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KTP Kotka Basket vs Bisons Loimaa Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 86-74
Projected total 160.6
Scheduled
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLLWWL
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game80.0
Vs
86%
14%
■ KTP 86%■ BLO 14%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game91.7
FinlandSuomen CupSuomen Cup - Quarter-finals· Steveco-Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Bisons Loimaa
04 Dec 2026
KTP v BLO
upcoming
17 Nov 2026
KTP v BLO
upcoming
29 Sep 2026
KTP 87
BLO64
19 Dec 2025
KTP 85
BLO72
08 Oct 2024
KTP 71
BLO74
08 Mar 2024
KTP 84
BLO76
28 Dec 2023
KTP 75
BLO77
21 Jan 2022
KTP 96
BLO88
29 Jan 2016
KTP 74
BLO97
14 Oct 2015
KTP 65
BLO75
07 May 2015
KTP 73
BLO68
03 May 2015
KTP 81
BLO88
16 Jan 2015
KTP 70
BLO88
30 Oct 2014
KTP 77
BLO76
07 Mar 2014
KTP 81
BLO85
29 Nov 2013
KTP 70
BLO76
15 May 2013
KTP 94
BLO78
10 May 2013
KTP 61
BLO72
03 Apr 2013
KTP 71
BLO72
11 Jan 2013
KTP 87
BLO81
Sections
Game preview & prediction

KTP Kotka Basket will host Bisons Loimaa in the Suomen Cup on 17 November 2026, and the Pythia model designates KTP as the clear favourite, assigning them an 86% chance of victory largely because the Kotka side has gone 3-0 this season, averaging 95.7 points per game while allowing only 80.0, and sits second in the league; Bisons Loimaa have struggled, 1-2 with 74.0 points scored and 91.7 points allowed, and are eighth. KTP's home record is 1-0, 86.0 points per game, 78.0 allowed, and they have won two of their last five games, including a 106-74 win over Bisons on 11 November, while Bisons' road record is 1-0, 74.0 points, 68.0 allowed, but they have won only one of five recent outings, losing 74-106 at home to KTP on 11 November. Their head-to-head history is even, 5-5 over ten meetings, with the last encounter ending 106-74 in KTP's favour. Pythia projects a 86-74 score, a total of 160.6, and gives KTP an 86% probability of covering the home line, with a 3% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by KTP's offensive consistency and Bisons' recent defensive lapses.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket win
85.5%fair 1.17
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bisons Loimaa win
14.5%fair 6.90
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
53avg 79
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
102-81
102
81
+21
89avg 79
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
100-89
100
89
+11
94avg 79
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
95-89
95
89
+6
92avg 79
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 79
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
105-119
105
119
-14
97avg 79
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
99-104
99
104
-5
no box
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
106-74
106
74
+32
no box
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Kataja
#7
L
55-92
55
92
-37
no box
A14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
22-19
20-16
22-22
29-20
19-18
28-20
26-23
19-26
30-21
26-20
25-22
20-23
31-23
22-22
22-21
21-12
22-23
27-20
29-20
25-39
23-30
24-26
33-24
20-22
25-30
33-23
21-29
26-16
26-29
24-19
24-17
28-13
25-17
24-28
29-16
19-26
11-21
12-18
13-27
182.5Avg total
94.9Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.780.0175.7+15.7100%
Season at home (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)100.581.0181.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)94.987.6182.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)93.094.0187.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.082.5161.5-3.550%
vs Similar (14)82.984.4167.4-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.180.6174.8+13.593%
This opponent (Bisons Loimaa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bisons LoimaaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLoimaa
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#8
W
73-72
73
72
+1
59avg 75
A06/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
L
56-84
56
84
-28
25avg 75
A09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
59avg 75
H17/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
100-88
100
88
+12
95avg 75
H21/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
L
78-90
78
90
-12
66avg 75
A24/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 75
H31/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
no box
H04/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
no box
A08/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
74-106
74
106
-32
no box
H11/11
Suomen Cup
Honka
#3
W
108-90
108
90
+18
no box
A13/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
19-20
14-12
22-16
11-15
21-22
9-20
15-27
14-23
25-20
12-18
19-20
27-23
29-18
18-23
26-24
21-25
20-23
16-19
21-23
23-26
8-23
25-22
17-25
20-25
17-20
20-23
27-16
17-20
27-13
18-20
13-22
13-28
17-25
28-24
16-29
30-22
23-24
25-20
30-24
169.5Avg total
80.6Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.091.7165.7-17.733%
Season at home (2)74.0103.5177.5-29.50%
Season away (1)74.068.0142.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.688.9169.5-8.330%
Last 5 (5)85.894.8180.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.887.5164.4-10.731%
vs Similar (9)87.987.1175.0+0.833%
vs Weaker (8)94.881.6176.4+13.162%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154
Over 154
65.8%
Under 154
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159
Over 159
53.6%
Under 159
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
41.2%
Under 164
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

KTP Kotka Basket total 77
Over 77
83.4%
Under 77
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KTP Kotka Basket total 81
Over 81
71.2%
Under 81
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KTP Kotka Basket total 85
Over 85
55.7%
Under 85
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bisons Loimaa total 74
Over 74
50.5%
Under 74
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bisons Loimaa total 78
Over 78
34.6%
Under 78
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bisons Loimaa total 82
Over 82
21.4%
Under 82
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread KTP Kotka Basket -3
KTP -3
80.5%
BLO +3
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
KTP
No market prices yet.
BLO
No market prices yet.
Spread KTP Kotka Basket 0
KTP 0
85.5%
BLO 0
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
KTP
No market prices yet.
BLO
No market prices yet.
Spread KTP Kotka Basket +3
KTP +3
90.1%
BLO -3
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
KTP
No market prices yet.
BLO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
KTP Kotka BasketBisons Loimaa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Kataja
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A14/11
Korisliiga
90.8Avg total
46.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.487.1+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.485.0+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)45.743.288.9+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)46.544.390.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.648.694.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (14)42.442.584.9-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.042.490.4+5.679%-
This opponent (Bisons Loimaa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bisons LoimaaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H17/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H21/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A24/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H31/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H04/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A08/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H11/11
Suomen Cup
Honka
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A13/11
Korisliiga
83.9Avg total
40.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.586.2+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.944.189.0+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)42.741.083.7+1.744%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.983.9-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.284.2-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.943.282.2-4.331%-
vs Similar (9)44.641.686.1+3.056%-
vs Weaker (8)50.542.292.8+8.262%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.3
51.9%
-38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.6
38.7%
-31.8
🏀 Free throws19.817.1
86.4%
-17.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bisons Loimaatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bisons Loimaa: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.4
50.0%
-42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.7
29.4%
-20.1
🏀 Free throws15.311.7
76.5%
-11.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
LWWLLWWWWW
Bisons Loimaa
WLLLLLWLLW
#2
League position
#8
+7.6
Net rating
-9.1
101.8
Offensive rating
89.1
94.2
Defensive rating
98.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
47.9%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.7%
3-point %
29.4%
53.5%
Assist %
44.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ Bisons Loimaa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKataja55-92
11/11/26ABisons Loimaa106-74
08/11/26HLahti Basketball100-81
04/11/26AKipina99-104
30/10/26HHonka105-119
23/10/26HKouvot Kouvola99-75
21/10/26AKouvot Kouvola95-89
17/10/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki100-89
14/10/26ASalon Vilpas102-81
09/10/26HPyrinto Tampere88-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AHonka108-90
11/11/26HKTP Kotka Basket74-106
08/11/26APyrinto Tampere84-89 OT
04/11/26HLahti Basketball90-93 OT
31/10/26HKipina73-96
24/10/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki78-90
21/10/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki100-88
17/10/26HSalon Vilpas70-81
09/10/26AHelsinki Seagulls56-84
06/10/26AKarhu Basket73-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Suomen Cup 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.786.0100.5
Allowed / game80.078.081.0
Point differential+15.7+8.0+19.5
Avg total175.7164.0181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bisons Loimaa
Suomen Cup 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game74.074.074.0
Allowed / game91.7103.568.0
Point differential-17.7-29.5+6.0
Avg total165.7177.5142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas330100%99.778.7+21.0
2 KTP Kotka Basket330100%95.780.0+15.7
3 Kouvot Kouvola32167%85.779.0+6.7
4 Karhu Basket32167%85.382.3+3.0
5 Helsinki Seagulls32167%82.080.3+1.7
6 Kataja32167%80.780.7+0.0
7 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki31233%85.087.7-2.7
8 Bisons Loimaa31233%74.091.7-17.7
9 Lahti Basketball2020%76.581.0-4.5
10 Kipina2020%81.089.0-8.0
11 Pyrinto Tampere2020%70.582.0-11.5
12 Honka2020%77.094.5-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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