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Kyoto vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 86-83
20-32 19-19 24-20 23-12
Position#21
Record5-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game83.7
Kyoto 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#1
Record16-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game68.0
JapanB League· Kyoto City Gymnasium (Kyoto)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kyoto v Utsunomiya Brex
22 Jan 2027
KYOT v UTSU
upcoming
17 Dec 2023
KYOT86
UTSU83
16 Dec 2023
KYOT71
UTSU85
15 Dec 2019
KYOT58
UTSU78
14 Dec 2019
KYOT67
UTSU87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kyoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utsunomiya Brex winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
71avg 67
A05/11
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
71-87
71
87
-16
65avg 67
H08/11
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
74-62
74
62
+12
75avg 67
H11/11
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 67
H12/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
87-82
87
82
+5
77avg 67
H02/12
B League
Toyama
#24
L
86-92
86
92
-6
69avg 67
H03/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
58avg 67
A06/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 67
H09/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
75-106
75
106
-31
72avg 67
H10/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
64avg 67
H16/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
24-22
19-29
15-16
21-20
23-26
14-22
13-19
23-11
19-21
20-14
12-16
25-22
18-22
25-19
26-22
27-20
26-23
16-21
18-18
19-19
22-29
24-22
21-22
23-28
18-21
18-21
11-13
19-13
17-20
30-22
19-15
20-36
21-27
10-25
24-18
19-19
15-25
17-21
20-20
162.6Avg total
78.8Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.483.7159.1-8.325%
Season at home (13)74.882.6157.5-7.831%
Season away (7)76.485.7162.1-9.314%
Last 10 (10)78.883.8162.6-5.040%
Last 5 (5)77.487.2164.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.683.1155.6-10.521%
vs Similar (7)79.479.0158.4+0.457%
vs Weaker (4)85.081.5166.5+3.550%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
52avg 70
H05/11
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
74-44
74
44
+30
68avg 70
H08/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
85-60
85
60
+25
86avg 70
A11/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
80-51
80
51
+29
73avg 70
A12/11
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
86-53
86
53
+33
82avg 70
A02/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
76-57
76
57
+19
69avg 70
A03/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 70
H06/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
no box
H09/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
76-74
76
74
+2
74avg 70
H10/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
85-71
85
71
+14
82avg 70
A16/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
18-30
21-14
18-14
24-11
16-10
13-8
21-15
26-14
18-17
24-15
17-14
23-15
6-8
27-12
24-16
16-4
23-13
21-18
26-18
13-12
18-22
24-15
21-8
21-22
16-12
12-14
14-19
23-22
16-21
22-24
16-10
28-22
15-21
14-16
19-15
19-19
25-15
21-17
20-20
141.9Avg total
78.6Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.868.0145.8+9.780%
Season at home (9)77.871.8149.6+6.078%
Season away (11)77.765.0142.7+12.782%
Last 10 (10)78.663.3141.9+15.390%
Last 5 (5)77.270.4147.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.586.0171.5-0.550%
vs Similar (8)75.474.4149.8+1.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)79.065.9144.9+13.090%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.7+4.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.7+4.7
KyotoUtsunomiya Brex
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/11
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H08/11
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/11
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H12/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H02/12
B League
Toyama
#24
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H03/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A06/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H09/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
41-63
41
63
-22
H10/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H16/12
B League
85.9Avg total
41.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.679.5-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.140.979.0-2.840%-
Last 30 away (10)37.443.180.5-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)41.644.385.9-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.647.486.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.342.478.7-6.126%-
vs Similar (7)39.738.177.9+1.643%-
vs Weaker (4)42.244.286.5-2.050%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H05/11
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H08/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A11/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A12/11
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
39-17
39
17
+22
A02/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A03/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H10/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A16/12
B League
70.7Avg total
38.2Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.833.572.3+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.136.775.8+2.450%-
Last 30 away (18)38.631.470.0+7.178%-
Last 10 (10)38.232.570.7+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.040.579.5-1.50%-
vs Similar (8)37.433.470.8+4.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.332.972.2+6.475%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.5
54.4%
50.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.3
32.5%
33.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.212.5
68.7%
72.0%12.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.0
52.8%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.0
31.8%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.810.3
65.2%
72.0%10.3
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kyoto
LLWLLWWWLL
Utsunomiya Brex
WWWLWWWWWW
#21
League position
#1
-5.5
Net rating
+18.8
108.1
Offensive rating
107.2
113.6
Defensive rating
88.4
52.1%
Effective FG%
50.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.1%
18.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.5%
3-point %
31.8%
60.8%
Assist %
61.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 107.2Defence113.6 · 88.4Shooting52.1% · 50.4%3-point %32.5% · 31.8%Ball care18.4% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.3% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Kyoto   ■ Utsunomiya Brex
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kyoto wins
9
Utsunomiya Brex wins
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HUtsunomiya Brex71-85
10/12/23HShimane75-106
09/12/23HShimane85-70
06/12/23AHiroshima D.70-83
03/12/23HToyama86-92
02/12/23HToyama87-82
12/11/23HShinshu94-85
11/11/23HShinshu74-62
08/11/23HRyukyu71-87
05/11/23AHiroshima D.75-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AKyoto85-71
10/12/23HBrave Thunders76-74
09/12/23HBrave Thunders86-83 OT
06/12/23HAkita63-67
03/12/23AYokohama76-57
02/12/23AYokohama86-53
12/11/23AToyama80-51
11/11/23AToyama85-60
08/11/23HHokkaido74-44
05/11/23HNeoPhoenix75-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kyoto
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLWLL31%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %25%31%14%
Points / game75.474.876.4
Allowed / game83.782.685.7
Point differential-8.3-7.8-9.3
Avg total159.1157.5162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%14%
Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %80%78%82%
Points / game77.877.877.7
Allowed / game68.071.865.0
Point differential+9.7+6.0+12.7
Avg total145.8149.6142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2017385%80.464.5+15.9
2 NeoPhoenix2017385%90.079.0+10.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex2016480%77.868.0+9.7
4 Ryukyu2016480%81.777.5+4.2
5 Diamond Dolphins2014670%82.778.8+3.9
6 Brave Thunders2114767%80.976.0+4.9
7 Shimane2113862%84.177.4+6.7
8 SeaHorses Mikawa2012860%82.877.5+5.2
9 Nagasaki2012860%84.282.8+1.3
10 Chiba2011955%83.583.8-0.2
11 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2011955%74.274.5-0.3
12 Hiroshima D.20101050%79.075.5+3.5
13 Saga20101050%75.374.8+0.5
14 Sendai2091145%81.680.6+1.0
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya2091145%76.576.5-0.1
16 Osaka2091145%77.579.5-2.0
17 Akita2091145%71.675.8-4.2
18 Gunma2091145%75.780.0-4.2
19 Yokohama2081240%76.281.0-4.8
20 Kyoto2051525%75.483.7-8.3
21 Hokkaido2151624%73.781.2-7.6
22 Shinshu2141719%75.384.5-9.2
23 Ibaraki Robots201195%74.285.6-11.4
24 Toyama201195%72.887.8-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kyoto2019242386
Utsunomiya Brex3219201283
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