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Krosno vs Lancut Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 90-87
Projected total 176.9
Final 92-73
25-24 24-21 24-15 19-13
Position#12
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game89.5
Krosno 🏆
Poland
Vs
59%
41%
■ KROS 59%■ LANC 41%
Pythia win probability
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game83.5
Poland1 LigaRound 7· Hala Sportowo-Widowiskowa
Other2026-27
Meetings · Krosno v Lancut
31 Oct 2026
KROS92
LANC73
26 Feb 2025
KROS77
LANC52
16 Feb 2022
KROS90
LANC100
20 Jan 2021
KROS75
LANC88
20 Nov 2019
KROS83
LANC76
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Krosno host Lancut in the 1 Liga. Pythia makes Krosno the favourite at 59% and projects 90-87, about 177 points in all (over 171.25: 62%). On the market's main spread (Krosno -3.5) Pythia gives Krosno 48% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Krosno are 1-5 this season (84.2 scored, 89.5 allowed a game), form LWLLL; Lancut are 3-3 this season (88.2 scored, 83.5 allowed a game), form WWLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krosno winWon
58.6%fair 1.71
Best odds1.60
Implied59.7%
Edge-1.0pp
Lancut winLost
41.4%fair 2.42
Best odds2.31
Implied40.3%
Edge+1.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
82avg 75
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#5
L
87-99
87
99
-12
76avg 75
H23/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
76avg 75
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
66-88
66
88
-22
56avg 75
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Bytom
#13
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
75avg 75
A19/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
L
98-107
98
107
-9
93avg 75
H26/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 75
A04/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#10
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 75
A09/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
67avg 75
H18/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 75
A24/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
21-20
13-21
32-26
22-23
27-23
19-30
19-23
17-27
21-18
30-15
17-28
16-24
19-21
17-19
14-24
17-17
27-18
19-29
14-13
20-28
25-19
21-38
32-22
23-31
28-15
21-15
25-28
23-23
16-23
27-15
14-30
22-13
16-20
18-23
16-21
21-16
25-20
7-22
20-24
173.5Avg total
83.2Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.289.5173.7-5.317%
Season at home (2)85.092.0177.0-7.00%
Season away (4)83.888.2172.0-4.525%
Last 10 (10)83.290.3173.5-7.110%
Last 5 (5)84.089.2173.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)80.891.4172.2-10.54%
vs Similar (5)84.690.8175.4-6.240%
vs Weaker (1)97.089.0186.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Lancut) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
81-94
81
94
-13
73avg 83
A18/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
84avg 83
A19/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
74avg 83
H25/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 83
H26/04
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#7
L
93-95
93
95
-2
88avg 83
A21/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
89avg 83
H26/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#11
W
78-65
78
65
+13
80avg 83
A03/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#13
L
84-91
84
91
-7
79avg 83
H11/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
L
80-90
80
90
-10
67avg 83
A18/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
104-84
104
84
+20
111avg 83
A25/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
25-23
13-22
17-25
28-26
16-25
26-16
20-24
25-22
16-19
18-18
23-22
25-24
20-23
19-16
18-28
12-34
28-31
29-16
24-14
20-16
22-16
23-22
25-22
23-14
20-15
17-17
18-19
25-24
15-23
23-22
21-22
20-22
19-21
17-15
24-32
26-24
28-20
26-14
24-26
172.2Avg total
86.4Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.283.5171.7+4.750%
Season at home (2)87.083.5170.5+3.550%
Season away (4)88.883.5172.2+5.250%
Last 10 (10)86.485.8172.2+0.640%
Last 5 (5)87.281.2168.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.789.7171.3-8.033%
vs Similar (15)88.389.3177.6-1.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)89.380.2169.5+9.283%
This opponent (Krosno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166Actual: Under 166
Over 166
74.3%
Under 166
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.25 · main lineActual: Under 171.25
Over 171.25
61.8%
@ 1.81+11.8pp
Under 171.25
38.2%
@ 1.81-11.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 176Actual: Under 176
Over 176
51.2%
Under 176
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Krosno total 83.5Actual: Krosno over 83.5
Over 83.5
72.4%
@ 1.41+10.6pp
Under 83.5
27.6%
@ 2.28-10.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.28
Krosno total 87.5 · main lineActual: Krosno over 87.5
Over 87.5
58.1%
@ 1.85+8.8pp
Under 87.5
41.9%
@ 1.83-8.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.78
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.67
Krosno total 91.5Actual: Krosno over 91.5
Over 91.5
42.7%
@ 2.46+7.1pp
Under 91.5
57.3%
@ 1.36-7.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.46
Under
1xBet
1.36
Lancut total 80Actual: Lancut under 80
Over 80
76.1%
Under 80
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lancut total 84 · main lineActual: Lancut under 84
Over 84
62.1%
@ 1.70+11.5pp
Under 84
37.9%
@ 1.74-11.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.70
Under
1xBet
1.74
Lancut total 88Actual: Lancut under 88
Over 88
46.3%
Under 88
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Krosno -6.5Actual: Krosno -6.5
KROS -6.5
36.7%
@ 2.31-1.7pp
LANC +6.5
63.3%
@ 1.44+1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
KROS
1xBet
2.31
LANC
1xBet
1.44
Spread Krosno -3.5 · main lineActual: Krosno -3.5
KROS -3.5
48.0%
@ 1.89-1.3pp
LANC +3.5
52.0%
@ 1.84+1.3pp
Best 5 market prices
KROS
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
1xBet
1.82
LANC
Pinnacle
1.84
SBO
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.82
Spread Krosno -0.5Actual: Krosno -0.5
KROS -0.5
58.6%
LANC +0.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
KROS
No market prices yet.
LANC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
KrosnoLancut
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H23/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Bytom
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A19/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A04/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H18/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A24/10
1 Liga
85.2Avg total
42.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85
Last 30 (30)42.143.985.9-1.837%50%
Last 30 at home (12)40.843.384.1-2.642%42%
Last 30 away (18)42.944.287.2-1.333%56%
Last 10 (10)42.942.385.2+0.650%40%
Last 5 (5)43.841.685.4+2.260%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)40.844.585.3-3.729%50%
vs Similar (5)46.240.486.6+5.860%40%
vs Weaker (1)51.046.097.0+5.0100%100%
This opponent (Lancut) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A18/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A19/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H25/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#7
L
40-65
40
65
-25
A21/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H26/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A03/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#13
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A18/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A25/10
1 Liga
88.5Avg total
43.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85
Last 30 (30)44.245.489.6-1.237%67%
Last 30 at home (13)43.041.884.8+1.238%54%
Last 30 away (17)45.148.193.2-2.935%76%
Last 10 (10)43.944.688.5-0.740%60%
Last 5 (5)43.639.082.6+4.660%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.446.689.0-4.122%67%
vs Similar (15)44.745.890.5-1.140%67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.742.588.2+3.250%67%
This opponent (Krosno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Krosno win
KROS win
no forecast
@ 1.67
LANC win
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Spread Krosno -1.5 · main lineActual: Krosno -1.5
KROS -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
LANC +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 85 · main lineActual: Over 85
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Krosno 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Krosno over 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Lancut 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Lancut over 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: KROS + total 84.5
KROS & over
no forecast
@ 3.20
KROS & under
no forecast
@ 3.40
1st half: Draw + total 84.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: LANC + total 84.5
LANC & over
no forecast
@ 4.10
LANC & under
no forecast
@ 4.25
1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Krosno -2.5Actual: Krosno -2.5
KROS -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.96
LANC +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Krosno 0Actual: Krosno 0
KROS 0
no forecast
@ 1.62
LANC 0
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Krosno (regulation)
KROS
no forecast
@ 1.70
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
LANC
no forecast
@ 2.22

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
KROS win + total 171.5
🔒 Pro
LANC win + total 171.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KROS leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LANC leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 16870.1%1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
----+16.8ppLost
Over 16772.2%1.64
Pinnacle
1.64
----+16.4ppLost
Over 167.570.7%1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
----+16.2ppLost
Lancut over 80.573.8%1.41
1xBet
1.41
----+11.9ppLost
Lancut over 81.570.5%1.48
1xBet
1.48
----+11.8ppLost
Lancut over 79.576.9%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+11.7ppLost
Lancut over 78.579.7%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+11.5ppLost
Krosno over 82.575.5%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+10.6ppWon
Krosno over 83.572.4%1.41
1xBet
1.41
----+10.6ppWon
Krosno over 81.578.5%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+10.5ppWon
Overtime: no94.7%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+3.2ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.2
55.7%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.6
31.3%
33.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.6
73.2%
70.8%15.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.5
55.7%
53.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
33.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.018.6
74.4%
70.8%18.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Krosno
LLLWLLLLLL
Lancut
WLLWWLLWLL
#12
League position
#8
-8.2
Net rating
+0.7
94.2
Offensive rating
95.2
102.4
Defensive rating
94.5
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.3%
3-point %
33.1%
59.4%
Assist %
68.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 95.2Defence102.4 · 94.5Shooting51.5% · 53.0%3-point %31.3% · 33.1%Ball care16.7% · 16.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Krosno   ■ Lancut
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Krosno wins
5
Lancut wins
DateGameScore
26/02/25Krosno v Lancut77-52
13/11/24Lancut v Krosno72-79
16/02/22Krosno v Lancut90-100
16/10/21Lancut v Krosno70-65
20/01/21Krosno v Lancut75-88
09/12/20Lancut v Krosno94-73
22/01/20Lancut v Krosno92-89
20/11/19Krosno v Lancut83-76
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ALKS Lodz73-82
18/10/26HSpojnia Stargard72-77
09/10/26APelplin80-91
04/10/26APoli. Opolska97-89
26/09/26HPoznan98-107
19/09/26ABytom85-91 OT
06/05/26HSlask Wroclaw66-88
02/05/26ASzczecin85-88
23/04/26HZielona Gora87-99
18/04/26ADabrowa Gornicza89-91
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26APoli. Opolska104-84
18/10/26APoznan80-90
11/10/26HBytom84-91
03/10/26AGKS Tychy78-65
26/09/26HStarogard Gdanski90-76
21/09/26APolonia Warszawa93-95
26/04/26HStarogard Gdanski82-91
25/04/26HStarogard Gdanski82-81
19/04/26AStarogard Gdanski90-91
18/04/26AStarogard Gdanski81-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Krosno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game84.285.083.8
Allowed / game89.592.088.2
Point differential-5.3-7.0-4.5
Avg total173.7177.0172.0
Over 171.2550%50%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%25%
Lancut
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game88.287.088.8
Allowed / game83.583.583.5
Point differential+4.7+3.5+5.2
Avg total171.7170.5172.2
Over 171.2550%50%50%
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno660100%91.073.0+18.0
2 LKS Lodz65183%86.773.8+12.8
3 Spojnia Stargard65183%90.784.0+6.7
4 Polonia Warszawa75271%90.691.3-0.7
5 Poznan64267%92.787.0+5.7
6 Inowroclaw64267%80.578.0+2.5
7 WKK Wroclaw74357%83.181.3+1.9
8 Pelplin74357%90.991.7-0.9
9 Lancut63350%88.283.5+4.7
10 Kotwica Kolobrzeg73443%89.991.3-1.4
11 GKS Tychy73443%77.079.6-2.6
12 Bytom62433%82.385.5-3.2
13 Krosno61517%84.289.5-5.3
14 Starogard Gdanski71614%84.491.7-7.3
15 R. Rzeszow71614%76.789.0-12.3
16 Poli. Opolska71614%81.694.1-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Krosno2524241992
Lancut2421151373
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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