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La Rochelle vs Lille Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 65-63
18-20 13-11 17-14 17-18
Position#1
Record22-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game70.5
La Rochelle 🏆
France
vs
Lille
France
Position#10
Record13-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game74.7
FrancePro BRound 27· Salle Gaston Neveur
Other2023-24
Meetings · La Rochelle v Lille
29 Mar 2024
LRO65
LILL63
09 Dec 2022
LRO81
LILL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Rochelle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lille winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Orleans
#4
W
74-58
74
58
+16
70avg 88
A26/01
Pro B
Evreux
#17
W
79-70
79
70
+9
92avg 88
H30/01
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
79-66
79
66
+13
88avg 88
H02/02
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
64-61
64
61
+3
71avg 88
A09/02
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
70-73
70
73
-3
85avg 88
A13/02
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
83-66
83
66
+17
85avg 88
H01/03
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
79-56
79
56
+23
77avg 88
A08/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
87-73
87
73
+14
102avg 88
H15/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
76-64
76
64
+12
92avg 88
H22/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
77avg 88
A26/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
10-19
17-8
21-7
21-17
21-17
16-17
21-19
20-17
24-18
15-18
20-13
18-9
14-18
22-18
10-16
22-18
19-23
14-11
15-21
20-15
19-14
23-18
21-19
20-13
19-12
16-13
24-18
22-23
31-15
21-13
13-22
27-12
20-17
13-18
16-17
23-14
13-11
16-20
17-27
141.9Avg total
76.0Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.170.5150.6+9.685%
Season at home (13)83.169.6152.7+13.5100%
Season away (13)77.271.4148.5+5.869%
Last 10 (10)76.065.9141.9+10.180%
Last 5 (5)78.866.2145.0+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)71.061.0132.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)80.771.7152.4+9.082%
This opponent (Lille) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LilleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLille
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
79-80
79
80
-1
66avg 82
H26/01
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
55-66
55
66
-11
69avg 82
A30/01
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
no box
H02/02
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
64-80
64
80
-16
78avg 82
H06/02
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
70-68
70
68
+2
84avg 82
A09/02
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
64-52
64
52
+12
61avg 82
H01/03
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
77-85
77
85
-8
65avg 82
A08/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
100avg 82
H15/03
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
77-74
77
74
+3
84avg 82
A22/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
87-66
87
66
+21
103avg 82
H26/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
13-20
22-27
25-15
21-16
13-15
11-13
10-22
17-23
14-19
35-17
12-19
14-18
19-20
21-26
10-16
18-16
17-12
18-20
17-20
19-15
12-16
16-10
17-11
30-35
13-13
23-18
11-19
30-28
18-21
18-20
21-15
21-17
24-24
11-12
21-21
31-10
23-17
15-15
18-24
148.0Avg total
74.2Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.774.7149.3+0.050%
Season at home (13)72.272.8145.0-0.746%
Season away (13)77.276.5153.6+0.754%
Last 10 (10)74.273.8148.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)78.472.2150.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)63.774.3138.0-10.733%
vs Similar (22)75.575.9151.5-0.441%
vs Weaker (3)82.074.3156.3+7.7100%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
La RochelleLille
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/01
Pro B
Evreux
#17
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H30/01
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/02
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A09/02
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/02
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H01/03
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A08/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A26/03
Pro B
73.5Avg total
40.9Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.176.5+6.280%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.035.179.1+8.993%-
Last 30 away (15)38.735.173.9+3.667%-
Last 10 (10)40.932.673.5+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.829.272.0+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.023.063.0+17.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.135.576.6+5.679%-
This opponent (Lille) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H26/01
Pro B
Vichy
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A30/01
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H02/02
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H06/02
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A09/02
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H01/03
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A08/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H15/03
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A22/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H26/03
Pro B
75.9Avg total
38.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.578.0+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.437.975.4-0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)42.039.181.1+2.971%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.375.9+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.283.4+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.739.374.0-4.767%-
vs Similar (22)39.338.577.7+0.850%-
vs Weaker (3)43.039.082.0+4.067%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.4
48.3%
51.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.4
32.9%
33.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.015.1
79.5%
72.2%15.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lille: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.316.1
44.4%
51.1%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.9
38.7%
33.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.410.8
62.1%
72.2%10.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Rochelle
LWWWWLWWWW
Lille
WWWLWWLLLL
#1
League position
#10
+13.1
Net rating
+1.5
99.1
Offensive rating
101.2
86.0
Defensive rating
99.7
48.8%
Effective FG%
50.0%
41.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
19.2%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.9%
3-point %
38.7%
69.8%
Assist %
65.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 101.2Defence86.0 · 99.7Shooting48.8% · 50.0%3-point %32.9% · 38.7%Ball care16.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds19.2% · 30.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ La Rochelle   ■ Lille
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
La Rochelle wins
3
Lille wins
DateGameScore
27/10/23Lille v La Rochelle74-71
23/04/23Lille v La Rochelle102-76
09/12/22La Rochelle v Lille81-85
La Rochellelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24AAntibes69-72
22/03/24HOrleans76-64
15/03/24HChalons-Reims87-73
08/03/24AAngers79-56
01/03/24HDenain-Voltaire83-66
13/02/24ABoulazac70-73
09/02/24ASt. Chamond64-61
02/02/24HRouen79-66
30/01/24HEvreux79-70
26/01/24AOrleans74-58
Lillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24HDenain-Voltaire87-66
22/03/24AAngers77-74
15/03/24HAntibes87-84
08/03/24ANantes77-85
01/03/24HBoulazac64-52
09/02/24AChalons-Reims70-68
06/02/24HASA64-80
02/02/24HFos-sur-Mer82-83 OT
30/01/24AVichy55-66
26/01/24HChalons-Reims79-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Rochelle
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %85%100%69%
Points / game80.183.177.2
Allowed / game70.569.671.4
Point differential+9.6+13.5+5.8
Avg total150.6152.7148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%69%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Lille
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLWWW46%
AwayWLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%46%54%
Points / game74.772.277.2
Allowed / game74.772.876.5
Point differential+0.0-0.7+0.7
Avg total149.3145.0153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle2622485%80.170.5+9.6
2 Vichy2519676%85.278.0+7.2
3 Boulazac2618869%78.875.0+3.8
4 Rouen27171063%84.381.6+2.7
5 Orleans26161062%79.979.3+0.5
6 Poitiers27151256%81.981.2+0.7
7 Pau-Orthez26131350%79.278.0+1.2
8 Lille26131350%74.774.7+0.0
9 Chalons-Reims26121446%79.378.0+1.3
10 ASA26121446%76.277.5-1.3
11 Nantes27121544%80.281.7-1.5
12 St. Chamond26111542%81.681.9-0.3
13 Antibes26111542%79.882.6-2.8
14 Aix Maurienne26101638%80.284.3-4.1
15 Denain-Voltaire26101638%75.880.5-4.7
16 Evreux2691735%78.482.2-3.7
17 Fos-sur-Mer2681831%77.880.3-2.5
18 Angers2671927%80.286.1-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
La Rochelle1813171765
Lille2011141863
← all games of the day
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