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Kyoto vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 71-85
19-19 15-25 17-21 20-20
Position#21
Record5-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#1
Record15-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game67.9
JapanB League· Kyoto City Gymnasium (Kyoto)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kyoto v Utsunomiya Brex
22 Jan 2027
KYOT v UTSU
upcoming
17 Dec 2023
KYOT86
UTSU83
16 Dec 2023
KYOT71
UTSU85
15 Dec 2019
KYOT58
UTSU78
14 Dec 2019
KYOT67
UTSU87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kyoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
57-91
57
91
-34
42avg 67
A04/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
71avg 67
A05/11
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
71-87
71
87
-16
65avg 67
H08/11
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
74-62
74
62
+12
75avg 67
H11/11
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 67
H12/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
87-82
87
82
+5
77avg 67
H02/12
B League
Toyama
#24
L
86-92
86
92
-6
69avg 67
H03/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
58avg 67
A06/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 67
H09/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
75-106
75
106
-31
72avg 67
H10/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-23
19-26
21-21
12-21
17-19
24-22
19-29
15-16
21-20
23-26
14-22
13-19
23-11
19-21
20-14
12-16
25-22
18-22
25-19
26-22
27-20
26-23
16-21
18-18
19-19
22-29
24-22
21-22
23-28
18-21
18-21
11-13
19-13
17-20
30-22
19-15
20-36
21-27
10-25
24-18
161.8Avg total
77.4Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.683.6159.3-8.026%
Season at home (12)75.282.4157.6-7.233%
Season away (7)76.485.7162.1-9.314%
Last 10 (10)77.484.4161.8-7.040%
Last 5 (5)80.686.6167.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.183.5156.5-10.421%
vs Similar (7)79.479.0158.4+0.457%
vs Weaker (4)85.081.5166.5+3.550%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
73-89
73
89
-16
62avg 70
H04/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
52avg 70
H05/11
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
74-44
74
44
+30
68avg 70
H08/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
85-60
85
60
+25
86avg 70
A11/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
80-51
80
51
+29
73avg 70
A12/11
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
86-53
86
53
+33
82avg 70
A02/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
76-57
76
57
+19
69avg 70
A03/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 70
H06/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
no box
H09/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
76-74
76
74
+2
74avg 70
H10/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
18-17
16-28
23-21
18-15
18-30
21-14
18-14
24-11
16-10
13-8
21-15
26-14
18-17
24-15
17-14
23-15
6-8
27-12
24-16
16-4
23-13
21-18
26-18
13-12
18-22
24-15
21-8
21-22
16-12
12-14
14-19
23-22
16-21
22-24
16-10
28-22
15-21
14-16
19-15
142.5Avg total
77.4Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.467.9145.3+9.579%
Season at home (9)77.871.8149.6+6.078%
Season away (10)77.064.4141.4+12.680%
Last 10 (10)77.465.1142.5+12.380%
Last 5 (5)77.466.8144.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.586.0171.5-0.550%
vs Similar (9)74.374.1148.4+0.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.665.6144.3+13.089%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.9+4.9
KyotoUtsunomiya Brex
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A04/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/11
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H08/11
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/11
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H12/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H02/12
B League
Toyama
#24
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H03/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A06/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H09/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
41-63
41
63
-22
H10/12
B League
85.4Avg total
40.6Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.879.8-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.440.779.1-2.442%-
Last 30 away (11)37.543.681.1-6.218%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.885.4-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.447.289.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.542.679.2-6.126%-
vs Similar (7)39.738.177.9+1.643%-
vs Weaker (4)42.244.286.5-2.050%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H05/11
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H08/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A11/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A12/11
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
39-17
39
17
+22
A02/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A03/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H10/12
B League
70.3Avg total
37.2Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.233.771.9+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.236.874.9+1.446%-
Last 30 away (17)38.231.369.5+6.976%-
Last 10 (10)37.233.170.3+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.272.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.040.579.5-1.50%-
vs Similar (9)36.233.970.1+2.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.132.871.9+6.274%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.8
53.8%
50.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.2
30.8%
33.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
72.0%12.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.3
52.1%
50.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.3
30.4%
33.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.610.3
66.0%
72.0%10.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kyoto
LWLLWWWLLL
Utsunomiya Brex
WWLWWWWWWL
#21
League position
#1
-8.8
Net rating
+17.3
106.1
Offensive rating
105.5
114.9
Defensive rating
88.1
50.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
42.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.8%
3-point %
30.4%
62.1%
Assist %
59.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 105.5Defence114.9 · 88.1Shooting50.6% · 49.1%3-point %30.8% · 30.4%Ball care17.5% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.7% · 32.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Kyoto   ■ Utsunomiya Brex
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kyoto wins
8
Utsunomiya Brex wins
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HShimane75-106
09/12/23HShimane85-70
06/12/23AHiroshima D.70-83
03/12/23HToyama86-92
02/12/23HToyama87-82
12/11/23HShinshu94-85
11/11/23HShinshu74-62
08/11/23HRyukyu71-87
05/11/23AHiroshima D.75-86
04/11/23AHiroshima D.57-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HBrave Thunders76-74
09/12/23HBrave Thunders86-83 OT
06/12/23HAkita63-67
03/12/23AYokohama76-57
02/12/23AYokohama86-53
12/11/23AToyama80-51
11/11/23AToyama85-60
08/11/23HHokkaido74-44
05/11/23HNeoPhoenix75-73
04/11/23HNeoPhoenix73-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kyoto
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL26%
HomeWWLWL33%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %26%33%14%
Points / game75.675.276.4
Allowed / game83.682.485.7
Point differential-8.0-7.2-9.3
Avg total159.3157.6162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%14%
Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %79%78%80%
Points / game77.477.877.0
Allowed / game67.971.864.4
Point differential+9.5+6.0+12.6
Avg total145.3149.6141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1916384%80.964.6+16.3
2 NeoPhoenix1916384%89.278.2+11.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex1915479%77.467.9+9.5
4 Ryukyu1915479%81.777.7+4.0
5 Diamond Dolphins1914574%83.378.7+4.6
6 Brave Thunders2014670%81.876.5+5.2
7 Nagasaki1912763%85.383.5+1.8
8 Shimane2012860%83.577.3+6.2
9 SeaHorses Mikawa1911858%82.477.6+4.8
10 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1911858%73.973.8+0.1
11 Chiba1911858%83.383.3+0.0
12 Hiroshima D.1910953%79.375.2+4.1
13 Saga1910953%74.373.3+1.0
14 Osaka2091145%77.579.5-2.0
15 Akita2091145%71.675.8-4.2
16 Sendai1981142%81.380.7+0.6
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya1981142%75.675.9-0.3
18 Gunma1981142%75.880.7-4.9
19 Yokohama1971237%76.081.5-5.5
20 Kyoto1951426%75.683.6-8.0
21 Hokkaido2041620%74.182.2-8.1
22 Shinshu2041620%75.283.9-8.8
23 Ibaraki Robots191185%74.686.3-11.6
24 Toyama191185%72.587.7-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kyoto1915172071
Utsunomiya Brex1925212085
← all games of the day
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