KTP Kotka Basket will host Bisons Loimaa in the Suomen Cup on 17 November 2026, and the Pythia model designates KTP as the clear favourite, assigning them an 86% chance of victory largely because the Kotka side has gone 3-0 this season, averaging 95.7 points per game while allowing only 80.0, and sits second in the league; Bisons Loimaa have struggled, 1-2 with 74.0 points scored and 91.7 points allowed, and are eighth. KTP's home record is 1-0, 86.0 points per game, 78.0 allowed, and they have won two of their last five games, including a 106-74 win over Bisons on 11 November, while Bisons' road record is 1-0, 74.0 points, 68.0 allowed, but they have won only one of five recent outings, losing 74-106 at home to KTP on 11 November. Their head-to-head history is even, 5-5 over ten meetings, with the last encounter ending 106-74 in KTP's favour. Pythia projects a 86-74 score, a total of 160.6, and gives KTP an 86% probability of covering the home line, with a 3% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by KTP's offensive consistency and Bisons' recent defensive lapses.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 95.7 | 80.0 | 175.7 | +15.7 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 86.0 | 78.0 | 164.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 100.5 | 81.0 | 181.5 | +19.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 94.9 | 87.6 | 182.5 | +7.3 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.0 | 94.0 | 187.0 | -1.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 79.0 | 82.5 | 161.5 | -3.5 | 50% |
| vs Similar (14) | 82.9 | 84.4 | 167.4 | -1.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 94.1 | 80.6 | 174.8 | +13.5 | 93% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 74.0 | 91.7 | 165.7 | -17.7 | 33% |
| Season at home (2) | 74.0 | 103.5 | 177.5 | -29.5 | 0% |
| Season away (1) | 74.0 | 68.0 | 142.0 | +6.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.6 | 88.9 | 169.5 | -8.3 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.8 | 94.8 | 180.6 | -9.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 76.8 | 87.5 | 164.4 | -10.7 | 31% |
| vs Similar (9) | 87.9 | 87.1 | 175.0 | +0.8 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 94.8 | 81.6 | 176.4 | +13.1 | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.7 | 42.4 | 87.1 | +2.3 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 43.6 | 41.4 | 85.0 | +2.1 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 45.7 | 43.2 | 88.9 | +2.5 | 62% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.5 | 44.3 | 90.8 | +2.2 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.6 | 48.6 | 94.2 | -3.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 38.0 | 41.5 | 79.5 | -3.5 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 42.4 | 42.5 | 84.9 | -0.1 | 43% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 48.0 | 42.4 | 90.4 | +5.6 | 79% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.7 | 42.5 | 86.2 | +1.2 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.9 | 44.1 | 89.0 | +0.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.7 | 41.0 | 83.7 | +1.7 | 44% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.0 | 43.9 | 83.9 | -3.9 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.0 | 45.2 | 84.2 | -6.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 38.9 | 43.2 | 82.2 | -4.3 | 31% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 44.6 | 41.6 | 86.1 | +3.0 | 56% | - |
| vs Weaker (8) | 50.5 | 42.2 | 92.8 | +8.2 | 62% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.2 | 19.3 | 51.9% | - | 38.6 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.4 | 10.6 | 38.7% | - | 31.8 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.8 | 17.1 | 86.4% | - | 17.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.8 | 21.4 | 50.0% | - | 42.8 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.8 | 6.7 | 29.4% | - | 20.1 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.3 | 11.7 | 76.5% | - | 11.7 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | Bisons Loimaa v KTP Kotka Basket | 74-106 |
| 29/09/26 | KTP Kotka Basket v Bisons Loimaa | 87-64 |
| 19/12/25 | KTP Kotka Basket v Bisons Loimaa | 85-72 |
| 17/10/25 | Bisons Loimaa v KTP Kotka Basket | 92-68 |
| 07/12/24 | Bisons Loimaa v KTP Kotka Basket | 76-70 |
| 08/10/24 | KTP Kotka Basket v Bisons Loimaa | 71-74 |
| 08/03/24 | KTP Kotka Basket v Bisons Loimaa | 84-76 |
| 10/02/24 | Bisons Loimaa v KTP Kotka Basket | 91-76 |
| 28/12/23 | KTP Kotka Basket v Bisons Loimaa | 75-77 |
| 20/10/23 | Bisons Loimaa v KTP Kotka Basket | 87-93 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Kataja | 55-92 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Bisons Loimaa | 106-74 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Lahti Basketball | 100-81 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Kipina | 99-104 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Honka | 105-119 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Kouvot Kouvola | 99-75 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Kouvot Kouvola | 95-89 |
| 17/10/26 | A | UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki | 100-89 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Salon Vilpas | 102-81 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Pyrinto Tampere | 88-72 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | Honka | 108-90 |
| 11/11/26 | H | KTP Kotka Basket | 74-106 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Pyrinto Tampere | 84-89 OT |
| 04/11/26 | H | Lahti Basketball | 90-93 OT |
| 31/10/26 | H | Kipina | 73-96 |
| 24/10/26 | A | UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki | 78-90 |
| 21/10/26 | H | UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki | 100-88 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Salon Vilpas | 70-81 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Helsinki Seagulls | 56-84 |
| 06/10/26 | A | Karhu Basket | 73-72 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 95.7 | 86.0 | 100.5 |
| Allowed / game | 80.0 | 78.0 | 81.0 |
| Point differential | +15.7 | +8.0 | +19.5 |
| Avg total | 175.7 | 164.0 | 181.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLL | 33% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 33% | 0% | 100% |
| Points / game | 74.0 | 74.0 | 74.0 |
| Allowed / game | 91.7 | 103.5 | 68.0 |
| Point differential | -17.7 | -29.5 | +6.0 |
| Avg total | 165.7 | 177.5 | 142.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 99.7 | 78.7 | +21.0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.7 | 80.0 | +15.7 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.7 | 79.0 | +6.7 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.3 | 82.3 | +3.0 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.0 | 80.3 | +1.7 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.7 | 80.7 | +0.0 | |
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 85.0 | 87.7 | -2.7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.0 | 91.7 | -17.7 | |
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 76.5 | 81.0 | -4.5 | |
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 81.0 | 89.0 | -8.0 | |
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 70.5 | 82.0 | -11.5 | |
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 77.0 | 94.5 | -17.5 |
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