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Komotini vs NE Megaridas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 72-79
Projected total 151.2
Final 78-66
19-17 23-21 19-13 17-15
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game77.7
Komotini 🏆
Greece
Vs
29%
71%
■ KOMO 29%■ NE M 71%
Pythia win probability
NE Megaridas
Greece
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game68.9
GreeceA2Round 8
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Komotini will host NE Megaridas on 14 November 2026 in the A2 competition, with the model favouring the away side and predicting a 71% chance of a Megaridas win over Komotini's 29% chance; the projected score is 72-79 and the total is 151.2 points. Komotini finished the season 3-4, averaging 72.3 points scored and 77.7 points allowed, while NE Megaridas are 5-2, scoring 77.3 and conceding 68.9, placing them third in the league. Komotini's home record is 2-1, with 75.7 points per game and 71.3 allowed, and their last five games include a 55-70 loss to Sofadon, an 83-71 win over Chalkida, and a 57-95 defeat by Lavrio. NE Megaridas have a 1-2 road record, 68.3 points scored and 68.0 allowed, and their last five games feature wins over Proteas Voulas, Glafkos Esperos, and Panerythraikos. The teams have met twice this season, with the most recent encounter ending 72-79 in favour of NE Megaridas. The home line is 2.5 points, with a 35% probability that Komotini covers, and the over line is 153.0 points with a 45% chance of going over, while the chance of overtime is 5%. NE Megaridas' superior offensive output and defensive efficiency suggest they will edge Komotini in this contest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Komotini winWon
28.7%fair 3.49
Best odds2.20
Implied43.0%
Edge-14.4pp
NE Megaridas winLost
71.3%fair 1.40
Best odds1.67
Implied57.0%
Edge+14.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KomotiniGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amyntas
#14
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H30/09
Greek Cup
EFAO Zografou
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A18/09
Greek Cup
Proteas Voulas
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H03/10
A2
Panionios
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A10/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
A17/10
A2
Papagou
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H21/10
A2
Lavrio
#2
L
57-95
57
95
-38
A24/10
A2
Chalkida
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H30/10
A2
Sofadon
#6
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A06/11
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
14-12
22-22
23-17
15-18
15-22
24-18
14-19
18-9
21-23
20-19
18-21
15-23
24-25
12-15
26-20
18-26
23-15
20-22
19-17
15-15
20-20
17-19
15-17
19-19
14-25
15-20
9-31
24-20
16-18
21-14
22-19
12-21
16-12
10-16
17-21
148.6Avg total
71.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.377.7150.0-5.443%
Season at home (3)75.771.3147.0+4.367%
Season away (4)69.882.5152.2-12.825%
Last 10 (9)71.677.0148.6-5.433%
Last 5 (5)70.477.8148.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)66.580.0146.5-13.525%
vs Similar (3)80.074.7154.7+5.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (NE Megaridas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NE MegaridasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koroivos
#9
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H08/04
A2
Koroivos
#9
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A15/04
A2
Papagou
#5
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H01/05
A2
Koroivos
#13
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H03/10
A2
Amyntas
#11
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A10/10
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H17/10
A2
Psychikou
#4
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A21/10
A2
Panerythraikos
#12
W
105-81
105
81
+24
H26/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A31/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#5
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H07/11
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
20-24
26-17
28-27
29-10
14-16
23-23
17-12
9-27
22-19
22-21
21-25
18-14
21-15
18-18
19-12
–
–
–
–
24-17
21-23
16-23
22-13
24-27
10-14
18-12
9-11
33-32
19-18
23-20
30-11
28-13
21-21
19-12
14-29
19-21
19-11
6-17
28-13
151.3Avg total
78.9Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.368.9146.1+8.471%
Season at home (4)84.069.5153.5+14.5100%
Season away (3)68.368.0136.3+0.333%
Last 10 (10)78.972.4151.3+6.570%
Last 5 (5)80.671.6152.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (15)82.281.1163.3+1.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.976.0160.9+8.979%
This opponent (Komotini) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 143.5Actual: Over 143.5
Over 143.5
67.5%
Under 143.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 148.5 · main lineActual: Under 148.5
Over 148.5
55.9%
@ 1.87+5.9pp
Under 148.5
44.1%
@ 1.91-5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.86
1xBet
1.84
Over/Under 153.5Actual: Under 153.5
Over 153.5
43.8%
@ 1.88-5.0pp
Under 153.5
56.2%
@ 1.79+5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.79

📊 3. Team Totals

Komotini total 69.5Actual: Komotini over 69.5
Over 69.5
60.7%
@ 1.40-1.8pp
Under 69.5
39.3%
@ 2.33+1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.33
Komotini total 73.5 · main lineActual: Komotini over 73.5
Over 73.5
45.3%
@ 1.85-4.2pp
Under 73.5
54.7%
@ 1.85+4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.76
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.68
Komotini total 77.5Actual: Komotini over 77.5
Over 77.5
30.8%
@ 2.46-4.8pp
Under 77.5
69.2%
@ 1.36+4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.46
Under
1xBet
1.36
NE Megaridas total 71.5Actual: NE Megaridas under 71.5
Over 71.5
76.4%
@ 1.39+13.6pp
Under 71.5
23.6%
@ 2.35-13.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.35
NE Megaridas total 75.5 · main lineActual: NE Megaridas under 75.5
Over 75.5
62.7%
@ 1.85+13.1pp
Under 75.5
37.3%
@ 1.86-13.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.75
Under
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.70
NE Megaridas total 79.5Actual: NE Megaridas under 79.5
Over 79.5
47.1%
@ 2.45+11.3pp
Under 79.5
52.9%
@ 1.37-11.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.45
Under
1xBet
1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Komotini -0.5Actual: Komotini -0.5
KOMO -0.5
28.7%
NE M +0.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
KOMO
No market prices yet.
NE M
No market prices yet.
Spread Komotini +2.5 · main lineActual: Komotini +2.5
KOMO +2.5
35.3%
@ 1.86-15.0pp
NE M -2.5
64.7%
@ 1.88+15.0pp
Best 5 market prices
KOMO
Pinnacle
1.86
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.83
NE M
Pinnacle
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
SBO
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Spread Komotini +5.5Actual: Komotini +5.5
KOMO +5.5
46.1%
@ 1.46-14.6pp
NE M -5.5
53.9%
@ 2.26+14.6pp
Best 5 market prices
KOMO
1xBet
1.46
NE M
1xBet
2.26

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.9+3.9
KomotiniNE Megaridas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KomotiniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amyntas
#14
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H30/09
Greek Cup
EFAO Zografou
#13
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A18/09
Greek Cup
Proteas Voulas
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H03/10
A2
Panionios
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A10/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/10
A2
Papagou
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H21/10
A2
Lavrio
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A24/10
A2
Chalkida
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H30/10
A2
Sofadon
#6
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A06/11
A2
72.7Avg total
34.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74
Last 30 (9)34.438.272.7-3.822%44%
Last 30 at home (4)34.834.569.2+0.250%25%
Last 30 away (5)34.241.275.4-7.00%60%
Last 10 (9)34.438.272.7-3.822%44%
Last 5 (5)35.438.273.6-2.820%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.839.274.0-4.525%50%
vs Similar (3)38.738.076.7+0.733%67%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (NE Megaridas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NE MegaridasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koroivos
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H08/04
A2
Koroivos
#9
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A15/04
A2
Papagou
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H01/05
A2
Koroivos
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H03/10
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/10
A2
Psychikou
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A21/10
A2
Panerythraikos
#12
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H26/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A31/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H07/11
A2
79.0Avg total
40.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74
Last 30 (29)41.940.182.0+1.848%72%
Last 30 at home (15)42.640.382.9+2.360%73%
Last 30 away (14)41.239.981.1+1.436%71%
Last 10 (9)40.938.179.0+2.867%67%
Last 5 (5)43.639.483.0+4.280%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.043.084.0-2.00%100%
vs Similar (15)40.739.980.6+0.947%67%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.440.283.5+3.254%77%
This opponent (Komotini) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Komotini win
KOMO win
no forecast
@ 2.10
NE M win
no forecast
@ 1.68
1st half Spread Komotini +1 · main lineActual: Komotini +1
KOMO +1
no forecast
@ 1.84
NE M -1
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Over/Under 74 · main lineActual: Over 74
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Komotini 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Komotini over 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
NE Megaridas 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: NE Megaridas over 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: KOMO + total 73.5
KOMO & over
no forecast
@ 3.90
KOMO & under
no forecast
@ 4.20
1st half: Draw + total 73.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: NE M + total 73.5
NE M & over
no forecast
@ 3.30
NE M & under
no forecast
@ 3.50
1st half Over/Under 72.75Actual: Over 72.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Over 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Komotini +2.5Actual: Komotini +2.5
KOMO +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.58
NE M -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.01
1st half Spread Komotini -1.5Actual: Komotini -1.5
KOMO -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.11
NE M +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Spread Komotini +3.5Actual: Komotini +3.5
KOMO +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.48
NE M -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.19
1st half Spread Komotini -2.5Actual: Komotini -2.5
KOMO -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.31
NE M +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Spread Komotini +4.5Actual: Komotini +4.5
KOMO +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
NE M -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Komotini (regulation)
KOMO
no forecast
@ 2.20
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
NE M
no forecast
@ 1.74

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
KOMO win + total 148.5
🔒 Pro
NE M win + total 148.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KOMO leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NE M leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
NE Megaridas +276.1%1.57
Pinnacle
1.57		----+18.3ppLost
NE Megaridas +2.576.9%1.46
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.38		---+17.7ppLost
NE Megaridas +173.0%1.62
Pinnacle
1.62		----+15.8ppLost
NE Megaridas -170.6%1.69
Pinnacle
1.69		----+15.8ppLost
NE Megaridas +1.573.6%1.53
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.46		---+15.6ppLost
NE Megaridas win71.3%1.63
WilliamHill
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
Bet365
1.64
BetVictor
1.63		+14.4ppLost
NE Megaridas over 72.573.3%1.46
1xBet
1.46		----+13.8ppLost
NE Megaridas over 71.576.4%1.39
1xBet
1.39		----+13.6ppLost
NE Megaridas +4.581.8%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+13.3ppLost
NE Megaridas over 70.579.3%1.33
1xBet
1.33		----+13.2ppLost
NE Megaridas over 69.582.0%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+12.7ppLost
NE Megaridas +3.579.2%1.32
1xBet
1.32		----+11.8ppLost
Komotini under 79.575.5%1.31
1xBet
1.31		----+7.9ppWon
Komotini under 78.572.5%1.31
1xBet
1.31		----+5.0ppWon
Overtime: no95.4%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+4.3ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Komotinitheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
NE Megaridastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NE Megaridas: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.0
57.1%
-40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.0
26.7%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws15.011.0
73.3%
-11.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Komotini wins
0
NE Megaridas wins
No previous meetings.
Komotinilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ASofadon55-70
30/10/26HChalkida83-71
24/10/26ALavrio57-95
21/10/26HPapagou67-71
17/10/26AAnagennisi90-82 OT
10/10/26APanionios77-83
03/10/26HProteas Voulas77-72
18/09/24AEFAO Zografou68-77
30/09/23HAmyntas70-72
NE Megaridaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HProteas Voulas72-62
31/10/26AGlafkos Esperos82-75
26/10/26HPanerythraikos105-81
21/10/26APsychikou61-64
17/10/26HPeiramatiko Machites83-76
10/10/26AAmyntas62-65
03/10/26HKoroivos76-59
01/05/26HPapagou74-92
15/04/26AKoroivos83-61
08/04/26HKoroivos91-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Komotini
A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game72.375.769.8
Allowed / game77.771.382.5
Point differential-5.4+4.3-12.8
Avg total150.0147.0152.2
Over 148.571%67%75%
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%0%25%
NE Megaridas
A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game77.384.068.3
Allowed / game68.969.568.0
Point differential+8.4+14.5+0.3
Avg total146.1153.5136.3
Over 148.543%50%33%
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panionios880100%86.572.2+14.2
2 Lavrio86275%82.972.0+10.9
3 NE Megaridas75271%77.368.9+8.4
4 Psychikou85362%74.473.6+0.8
5 Proteas Voulas74357%72.370.0+2.3
6 Sofadon84450%74.271.6+2.6
7 Chalkida84450%80.580.0+0.5
8 Papagou84450%77.178.6-1.5
9 Peiramatiko Machites84450%77.979.8-1.9
10 Amyntas84450%69.978.4-8.5
11 Komotini73443%72.377.7-5.4
12 Panerythraikos83538%86.489.2-2.9
13 Koroivos83538%77.581.0-3.5
14 Kronos Agiou Dimitriou72529%72.673.4-0.9
15 Anagennisi82625%73.078.4-5.4
16 Glafkos Esperos81712%71.580.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Komotini1923191778
NE Megaridas1721131566
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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