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Kyiv Basket vs Stariy Lutsk Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-86 (OT)
10-26 27-19 14-15 26-17 12-9
Position#2
Record-
FormWLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#7
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
UkraineFBU Superleague· Sports Palace Veneto
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kyiv Basket v Stariy Lutsk
06 Dec 2025
KYIV73
STAR69
01 Apr 2025
KYIV76
STAR70
09 Jan 2025
KYIV79
STAR66
16 Nov 2024
KYIV84
STAR74
03 Oct 2024
KYIV89
STAR86
19 Dec 2023
KYIV76
STAR60
01 Mar 2023
KYIV88
STAR57
22 Oct 2022
KYIV83
STAR42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kyiv Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stariy Lutsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kyiv BasketUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
BK Zaporozhye
#6
W
77-65
77
65
+12
73avg 71
H17/03
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#11
W
90-57
90
57
+33
87avg 71
H18/03
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
58avg 71
H19/03
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 71
H26/03
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
86avg 71
A30/03
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
W
86-65
86
65
+21
89avg 71
H03/04
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
43-77
43
77
-34
24avg 71
A07/04
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
72avg 71
H11/04
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
W
101-99 OT
101
99
+2
98avg 71
H19/04
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
W
110-90
110
90
+20
110avg 71
A23/04
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
16-22
18-13
22-14
23-19
30-9
22-14
15-15
23-21
17-15
12-20
20-19
24-23
21-15
15-13
24-22
11-21
20-16
24-17
16-17
17-17
25-19
24-16
20-13
10-17
9-21
11-17
13-22
21-21
21-19
16-25
20-16
30-14
16-27
13-22
21-17
33-20
28-19
24-31
25-20
161.7Avg total
83.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.678.1161.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)83.682.4166.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.073.0142.0-4.033%
vs Similar (9)78.480.8159.2-2.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)79.268.6147.8+10.678%
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLutsk
Date
Competition
Rivne
#3
L
58-77
58
77
-19
46avg 57
A25/01
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
55avg 57
A26/01
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
72avg 57
H05/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
62-68
62
68
-6
47avg 57
H06/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
74avg 57
A07/02
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#11
W
85-66
85
66
+19
75avg 57
H17/03
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
58avg 57
H18/03
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 57
H19/03
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
68-92
68
92
-24
53avg 57
A27/03
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
88avg 57
H31/03
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
14-25
11-15
16-19
26-17
11-18
17-15
17-15
28-19
17-20
23-18
18-24
13-20
17-12
16-15
16-21
22-21
16-16
17-21
21-16
25-16
25-8
16-16
19-26
19-18
19-26
22-28
9-25
12-15
19-23
30-16
13-16
13-17
18-20
24-31
13-24
24-27
25-27
21-20
20-17
152.0Avg total
73.9Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.978.1152.0-4.250%
Last 5 (5)77.283.2160.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)63.879.7143.5-15.817%
vs Similar (9)73.871.2145.0+2.667%
vs Weaker (3)75.764.3140.0+11.367%
This opponent (Kyiv Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -4.1-4.1
Kyiv BasketStariy Lutsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kyiv BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/03
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#11
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H18/03
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H19/03
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H26/03
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A30/03
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H03/04
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A07/04
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/04
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H19/04
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A23/04
FBU Superleague
78.7Avg total
41.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.776.0+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.235.276.5+6.081%-
Last 30 away (14)39.236.375.5+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.178.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.880.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.336.374.7+2.067%-
vs Similar (9)39.640.179.7-0.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.033.474.4+7.678%-
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rivne
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A25/01
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/01
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H05/02
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H06/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/02
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#11
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H17/03
FBU Superleague
BC Dnipro
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H18/03
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H19/03
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/03
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H31/03
FBU Superleague
76.3Avg total
38.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.438.072.4-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.339.375.6-3.025%-
Last 30 away (14)32.236.468.6-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)38.038.376.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.479.2+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.841.172.9-9.36%-
vs Similar (9)35.934.370.2+1.656%-
vs Weaker (3)45.730.075.7+15.7100%-
This opponent (Kyiv Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kyiv Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyiv Basket: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.4
52.5%
48.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.5
32.2%
30.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
69.8%16.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stariy Lutsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stariy Lutsk: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.3
49.2%
48.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.4
29.8%
30.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.011.1
69.4%
69.8%11.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kyiv Basket
WWLLWLWLWW
Stariy Lutsk
LLWLWWLWWL
#2
League position
#7
+8.8
Net rating
-4.8
115.4
Offensive rating
99.0
106.5
Defensive rating
103.8
51.0%
Effective FG%
47.5%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.2%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.2%
3-point %
29.8%
60.2%
Assist %
53.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 99.0Defence106.5 · 103.8Shooting51.0% · 47.5%3-point %32.2% · 29.8%Ball care17.8% · 19.2%Off. rebounds37.9% · 30.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Kyiv Basket   ■ Stariy Lutsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kyiv Basket wins
0
Stariy Lutsk wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/24ACherkaski Mavpy110-90
19/04/24HCherkaski Mavpy101-99 OT
11/04/24HRivne78-81
07/04/24ARivne43-77
03/04/24HGoverla86-65
30/03/24AGoverla95-99 OT
26/03/24HGoverla84-73
19/03/24HBC Dnipro72-75
18/03/24HKryvbas90-57
17/03/24HBK Zaporozhye77-65
Stariy Lutsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HRivne90-91
27/03/24ARivne68-92
19/03/24HBK Zaporozhye74-70
18/03/24HBC Dnipro69-97
17/03/24HKryvbas85-66
07/02/24ACherkaski Mavpy76-74
06/02/24HKyiv Basket62-68
05/02/24HBIPA86-81
26/01/24AGoverla71-65
25/01/24ARivne58-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kyiv Basket
FBU Superleague 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Stariy Lutsk
FBU Superleague 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rivne110100%84.065.0+19.0
2 Goverla1010%65.084.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Kyiv Basket102714261289
Stariy Lutsk26191517986
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