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KTP Kotka Basket vs Helsinki Seagulls Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 90-81
Projected total 171.0
Scheduled
Position#2
Record8-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game85.8
KTP Kotka Basket
Finland
Vs
76%
24%
■ KTP 76%■ HELS 24%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Helsinki Seagulls
Finland
Position#4
Record6-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game83.1
FinlandKorisliiga· Steveco-Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Helsinki Seagulls
12 Mar 2027
KTP v HELS
upcoming
20 Nov 2026
KTP v HELS
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
KTP 70
HELS78
05 Apr 2026
KTP 72
HELS81
30 Mar 2026
KTP 83
HELS95
24 Mar 2026
KTP 79
HELS77
10 Feb 2026
KTP 79
HELS73
09 Dec 2025
KTP 82
HELS88
14 Jan 2025
KTP 83
HELS114
13 Oct 2023
KTP 84
HELS79
11 Feb 2023
KTP 75
HELS86
17 Jan 2023
KTP 94
HELS91
06 Apr 2022
KTP 63
HELS82
11 Mar 2022
KTP 85
HELS78
14 Dec 2021
KTP 96
HELS80
09 Feb 2021
KTP 78
HELS96
13 Mar 2020
KTP v HELS
upcoming
30 Nov 2019
KTP 101
HELS85
12 Feb 2019
KTP 86
HELS84
06 Nov 2018
KTP 98
HELS89
13 Feb 2018
KTP 106
HELS95
07 Nov 2017
KTP 88
HELS86
29 Mar 2017
KTP 90
HELS100
19 Oct 2016
KTP 75
HELS82
11 Mar 2016
KTP 76
HELS80
04 Dec 2015
KTP 75
HELS66
20 Apr 2015
KTP 92
HELS80
27 Feb 2015
KTP 61
HELS85
21 Nov 2014
KTP 84
HELS81
Sections
Game preview & prediction

KTP Kotka Basket will host Helsinki Seagulls in the Korisliiga on 20 November 2026, with the Pythia model designating KTP Kotka Basket as the favourite at 76% to 24%. KTP Kotka Basket have gone 8-3 this season, scoring 92.2 points per game and allowing 85.8, and sit second in the league; at home they are 4-1, averaging 95.8 points and conceding 82.2, and have won two of their last five games, including a 106-74 victory over Bisons Loimaa and a 100-81 win at Lahti Basketball, though they suffered a 55-92 loss to Kataja away on 14 November. Helsinki Seagulls are 6-5 overall, with 83.4 points per game and 83.1 allowed, positioned fourth; on the road they are 0-5, scoring 76.2 and conceding 90.8, yet they have won three of their last five, highlighted by a 98-83 win over Kipina and a 98-80 victory over Kouvot Kouvola, but fell 68-76 to Karhu Basket at home on 10 November. Their head-to-head record is even at 5-5, with the last meeting ending 78-70 in favour of Helsinki Seagulls on 9 April 2026. Pythia projects a 90-81 score for KTP Kotka Basket, a total of 171.0 points, and a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket win
76.5%fair 1.31
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Helsinki Seagulls win
23.5%fair 4.25
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
53avg 79
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
102-81
102
81
+21
89avg 79
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
100-89
100
89
+11
94avg 79
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
95-89
95
89
+6
92avg 79
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 79
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
105-119
105
119
-14
97avg 79
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
99-104
99
104
-5
no box
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
106-74
106
74
+32
no box
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Kataja
#7
L
55-92
55
92
-37
no box
A14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
22-19
20-16
22-22
29-20
19-18
28-20
26-23
19-26
30-21
26-20
25-22
20-23
31-23
22-22
22-21
21-12
22-23
27-20
29-20
25-39
23-30
24-26
33-24
20-22
25-30
33-23
21-29
26-16
26-29
24-19
24-17
28-13
25-17
24-28
29-16
19-26
11-21
12-18
13-27
182.5Avg total
94.9Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.285.8178.0+6.473%
Season at home (5)95.882.2178.0+13.680%
Season away (6)89.288.8178.0+0.367%
Last 10 (10)94.987.6182.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)93.094.0187.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.082.5161.5-3.550%
vs Similar (14)82.984.4167.4-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.180.6174.8+13.593%
This opponent (Helsinki Seagulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helsinki SeagullsFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSeagulls
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
L
67-88
67
88
-21
60avg 71
A06/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
84-56
84
56
+28
42avg 71
H09/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
76-91
76
91
-15
61avg 71
A17/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
64-79
64
79
-15
53avg 71
A24/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 71
H27/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
90avg 71
H30/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
91-94
91
94
-3
no box
A03/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
H06/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H10/11
Suomen Cup
Kipina
#1
W
98-83
98
83
+15
no box
H13/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
15-16
11-26
18-25
15-11
22-21
20-9
27-15
24-18
17-28
19-17
16-28
15-16
23-24
12-17
14-22
26-13
18-25
23-19
19-22
22-20
24-31
25-15
23-26
25-28
31-21
23-22
12-23
21-24
24-15
21-15
32-26
17-17
18-23
16-23
17-13
26-23
35-19
19-28
18-13
164.4Avg total
82.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.483.1166.5+0.355%
Season at home (6)89.376.7166.0+12.7100%
Season away (5)76.290.8167.0-14.60%
Last 10 (10)82.681.8164.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)89.885.0174.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.488.2168.6-7.840%
vs Similar (21)80.383.1163.4-2.843%
vs Weaker (4)85.871.5157.2+14.2100%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
60.0%
Under 166.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
47.9%
Under 171.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176.5
Over 176.5
36.1%
Under 176.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

KTP Kotka Basket total 84
Over 84
71.6%
Under 84
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KTP Kotka Basket total 88
Over 88
56.4%
Under 88
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KTP Kotka Basket total 92
Over 92
40.0%
Under 92
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsinki Seagulls total 79.5
Over 79.5
56.6%
Under 79.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsinki Seagulls total 83.5
Over 83.5
41.2%
Under 83.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsinki Seagulls total 87.5
Over 87.5
27.3%
Under 87.5
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread KTP Kotka Basket -3
KTP -3
69.5%
HELS +3
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
KTP
No market prices yet.
HELS
No market prices yet.
Spread KTP Kotka Basket 0
KTP 0
76.5%
HELS 0
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
KTP
No market prices yet.
HELS
No market prices yet.
Spread KTP Kotka Basket +3
KTP +3
83.0%
HELS -3
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
KTP
No market prices yet.
HELS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
KTP Kotka BasketHelsinki Seagulls
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Kataja
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A14/11
Korisliiga
90.8Avg total
46.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.487.1+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.485.0+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)45.743.288.9+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)46.544.390.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.648.694.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (14)42.442.584.9-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.042.490.4+5.679%-
This opponent (Helsinki Seagulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helsinki SeagullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A17/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A24/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H27/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H30/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A03/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H06/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H10/11
Suomen Cup
Kipina
#1
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H13/11
Korisliiga
85.5Avg total
44.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.986.5-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.582.9+0.047%-
Last 30 away (15)43.846.390.1-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.485.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.292.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)46.645.692.2+1.040%-
vs Similar (21)41.944.786.5-2.838%-
vs Weaker (4)41.837.579.2+4.275%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.3
51.9%
54.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.6
38.7%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.817.1
86.4%
75.8%17.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helsinki Seagullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helsinki Seagulls: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
54.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.9
28.2%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.010.8
67.5%
75.8%10.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
LWWLLWWWWW
Helsinki Seagulls
WLWLWWLLWL
#2
League position
#4
+7.6
Net rating
-9.6
101.8
Offensive rating
84.9
94.2
Defensive rating
94.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
47.3%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.7%
3-point %
28.2%
53.5%
Assist %
70.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 84.9Defence94.2 · 94.5Shooting54.5% · 47.3%3-point %38.7% · 28.2%Ball care16.1% · 15.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ Helsinki Seagulls
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
KTP Kotka Basket wins
5
Helsinki Seagulls wins
DateGameScore
09/04/26KTP Kotka Basket v Helsinki Seagulls70-78
07/04/26Helsinki Seagulls v KTP Kotka Basket89-79
05/04/26KTP Kotka Basket v Helsinki Seagulls72-81
01/04/26Helsinki Seagulls v KTP Kotka Basket85-87
30/03/26KTP Kotka Basket v Helsinki Seagulls83-95
27/03/26Helsinki Seagulls v KTP Kotka Basket76-92
24/03/26KTP Kotka Basket v Helsinki Seagulls79-77
10/03/26Helsinki Seagulls v KTP Kotka Basket84-92
10/02/26KTP Kotka Basket v Helsinki Seagulls79-73
09/12/25KTP Kotka Basket v Helsinki Seagulls82-88
KTP Kotka Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKataja55-92
11/11/26ABisons Loimaa106-74
08/11/26HLahti Basketball100-81
04/11/26AKipina99-104
30/10/26HHonka105-119
23/10/26HKouvot Kouvola99-75
21/10/26AKouvot Kouvola95-89
17/10/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki100-89
14/10/26ASalon Vilpas102-81
09/10/26HPyrinto Tampere88-72
Helsinki Seagullslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HKipina98-83
10/11/26HKarhu Basket68-76
06/11/26HKouvot Kouvola98-80
03/11/26AHonka91-94
30/10/26HPyrinto Tampere94-92
27/10/26HSalon Vilpas86-79
24/10/26ASalon Vilpas64-79
17/10/26AKarhu Basket76-91
09/10/26HBisons Loimaa84-56
06/10/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki67-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL73%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game92.295.889.2
Allowed / game85.882.288.8
Point differential+6.4+13.6+0.3
Avg total178.0178.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Helsinki Seagulls
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW55%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%100%0%
Points / game83.489.376.2
Allowed / game83.176.790.8
Point differential+0.3+12.7-14.6
Avg total166.5166.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina119282%95.689.5+6.2
2 KTP Kotka Basket118373%92.285.8+6.4
3 Honka117464%98.7100.4-1.6
4 Helsinki Seagulls116555%83.483.1+0.3
5 Pyrinto Tampere116555%85.985.8+0.1
6 Salon Vilpas105550%87.281.8+5.4
7 Kataja105550%86.982.5+4.4
8 Karhu Basket115645%85.783.5+2.2
9 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki114736%87.691.2-3.5
10 Lahti Basketball114736%82.488.7-6.4
11 Kouvot Kouvola113827%86.991.3-4.4
12 Bisons Loimaa113827%78.886.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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