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Krosno vs Leszno Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game73.0
Poland1 LigaRound 25· Hala Sportowo-Widowiskowa
Other2026-27
Meetings · Krosno v Leszno
06 Mar 2027
KROS v LESZ
upcoming
06 Nov 2019
KROS78
LESZ71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krosno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leszno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#5
L
87-99
87
99
-12
H23/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
66-88
66
88
-22
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Bytom
#11
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
A19/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
98-107
98
107
-9
H26/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#15
W
97-89
97
89
+8
A04/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A09/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H18/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A24/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
21-20
13-21
32-26
22-23
27-23
19-30
19-23
17-27
21-18
30-15
17-28
16-24
19-21
17-19
14-24
17-17
27-18
19-29
14-13
20-28
25-19
21-38
32-22
23-31
28-15
21-15
25-28
23-23
16-23
27-15
14-30
22-13
16-20
18-23
16-21
21-16
25-20
7-22
20-24
173.5Avg total
83.2Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.289.5173.7-5.317%
Season at home (2)85.092.0177.0-7.00%
Season away (4)83.888.2172.0-4.525%
Last 10 (10)83.290.3173.5-7.110%
Last 5 (5)84.089.2173.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)80.891.4172.2-10.64%
vs Similar (4)85.890.8176.5-5.050%
vs Weaker (1)97.089.0186.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H26/03
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A04/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H11/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
W
99-77
99
77
+22
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#12
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H25/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
19-20
20-19
14-26
23-18
20-20
13-24
19-20
21-27
20-17
23-22
26-22
15-25
16-33
21-19
27-16
17-22
33-15
17-14
13-20
28-21
23-19
19-15
21-19
23-20
23-25
24-16
28-11
29-18
19-21
34-21
17-17
21-30
24-8
25-29
24-18
20-15
23-15
18-17
23-12
165.5Avg total
86.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.073.0164.0+18.0100%
Season at home (4)88.570.2158.8+18.2100%
Season away (2)96.078.5174.5+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.579.0165.5+7.570%
Last 5 (5)93.273.4166.6+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.587.1170.6-3.545%
vs Similar (12)78.780.1158.8-1.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.672.0159.6+15.6100%
This opponent (Krosno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +3.1+3.1
KrosnoLeszno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H23/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Bytom
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A19/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A04/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H18/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A24/10
1 Liga
85.2Avg total
42.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.985.9-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.843.384.1-2.642%-
Last 30 away (18)42.944.287.2-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.385.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.685.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)40.844.685.3-3.828%-
vs Similar (4)48.039.087.0+9.075%-
vs Weaker (1)51.046.097.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H26/03
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A04/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H11/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#12
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/10
1 Liga
85.2Avg total
43.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.082.6+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.438.279.6+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)41.844.286.0-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.385.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.638.485.0+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.843.684.5-2.855%-
vs Similar (12)40.241.281.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.136.781.9+8.4100%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.2
55.7%
53.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.6
31.3%
33.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.6
73.2%
70.3%15.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.4
54.9%
53.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.616.1
71.2%
70.3%16.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Krosno
LLLWLLLLLL
Leszno
WWWWWWLWLL
#13
League position
#1
-8.2
Net rating
+9.2
94.2
Offensive rating
101.3
102.4
Defensive rating
92.0
51.5%
Effective FG%
54.7%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.3%
3-point %
36.4%
59.4%
Assist %
67.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 101.3Defence102.4 · 92.0Shooting51.5% · 54.7%3-point %31.3% · 36.4%Ball care16.7% · 13.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Krosno   ■ Leszno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Krosno wins
1
Leszno wins
DateGameScore
12/02/20Leszno v Krosno79-71
06/11/19Krosno v Leszno78-71
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ALKS Lodz73-82
18/10/26HSpojnia Stargard72-77
09/10/26APelplin80-91
04/10/26APoli. Opolska97-89
26/09/26HPoznan98-107
19/09/26ABytom85-91 OT
06/05/26HSlask Wroclaw66-88
02/05/26ASzczecin85-88
23/04/26HZielona Gora87-99
18/04/26ADabrowa Gornicza89-91
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HGKS Tychy84-59
17/10/26AStarogard Gdanski94-85
10/10/26HPolonia Warszawa99-77
03/10/26AR. Rzeszow98-72
30/09/26HPelplin91-74
26/09/26HWKK Wroclaw80-71
15/04/26ALKS Lodz79-93
11/04/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg90-88
04/04/26ASpojnia Stargard75-82
26/03/26HPoli. Opolska75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Krosno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game84.285.083.8
Allowed / game89.592.088.2
Point differential-5.3-7.0-4.5
Avg total173.7177.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%25%
Leszno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.088.596.0
Allowed / game73.070.278.5
Point differential+18.0+18.2+17.5
Avg total164.0158.8174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno660100%91.073.0+18.0
2 LKS Lodz65183%86.773.8+12.8
3 Spojnia Stargard65183%90.784.0+6.7
4 WKK Wroclaw64267%86.279.8+6.3
5 Poznan64267%92.787.0+5.7
6 Inowroclaw64267%80.578.0+2.5
7 Pelplin64267%90.389.0+1.3
8 Polonia Warszawa64267%87.790.8-3.2
9 Lancut63350%88.283.5+4.7
10 Kotwica Kolobrzeg62433%89.892.5-2.7
11 Bytom62433%82.385.5-3.2
12 GKS Tychy62433%74.882.0-7.2
13 Krosno61517%84.289.5-5.3
14 Starogard Gdanski61517%85.793.8-8.2
15 Poli. Opolska61517%81.294.8-13.7
16 R. Rzeszow6060%76.391.0-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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