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Krosno vs Leszno Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game87.7
Krosno
Poland
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Leszno
Poland
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game75.4
Poland1 LigaRound 25· Hala Sportowo-Widowiskowa
Other2026-27
Meetings · Krosno v Leszno
06 Mar 2027
KROS v LESZ
upcoming
06 Nov 2019
KROS78
LESZ71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krosno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leszno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
66-88
66
88
-22
56avg 75
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Bytom
#15
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
75avg 75
A19/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
98-107
98
107
-9
93avg 75
H26/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 75
A04/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 75
A09/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
67avg 75
H18/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 75
A24/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
90avg 75
H31/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
78-95
78
95
-17
no box
A05/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
H14/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
19-21
17-19
14-24
17-17
27-18
19-29
14-13
20-28
25-19
21-38
32-22
23-31
28-15
21-15
25-28
23-23
16-23
27-15
14-30
22-13
16-20
18-23
16-21
21-16
25-20
7-22
20-24
25-24
24-21
24-15
19-13
18-31
20-20
13-20
27-24
16-17
25-25
20-20
17-22
169.6Avg total
81.9Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.787.7171.3-4.022%
Season at home (4)85.085.2170.2-0.225%
Season away (5)82.689.6172.2-7.020%
Last 10 (10)81.987.7169.6-5.820%
Last 5 (5)78.682.2160.8-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)81.691.0172.6-9.48%
vs Similar (4)87.089.0176.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (1)97.089.0186.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
84avg 79
H11/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 79
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 79
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 79
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
98-72
98
72
+26
96avg 79
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
99-77
99
77
+22
96avg 79
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
96avg 79
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
84-59
84
59
+25
87avg 79
H25/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 79
A31/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
W
100-89
100
89
+11
no box
H07/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
20-17
23-22
26-22
15-25
16-33
21-19
27-16
17-22
33-15
17-14
13-20
28-21
23-19
19-15
21-19
23-20
23-25
24-16
28-11
29-18
19-21
34-21
17-17
21-30
24-8
25-29
24-18
20-15
23-15
18-17
23-12
29-19
16-21
20-8
25-28
29-27
24-24
31-22
16-16
168.9Avg total
90.5Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.075.4167.4+16.6100%
Season at home (5)90.874.0164.8+16.8100%
Season away (3)94.077.7171.7+16.3100%
Last 10 (10)90.578.4168.9+12.190%
Last 5 (5)93.477.2170.6+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.487.2169.6-4.840%
vs Similar (11)78.382.2160.5-3.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.274.3163.6+14.9100%
This opponent (Krosno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.1+4.1
KrosnoLeszno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Bytom
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A19/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A04/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H18/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A24/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H31/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A05/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H14/11
1 Liga
85.2Avg total
42.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.386.6-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.344.086.3-1.746%-
Last 30 away (17)42.244.686.8-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.685.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.483.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)41.245.186.2-3.928%-
vs Similar (4)47.039.286.2+7.875%-
vs Weaker (1)51.046.097.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H11/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A31/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H07/11
1 Liga
87.5Avg total
45.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.683.5+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.281.1+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.043.985.9-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.287.5+3.180%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.686.4+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.343.583.8-3.250%-
vs Similar (11)40.242.282.4-2.027%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.038.784.7+7.3100%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.3
56.4%
53.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.2
33.3%
33.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.614.2
72.4%
70.8%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.9
55.7%
53.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.2
36.7%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.716.6
73.1%
70.8%16.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Krosno
LLWLLLWLLL
Leszno
WWWWWWWWLW
#13
League position
#1
-5.2
Net rating
+12.5
96.2
Offensive rating
102.8
101.4
Defensive rating
90.3
53.4%
Effective FG%
55.4%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.3%
3-point %
36.7%
58.6%
Assist %
68.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 102.8Defence101.4 · 90.3Shooting53.4% · 55.4%3-point %33.3% · 36.7%Ball care16.5% · 13.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Krosno   ■ Leszno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Krosno wins
1
Leszno wins
DateGameScore
12/02/20Leszno v Krosno79-71
06/11/19Krosno v Leszno78-71
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HInowroclaw78-84
05/11/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg78-95
31/10/26HLancut92-73
24/10/26ALKS Lodz73-82
18/10/26HSpojnia Stargard72-77
09/10/26APelplin80-91
04/10/26APoli. Opolska97-89
26/09/26HPoznan98-107
19/09/26ABytom85-91 OT
06/05/26HSlask Wroclaw66-88
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HPoznan100-89
31/10/26ABytom90-76
25/10/26HGKS Tychy84-59
17/10/26AStarogard Gdanski94-85
10/10/26HPolonia Warszawa99-77
03/10/26AR. Rzeszow98-72
30/09/26HPelplin91-74
26/09/26HWKK Wroclaw80-71
15/04/26ALKS Lodz79-93
11/04/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg90-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Krosno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game83.785.082.6
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-4.0-0.2-7.0
Avg total171.3170.2172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%20%
Leszno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.090.894.0
Allowed / game75.474.077.7
Point differential+16.6+16.8+16.3
Avg total167.4164.8171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz96367%89.381.2+8.1
4 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
5 Poznan85362%91.087.1+3.9
6 WKK Wroclaw85362%83.881.5+2.2
7 Lancut95456%87.685.0+2.6
8 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
9 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 R. Rzeszow93633%81.888.2-6.4
13 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
14 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
15 Bytom92722%82.789.0-6.3
16 Poli. Opolska81712%80.992.4-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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