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Kryvbas vs Stariy Lutsk Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 80-71
18-32 17-9 26-18 19-12
Position#5
Record11-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game74.6
Kryvbas 🏆
Ukraine
vs
Stariy Lutsk
Ukraine
Position#7
Record7-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game76.0
UkraineFBU Superleague· Sportpalace Budivelnyk
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kryvbas v Stariy Lutsk
31 Oct 2025
KRYV73
STAR62
27 Mar 2025
KRYV80
STAR71
19 Dec 2024
KRYV65
STAR85
13 Jan 2024
KRYV71
STAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kryvbas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stariy Lutsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KryvbasUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKryvbas
Date
Competition
Rivne
#3
W
66-64
66
64
+2
62avg 58
A25/01
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#7
W
66-63
66
63
+3
46avg 58
A26/01
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
68-79
68
79
-11
56avg 58
H05/02
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#8
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 58
A13/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
56-61
56
61
-5
41avg 58
A14/02
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
63-72
63
72
-9
6avg 58
A22/02
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
57-79
57
79
-22
46avg 58
H11/03
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
W
78-66
78
66
+12
73avg 58
H12/03
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#8
L
88-92
88
92
-4
79avg 58
H21/03
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
82avg 58
H26/03
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-19
20-21
20-10
17-14
20-14
17-17
11-19
18-13
14-23
20-23
17-14
17-19
19-20
15-19
19-20
15-18
11-13
22-15
7-20
16-13
15-18
15-15
14-19
19-20
12-18
18-16
12-21
15-24
22-12
14-20
22-20
20-14
18-20
25-25
22-18
23-29
23-27
26-17
22-14
12-29
143.3Avg total
69.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.674.6145.2-4.041%
Season at home (13)74.280.5154.7-6.431%
Season away (14)67.369.1136.4-1.950%
Last 10 (10)69.374.0143.3-4.730%
Last 5 (5)73.879.2153.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)65.478.7144.1-13.313%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.871.0144.8+2.864%
vs Weaker (4)78.077.0155.0+1.050%
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLutsk
Date
Competition
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
W
63-59
63
59
+4
56avg 59
H25/01
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#5
L
63-66
63
66
-3
54avg 59
H26/01
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
W
82-81
82
81
+1
77avg 59
A01/02
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
52-96
52
96
-44
43avg 59
A02/02
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
69-86
69
86
-17
62avg 59
H14/02
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 59
H15/02
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 59
H23/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
43avg 59
H08/03
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#8
L
64-66
64
66
-2
45avg 59
H09/03
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
L
68-78
68
78
-10
62avg 59
A26/03
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
10-12
13-17
16-9
14-20
17-17
19-11
13-18
14-16
20-16
25-14
23-35
12-29
15-14
17-21
8-32
23-20
12-17
19-24
15-25
17-24
24-19
17-22
27-22
22-26
20-21
20-27
22-23
15-13
14-19
18-18
15-21
16-20
15-11
25-15
8-20
22-19
13-12
23-24
10-23
147.9Avg total
69.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.276.0145.2-6.826%
Season at home (13)68.877.1145.9-8.215%
Season away (14)69.675.0144.6-5.436%
Last 10 (10)69.278.7147.9-9.520%
Last 5 (5)72.679.8152.4-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)68.279.3147.5-11.116%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.272.6145.8+0.545%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kryvbas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -7.1-7.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -7.1-7.1
KryvbasStariy Lutsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KryvbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rivne
#3
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/01
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#7
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/01
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H05/02
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A13/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A14/02
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A22/02
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/03
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H12/03
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H21/03
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H26/03
FBU Superleague
72.7Avg total
35.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.039.173.1-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.240.476.5-4.223%-
Last 30 away (17)32.438.170.5-5.835%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.272.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.675.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)30.242.272.4-12.013%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.534.571.9+3.055%-
vs Weaker (4)38.840.279.0-1.525%-
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/01
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#5
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H26/01
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A01/02
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A02/02
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/02
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H15/02
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H23/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#2
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H08/03
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#8
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H09/03
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A26/03
FBU Superleague
70.5Avg total
33.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.337.371.7-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.339.774.0-5.37%-
Last 30 away (15)34.335.069.3-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)33.936.670.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.872.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.637.971.5-4.326%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.536.471.9-0.836%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kryvbas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kryvbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kryvbas: 63.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.3
46.4%
48.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.95.2
27.5%
30.0%15.6
🏀 Free throws17.713.6
76.8%
69.8%13.6
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stariy Lutsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stariy Lutsk: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.5
47.6%
48.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.8
27.9%
30.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.613.7
73.7%
69.8%13.7
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kryvbas
LLWLLLLLWW
Stariy Lutsk
LLLLLLLWLW
#5
League position
#7
-7.4
Net rating
-12.5
98.0
Offensive rating
91.9
105.4
Defensive rating
104.4
44.7%
Effective FG%
45.3%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
22.1%
Turnover %
22.9%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.5%
3-point %
27.9%
54.7%
Assist %
53.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 91.9Defence105.4 · 104.4Shooting44.7% · 45.3%3-point %27.5% · 27.9%Ball care22.1% · 22.9%Off. rebounds34.1% · 31.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Kryvbas   ■ Stariy Lutsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kryvbas wins
3
Stariy Lutsk wins
DateGameScore
26/01/25Stariy Lutsk v Kryvbas63-66
19/12/24Kryvbas v Stariy Lutsk65-85
19/10/24Stariy Lutsk v Kryvbas74-79
17/03/24Stariy Lutsk v Kryvbas85-66
13/01/24Kryvbas v Stariy Lutsk71-70
18/10/23Stariy Lutsk v Kryvbas72-56
Kryvbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25HRivne83-87
21/03/25HGoverla88-92
12/03/25HBK Zaporozhye78-66
11/03/25HBC Dnipro57-79
22/02/25ABC Dnipro63-72
14/02/25AKyiv Basket56-61
13/02/25AGoverla68-77
05/02/25HKyiv Basket68-79
26/01/25AStariy Lutsk66-63
25/01/25ARivne66-64
Stariy Lutsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25ACherkaski Mavpy68-78
09/03/25HGoverla64-66
08/03/25HKyiv Basket62-71
23/02/25HRivne84-97
15/02/25HBK Zaporozhye85-87
14/02/25HBC Dnipro69-86
02/02/25ABC Dnipro52-96
01/02/25ABK Zaporozhye82-81
26/01/25HKryvbas63-66
25/01/25HCherkaski Mavpy63-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kryvbas
FBU Superleague 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeLLWLL31%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%31%50%
Points / game70.674.267.3
Allowed / game74.680.569.1
Point differential-4.0-6.4-1.9
Avg total145.2154.7136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%8%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)43% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stariy Lutsk
FBU Superleague 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLLLLL15%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %26%15%36%
Points / game69.268.869.6
Allowed / game76.077.175.0
Point differential-6.8-8.2-5.4
Avg total145.2145.9144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)25% (8)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Dnipro27270100%81.663.6+18.0
2 Kyiv Basket2719870%75.470.8+4.6
3 Rivne27151256%72.972.5+0.4
4 Cherkaski Mavpy27141352%73.773.5+0.3
5 Kryvbas27111641%70.674.6-4.0
6 BK Zaporozhye28111739%71.274.6-3.4
7 Stariy Lutsk2772026%69.276.0-6.8
8 Goverla2852318%69.277.6-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kryvbas1817261980
Stariy Lutsk329181271
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