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Krosno vs MKKS Koszalin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-74
15-15 16-22 27-16 24-21
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game66.0
Krosno 🏆
Poland
vs
MKKS Koszalin
Poland
Position#15
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game93.0
Poland1 LigaRound 2· Hala Sportowo-Widowiskowa
Other2024-25
Meetings · Krosno v MKKS Koszalin
05 Oct 2024
KROS82
MKKS74
16 Mar 2024
KROS101
MKKS69
13 Nov 2022
KROS90
MKKS97
02 Mar 2022
KROS64
MKKS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krosno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MKKS Koszalin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
Alstom Krakow
#16
L
74-82
74
82
-8
74avg 74
A10/03
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
101-69
101
69
+32
93avg 74
H16/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
73avg 74
A23/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
70avg 74
H07/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
84-68
84
68
+16
73avg 74
A13/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
63-72
63
72
-9
58avg 74
H20/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
68-81
68
81
-13
60avg 74
H21/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 74
A27/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 74
A28/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
70-66
70
66
+4
63avg 74
A29/09
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
31-21
16-19
14-18
31-15
21-20
22-12
27-22
18-16
17-14
14-16
25-27
18-20
21-19
17-23
19-13
23-18
13-16
25-11
23-23
23-22
17-19
11-16
12-15
24-15
17-24
21-19
6-23
22-15
16-15
23-23
18-18
24-22
17-28
15-23
17-20
20-14
18-9
12-23
20-20
152.6Avg total
77.1Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.066.0136.0+4.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)70.066.0136.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.175.5152.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)70.676.6147.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.587.0163.5-10.50%
vs Similar (8)82.075.8157.8+6.288%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.975.7157.6+6.270%
This opponent (MKKS Koszalin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MKKS KoszalinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKoszalin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#10
L
85-86
85
86
-1
75avg 73
H14/02
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
92-109
92
109
-17
84avg 73
H24/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
85-94
85
94
-9
68avg 73
A02/03
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
64-86
64
86
-22
60avg 73
H09/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
69-101
69
101
-32
68avg 73
A16/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 73
A20/03
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
67avg 73
H27/03
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
L
85-93
85
93
-8
78avg 73
A07/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
L
78-102
78
102
-24
65avg 73
H14/04
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
78-93
78
93
-15
70avg 73
H29/09
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
19-23
21-25
23-28
24-21
24-32
24-29
20-27
26-34
20-19
14-22
25-19
12-23
16-19
19-27
17-17
15-31
20-21
12-22
22-27
29-25
18-23
17-11
20-21
19-15
19-26
30-23
12-24
19-29
23-16
25-26
18-22
13-37
20-23
27-25
18-17
26-33
22-19
15-20
15-21
173.2Avg total
80.0Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.093.0171.0-15.00%
Season at home (1)78.093.0171.0-15.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.093.2173.2-13.210%
Last 5 (5)81.091.2172.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.386.2165.5-6.933%
vs Similar (10)85.886.5172.3-0.750%
vs Weaker (5)86.891.2178.0-4.420%
This opponent (Krosno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
KrosnoMKKS Koszalin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alstom Krakow
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A10/03
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H16/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A23/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H07/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A13/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H20/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A27/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A28/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A29/09
1 Liga
77.0Avg total
40.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.580.4+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.137.880.9+5.269%-
Last 30 away (17)41.039.080.0+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.677.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.676.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.040.079.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (8)41.038.079.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.538.581.1+4.065%-
This opponent (MKKS Koszalin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MKKS KoszalinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/02
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H24/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A02/03
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H09/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A16/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A20/03
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/03
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A07/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H14/04
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H29/09
1 Liga
88.5Avg total
40.6Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.984.9-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.942.882.6-2.931%-
Last 30 away (14)42.445.187.6-2.736%-
Last 10 (10)40.647.988.5-7.310%-
Last 5 (5)41.649.290.8-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.743.981.5-6.227%-
vs Similar (10)46.343.489.7+2.950%-
vs Weaker (5)40.844.885.6-4.020%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.915.9
57.0%
51.0%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.3
35.4%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.111.5
63.5%
70.2%11.5
They take 54.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MKKS Koszalintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MKKS Koszalin: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.1
51.9%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.4
30.7%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.014.0
70.0%
70.2%14.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Krosno
WLWLLWWWWL
MKKS Koszalin
LLLLWLLLLL
#1
League position
#15
+6.5
Net rating
-16.4
105.9
Offensive rating
101.2
99.4
Defensive rating
117.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
49.5%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.1%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.4%
3-point %
30.7%
61.1%
Assist %
68.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 101.2Defence99.4 · 117.7Shooting55.1% · 49.5%3-point %35.4% · 30.7%Ball care17.1% · 19.1%Off. rebounds20.3% · 28.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Krosno   ■ MKKS Koszalin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Krosno wins
4
MKKS Koszalin wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Krosno v MKKS Koszalin101-69
09/12/23MKKS Koszalin v Krosno84-83
19/02/23MKKS Koszalin v Krosno75-68
13/11/22Krosno v MKKS Koszalin90-97
02/03/22Krosno v MKKS Koszalin64-82
17/11/21MKKS Koszalin v Krosno58-79
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg70-66
28/04/24AGKS Tychy73-93
27/04/24AGKS Tychy79-71
21/04/24HGKS Tychy68-81
20/04/24HGKS Tychy63-72
13/04/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg84-68
07/04/24HPoli. Opolska85-80 OT
23/03/24AHydroTruck Radom74-73
16/03/24HMKKS Koszalin101-69
10/03/24AAlstom Krakow74-82
MKKS Koszalinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24HTrefl Sopot II78-93
14/04/24HStarogard Gdanski78-102
07/04/24AAWF Katowice85-93
27/03/24HGornik Walbrzych80-88
20/03/24AWKK Wroclaw84-80
16/03/24AKrosno69-101
09/03/24HGKS Tychy64-86
02/03/24APelplin85-94
24/02/24HSokol Miedzychod92-109
14/02/24HPoznan85-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Krosno
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game66.0-66.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total136.0-136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
MKKS Koszalin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential-15.0-15.0-
Avg total171.0171.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trefl Sopot II220100%93.077.0+16.0
2 Poli. Opolska110100%99.085.0+14.0
3 Inowroclaw110100%81.071.0+10.0
4 Pelplin220100%82.576.5+6.0
5 Starogard Gdanski110100%72.067.0+5.0
6 Krosno110100%70.066.0+4.0
7 Lancut21150%85.578.5+7.0
8 Bydgoszcz21150%71.567.5+4.0
9 HydroTruck Radom21150%77.576.5+1.0
10 GKS Tychy21150%82.081.5+0.5
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1010%66.070.0-4.0
12 LKS Lodz1010%73.079.0-6.0
13 WKK Wroclaw1010%77.085.0-8.0
14 Poznan1010%71.081.0-10.0
15 MKKS Koszalin1010%78.093.0-15.0
16 Slask Wroclaw II1010%76.093.0-17.0
17 R. Rzeszow2020%70.091.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Krosno1516272482
MKKS Koszalin1522162174
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