5 | -8.0 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.6 | 85.6 | 166.2 | -5.0 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.0 | 85.0 | 165.0 | -5.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 74.9 | 88.6 | 163.5 | -13.7 | 23% |
| vs Similar (15) | 88.1 | 89.7 | 177.8 | -1.5 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 102.5 | 84.5 | 187.0 | +18.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 93.1 | 75.4 | 168.6 | +17.7 | 100% |
| Season at home (4) | 90.8 | 69.8 | 160.5 | +21.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 96.3 | 83.0 | 179.3 | +13.3 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 90.9 | 78.8 | 169.7 | +12.1 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 94.2 | 77.0 | 171.2 | +17.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 81.0 | 90.3 | 171.3 | -9.3 | 33% |
| vs Similar (12) | 86.3 | 84.1 | 170.4 | +2.2 | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 90.4 | 76.5 | 166.9 | +13.9 | 93% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.8 | 44.3 | 88.1 | -0.5 | 33% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 45.8 | 43.6 | 89.4 | +2.2 | 50% | 64% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.1 | 44.9 | 87.1 | -2.8 | 19% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.6 | 43.2 | 85.8 | -0.6 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.2 | 45.2 | 87.4 | -3.0 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 42.5 | 45.1 | 87.6 | -2.5 | 23% | 54% |
| vs Similar (15) | 43.6 | 43.6 | 87.2 | +0.0 | 33% | 53% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 54.0 | 44.5 | 98.5 | +9.5 | 100% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.4 | 41.2 | 85.6 | +3.3 | 63% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 44.4 | 38.0 | 82.4 | +6.4 | 69% | 31% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 44.5 | 44.8 | 89.3 | -0.3 | 57% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.8 | 37.7 | 84.5 | +9.1 | 90% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.0 | 38.0 | 84.0 | +8.0 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 45.0 | 44.7 | 89.7 | +0.3 | 67% | 67% |
| vs Similar (12) | 44.6 | 44.8 | 89.4 | -0.2 | 42% | 75% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 44.2 | 37.5 | 81.7 | +6.7 | 80% | 20% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 179.5 | 71.9% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Kirchheim under 95.5 | 70.1% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Koblenz under 86.5 | 74.2% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Koblenz under 85.5 | 71.0% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Kirchheim -2.5 | 76.4% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Kirchheim (regulation) | 79.6% | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.19 | 1.19 | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | - |
| Kirchheim -3.5 | 73.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Koblenz +17.5 | 74.1% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Koblenz +16.5 | 71.2% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Kirchheim -4.5 | 70.5% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Kirchheim win | 81.7% | 1.18 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.17 | +2.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 | Kirchheim v Koblenz | 84-68 |
| 28/12/25 | Koblenz v Kirchheim | 98-105 OT |
| 01/02/25 | Kirchheim v Koblenz | 79-71 |
| 12/10/24 | Koblenz v Kirchheim | 80-87 |
| 03/03/24 | Kirchheim v Koblenz | 82-71 |
| 27/12/23 | Koblenz v Kirchheim | 73-57 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Gottingen | 86-107 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Giessen | 68-83 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Wolmirstedt | 66-69 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Paderborn | 88-86 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Artland | 92-80 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Nurnberger | 75-85 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Bayreuth | 109-90 |
| 02/05/26 | A | Giessen | 69-88 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Bayreuth | 75-89 |
| 18/04/26 | A | Tubingen | 78-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Heidelberg | 72-64 |
| 24/10/26 | A | ETB Miners | 103-99 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Paderborn | 100-82 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Nurnberger | 92-65 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Bayreuth | 104-75 |
| 02/10/26 | A | OrangeAcademy | 94-85 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Wolmirstedt | 87-58 |
| 07/06/26 | A | Phoenix Hagen | 82-93 |
| 04/06/26 | H | Phoenix Hagen | 86-82 |
| 29/05/26 | A | Giessen | 89-85 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLL | 43% |
| Home | WWL | 67% |
| Away | LWLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Points / game | 83.4 | 89.7 | 78.8 |
| Allowed / game | 85.7 | 84.3 | 86.8 |
| Point differential | -2.3 | +5.3 | -8.0 |
| Avg total | 169.1 | 174.0 | 165.5 |
| Over 172.5 | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 67% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 93.1 | 90.8 | 96.3 |
| Allowed / game | 75.4 | 69.8 | 83.0 |
| Point differential | +17.7 | +21.0 | +13.3 |
| Avg total | 168.6 | 160.5 | 179.3 |
| Over 172.5 | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 93.1 | 75.4 | +17.7 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 80.8 | 68.0 | +12.8 | |
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 77.9 | 72.8 | +5.1 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 81.6 | 70.8 | +10.9 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 83.1 | 83.1 | +0.0 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 84.4 | 89.3 | -4.9 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 79.9 | 78.1 | +1.8 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.6 | 79.9 | +0.8 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 78.6 | 82.6 | -4.0 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 83.4 | 85.7 | -2.3 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 85.9 | 85.0 | +0.9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.1 | 82.5 | -0.4 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.2 | 83.0 | -0.8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.9 | 86.2 | -5.4 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 76.9 | 84.2 | -7.4 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 79.5 | 85.4 | -5.9 | |
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 86.4 | 93.0 | -6.6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 89.1 | 98.4 | -9.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 81 | |
| 28 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 92 |
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