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Lancut vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-91
25-24 20-23 19-16 18-28
Position#5
Record22-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#3
Record23-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game80.3
Poland1 Liga1. Liga - Quarter-finals· MOSiR Lancut
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lancut v Starogard Gdanski
26 Sep 2026
LANC90
STAR76
26 Apr 2026
LANC82
STAR91
25 Apr 2026
LANC82
STAR81
12 Oct 2025
LANC61
STAR77
22 Mar 2025
LANC93
STAR59
09 Mar 2022
LANC93
STAR62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#14
W
101-87
101
87
+14
A07/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H13/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H25/03
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H29/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
84-104
84
104
-20
A08/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H12/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
104-96
104
96
+8
A15/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A18/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A19/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H25/04
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-19
20-29
21-21
27-18
25-23
22-25
26-20
23-26
12-18
24-14
24-20
19-19
19-15
12-23
26-21
23-19
21-23
18-21
28-29
17-31
24-29
21-22
18-18
14-21
27-39
29-15
18-24
30-18
26-24
25-23
13-22
17-25
28-26
16-25
26-16
20-24
25-22
16-19
18-18
23-22
176.0Avg total
87.4Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)86.187.0173.2-0.963%
Season at home (17)83.879.9163.7+3.982%
Season away (18)88.393.8182.1-5.444%
Last 10 (10)87.488.6176.0-1.260%
Last 5 (5)86.890.4177.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.689.5171.1-7.938%
vs Similar (20)89.788.2177.9+1.570%
vs Weaker (2)90.082.5172.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H14/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A20/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H25/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H29/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A08/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H11/04
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
111-80
111
80
+31
A15/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H18/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
H19/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A25/04
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
23-14
21-32
16-16
8-13
17-21
19-16
13-24
28-16
14-25
27-24
24-19
16-15
25-23
20-12
18-22
23-20
34-19
22-17
19-26
15-24
19-15
21-18
19-21
16-17
37-18
25-22
33-23
24-26
23-25
22-13
25-17
26-28
25-16
16-26
24-20
22-25
19-16
18-18
22-23
166.4Avg total
85.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)85.280.3165.4+4.966%
Season at home (18)89.282.4171.6+6.778%
Season away (17)80.977.9158.9+3.053%
Last 10 (10)85.880.6166.4+5.260%
Last 5 (5)90.282.2172.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
vs Similar (8)78.284.1162.4-5.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.681.3169.9+7.370%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
LancutStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#14
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A07/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H13/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H25/03
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H29/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H12/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A15/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A18/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A19/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H25/04
1 Liga
89.7Avg total
44.3Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.545.791.2-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.184.8+2.550%-
Last 30 away (16)47.249.696.8-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)44.345.489.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)47.448.896.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.146.588.6-4.425%-
vs Similar (20)46.744.891.5+2.055%-
vs Weaker (2)47.551.599.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A20/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H29/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A08/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/04
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A15/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H18/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H19/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A25/04
1 Liga
83.1Avg total
43.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.084.0+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.942.388.2+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.039.879.8+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.783.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.087.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.039.572.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (8)39.843.082.8-3.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.240.485.7+4.970%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.318.9
58.5%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.6
31.3%
31.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws28.120.8
74.0%
70.0%20.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.6
53.2%
52.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.9
31.6%
31.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws26.719.1
71.5%
70.0%19.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
WLLWLLWWWW
Starogard Gdanski
LWWWLWWWLL
#5
League position
#3
-1.3
Net rating
+6.0
97.8
Offensive rating
96.1
99.1
Defensive rating
90.1
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.41
31.3%
3-point %
31.6%
65.3%
Assist %
73.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 96.1Defence99.1 · 90.1Shooting52.9% · 51.0%3-point %31.3% · 31.6%Ball care15.3% · 14.9%Free throws0.45 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Lancut   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lancut wins
3
Starogard Gdanski wins
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HStarogard Gdanski82-81
19/04/26AStarogard Gdanski90-91
18/04/26AStarogard Gdanski81-94
15/04/26APoli. Opolska104-96
12/04/26HLKS Lodz77-90
08/04/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg84-104
29/03/26HSpojnia Stargard80-78
25/03/26HBydgoszcz79-71
13/03/26HWKK Wroclaw96-94
07/03/26AInowroclaw101-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26ALancut81-82
19/04/26HLancut91-90
18/04/26HLancut94-81
15/04/26AZubry Bialystok111-80
11/04/26HBydgoszcz74-78
08/04/26APoli. Opolska98-82
29/03/26HLKS Lodz79-72
25/03/26HPoznan93-84
20/03/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg57-74
14/03/26HSpojnia Stargard80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW63%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %63%82%44%
Points / game86.183.888.3
Allowed / game87.079.993.8
Point differential-0.9+3.9-5.4
Avg total173.2163.7182.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)100% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL66%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayLLWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %66%78%53%
Points / game85.289.280.9
Allowed / game80.382.477.9
Point differential+4.9+6.7+3.0
Avg total165.4171.6158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%39%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz3529683%88.777.8+10.9
2 Spojnia Stargard35241169%83.879.2+4.6
3 LKS Lodz35231266%85.579.1+6.4
4 Starogard Gdanski35231266%85.280.3+4.9
5 Lancut35221363%86.187.0-0.9
6 GKS Tychy35211460%82.380.8+1.5
7 Pelplin35201557%85.384.0+1.3
8 Kotwica Kolobrzeg35171849%81.980.0+1.9
9 R. Rzeszow32141844%81.782.6-1.0
10 WKK Wroclaw32141844%80.781.8-1.2
11 Polonia Warszawa32141844%80.182.5-2.4
12 Leszno32131941%78.682.9-4.3
13 Poli. Opolska32122038%82.085.1-3.0
14 Inowroclaw32122038%79.282.7-3.5
15 Poznan32112134%79.982.2-2.4
16 Miners Katowice3292328%80.485.6-5.2
17 Zubry Bialystok3262619%77.888.3-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut2520191882
Starogard Gdanski2423162891
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