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Kufstein vs Mistelbach Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 72-77
15-18 9-20 22-12 26-27
Position#5
Record14-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#1
Record21-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game66.0
AustriaZweite LigaZweite Liga - Semi-finals· Kufstein Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kufstein v Mistelbach
08 Feb 2026
KUFS82
MIST75
13 Apr 2025
KUFS79
MIST62
30 Mar 2024
KUFS72
MIST77
08 Dec 2023
KUFS64
MIST65
26 Mar 2022
KUFS90
MIST81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kufstein winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mistelbach winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KufsteinAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKufstein
Date
Competition
Celovec
#11
W
86-59
86
59
+27
85avg 75
A13/01
Zweite Liga
Raiders Tirol
#7
L
67-77
67
77
-10
52avg 75
A27/01
Zweite Liga
Steiermark
#14
W
84-50
84
50
+34
86avg 75
A03/02
Zweite Liga
Salzburg
#10
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 75
A10/02
Zweite Liga
Dornbirn Lions
#9
W
129-89
129
89
+40
143avg 75
H17/02
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#4
W
79-67
79
67
+12
74avg 75
H24/02
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#4
W
97-61
97
61
+36
111avg 75
H02/03
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#4
L
64-76
64
76
-12
52avg 75
A10/03
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#4
W
84-71
84
71
+13
78avg 75
H16/03
Zweite Liga
Mistelbach
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 75
A23/03
Zweite Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
25-13
24-14
19-14
14-17
16-20
15-18
22-22
19-12
23-17
28-13
14-8
15-17
33-27
23-20
13-14
37-24
35-26
30-13
27-26
17-16
18-17
19-20
25-14
24-15
26-13
26-14
21-19
18-25
16-23
15-14
15-14
15-17
25-18
22-20
22-16
25-15
17-20
18-21
8-20
154.6Avg total
84.2Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.369.2149.6+11.161%
Season at home (11)89.168.3157.4+20.882%
Season away (12)72.370.1142.4+2.242%
Last 10 (10)84.270.4154.6+13.870%
Last 5 (5)78.470.2148.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.690.2163.8-16.60%
vs Similar (7)71.775.4147.1-3.729%
vs Weaker (17)86.370.0156.3+16.376%
This opponent (Mistelbach) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MistelbachAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMistelbach
Date
Competition
Gussing Blackbirds
#8
W
102-46
102
46
+56
110avg 86
H06/01
Zweite Liga
Upper Austrian Ballers
#12
W
101-93 OT
101
93
+8
no box
A14/01
Zweite Liga
Vienna United
#6
W
70-65
70
65
+5
59avg 86
A27/01
Zweite Liga
Dornbirn Lions
#9
W
128-89
128
89
+39
140avg 86
H03/02
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#4
W
94-54
94
54
+40
103avg 86
H10/02
Zweite Liga
Raiders Tirol
#7
W
81-63
81
63
+18
77avg 86
A17/02
Zweite Liga
Basket Flames
#13
W
94-53
94
53
+41
97avg 86
H24/02
Zweite Liga
Dornbirn Lions
#9
W
105-73
105
73
+32
114avg 86
H02/03
Zweite Liga
Dornbirn Lions
#9
W
106-88
106
88
+18
105avg 86
A09/03
Zweite Liga
Kufstein
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 86
H23/03
Zweite Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
23-13
28-9
28-11
26-21
21-30
19-18
20-17
17-21
26-7
9-24
18-13
33-23
34-22
30-24
31-20
32-15
24-16
20-1
18-22
27-16
19-12
12-25
23-10
29-22
27-10
22-9
16-12
27-16
33-16
30-16
15-25
27-25
30-28
22-19
27-16
15-25
20-17
21-18
20-8
164.9Avg total
95.7Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.566.0154.5+22.595%
Season at home (12)95.263.6158.8+31.7100%
Season away (10)80.468.8149.2+11.690%
Last 10 (10)95.769.2164.9+26.5100%
Last 5 (5)92.469.0161.4+23.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)74.274.8149.0-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.766.1153.9+21.696%
This opponent (Kufstein) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +8.6+8.6Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +6.2+6.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +8.6+8.6Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +6.2+6.2
KufsteinMistelbach
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KufsteinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Celovec
#11
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A13/01
Zweite Liga
Raiders Tirol
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A27/01
Zweite Liga
Steiermark
#14
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A03/02
Zweite Liga
Salzburg
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A10/02
Zweite Liga
Dornbirn Lions
#9
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H17/02
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H24/02
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#4
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H02/03
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A10/03
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H16/03
Zweite Liga
Mistelbach
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A23/03
Zweite Liga
80.6Avg total
43.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.179.4+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.735.981.5+9.887%-
Last 30 away (15)39.038.377.3+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)43.637.080.6+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.876.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.846.291.0-1.440%-
vs Similar (7)36.736.773.4+0.043%-
vs Weaker (17)44.234.979.2+9.388%-
This opponent (Mistelbach) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MistelbachLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gussing Blackbirds
#8
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H06/01
Zweite Liga
Upper Austrian Ballers
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A14/01
Zweite Liga
Vienna United
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A27/01
Zweite Liga
Dornbirn Lions
#9
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H03/02
Zweite Liga
Mattersburg
#4
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H10/02
Zweite Liga
Raiders Tirol
#7
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A17/02
Zweite Liga
Basket Flames
#13
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H24/02
Zweite Liga
Dornbirn Lions
#9
W
60-32
60
32
+28
H02/03
Zweite Liga
Dornbirn Lions
#9
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A09/03
Zweite Liga
Kufstein
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/03
Zweite Liga
88.1Avg total
51.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.934.777.6+8.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.633.480.0+13.175%-
Last 30 away (14)38.636.274.9+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)51.336.888.1+14.580%-
Last 5 (5)50.837.488.2+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.338.273.5-2.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.333.779.0+11.674%-
This opponent (Kufstein) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kufsteintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kufstein: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.024.6
54.7%
48.6%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.8
30.2%
30.4%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.2
72.8%
66.5%14.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mistelbachtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mistelbach: 96.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.828.1
64.2%
48.6%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.8
30.8%
30.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.616.4
66.7%
66.5%16.4
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kufstein
LWLWWWWWLW
Mistelbach
WWWWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
+17.6
Net rating
+39.9
105.4
Offensive rating
117.4
87.8
Defensive rating
77.5
51.6%
Effective FG%
57.6%
43.2%
Opp. effective FG%
40.2%
18.9%
Turnover %
19.4%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
38.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.2%
3-point %
30.8%
64.0%
Assist %
69.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 117.4Defence87.8 · 77.5Shooting51.6% · 57.6%3-point %30.2% · 30.8%Ball care18.9% · 19.4%Off. rebounds29.6% · 38.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Kufstein   ■ Mistelbach
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kufstein wins
4
Mistelbach wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24Mistelbach v Kufstein76-68
08/12/23Kufstein v Mistelbach64-65
15/10/22Mistelbach v Kufstein109-83
09/04/22Mistelbach v Kufstein110-70
26/03/22Kufstein v Mistelbach90-81
Kufsteinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AMistelbach68-76
16/03/24HMattersburg84-71
10/03/24AMattersburg64-76
02/03/24HMattersburg97-61
24/02/24HMattersburg79-67
17/02/24HDornbirn Lions129-89
10/02/24ASalzburg84-78
03/02/24ASteiermark84-50
27/01/24ARaiders Tirol67-77
13/01/24ACelovec86-59
Mistelbachlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HKufstein76-68
09/03/24ADornbirn Lions106-88
02/03/24HDornbirn Lions105-73
24/02/24HBasket Flames94-53
17/02/24ARaiders Tirol81-63
10/02/24HMattersburg94-54
03/02/24HDornbirn Lions128-89
27/01/24AVienna United70-65
14/01/24AUpper Austrian Ballers101-93 OT
06/01/24HGussing Blackbirds102-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kufstein
Zweite Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL61%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%82%42%
Points / game80.389.172.3
Allowed / game69.268.370.1
Point differential+11.1+20.8+2.2
Avg total149.6157.4142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%82%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mistelbach
Zweite Liga 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game88.595.280.4
Allowed / game66.063.668.8
Point differential+22.5+31.7+11.6
Avg total154.5158.8149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mistelbach2221195%88.566.0+22.5
2 Wagram2319483%77.163.7+13.4
3 Worthersee Piraten2216673%75.966.5+9.5
4 Mattersburg2214864%70.971.3-0.4
5 Kufstein2314961%80.369.2+11.1
6 Vienna United1911858%74.666.8+7.8
7 Raiders Tirol2112957%71.870.6+1.2
8 Gussing Blackbirds22121055%68.167.0+1.1
9 Dornbirn Lions2171433%76.384.5-8.1
10 Salzburg1961332%69.275.1-5.9
11 Celovec1951426%70.680.6-10.0
12 Upper Austrian Ballers1941521%77.983.3-5.3
13 Basket Flames1921711%63.284.8-21.6
14 Steiermark1921711%56.281.0-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kufstein159222672
Mistelbach1820122777
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