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Lille vs Fos-sur-Mer Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-83 (OT)
17-23 14-19 35-17 12-19 4-5
Position#10
Record8-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#16
Record4-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game81.6
FrancePro BRound 19· Palais des sports Saint-Sauveur
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lille v Fos-sur-Mer
02 Feb 2024
LILL82
FSM83
07 May 2021
LILL75
FSM80
10 Apr 2020
LILL v FSM
upcoming
01 Dec 2017
LILL69
FSM67
24 Mar 2017
LILL62
FSM48
26 May 2016
LILL80
FSM88
11 Dec 2015
LILL66
FSM73
23 Jan 2015
LILL92
FSM90
22 Nov 2013
LILL75
FSM73
28 Sep 2012
LILL84
FSM71
16 May 2012
LILL66
FSM75
15 Apr 2011
LILL68
FSM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lille winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fos-sur-Mer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LilleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLille
Date
Competition
Vichy
#2
L
62-86
62
86
-24
68avg 82
H01/12
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
75avg 82
A08/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
L
56-68
56
68
-12
52avg 82
H15/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
87avg 82
A19/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
86-69
86
69
+17
103avg 82
A22/12
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
66-70
66
70
-4
79avg 82
H27/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
71-79
71
79
-8
81avg 82
A12/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
77-69
77
69
+8
87avg 82
A19/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
79-80
79
80
-1
66avg 82
H26/01
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
55-66
55
66
-11
69avg 82
A30/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
12-28
21-17
18-18
15-26
22-21
18-22
10-13
12-21
20-15
12-14
12-18
15-14
23-13
11-20
19-23
20-19
33-17
16-15
17-18
18-11
18-23
16-19
14-17
13-24
23-18
13-20
22-17
24-19
13-29
21-12
19-9
19-18
13-20
22-27
25-15
21-16
13-15
11-13
10-22
142.4Avg total
68.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.174.9149.0-0.944%
Season at home (8)69.272.8142.0-3.538%
Season away (10)77.976.7154.6+1.250%
Last 10 (10)68.573.9142.4-5.420%
Last 5 (5)69.672.8142.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.774.3138.0-10.733%
vs Similar ◀ (22)77.779.0156.7-1.341%
vs Weaker (3)82.078.3160.3+3.767%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#12
L
76-97
76
97
-21
90avg 78
A01/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
89avg 78
H08/12
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
55-76
55
76
-21
49avg 78
A15/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
77-89
77
89
-12
87avg 78
H19/12
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
70-82
70
82
-12
86avg 78
A22/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
82-84
82
84
-2
98avg 78
H27/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
70-74
70
74
-4
55avg 78
A12/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
91-98
91
98
-7
99avg 78
H19/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
no box
H26/01
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
76-52
76
52
+24
74avg 78
A30/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
14-17
24-30
12-21
23-12
15-24
18-23
18-22
21-22
13-17
4-21
17-16
22-21
17-28
12-21
26-19
24-17
12-21
14-21
20-23
21-18
13-21
20-23
28-22
20-17
16-20
22-12
12-25
25-26
24-25
21-24
21-23
19-21
20-19
17-19
24-21
19-9
18-20
20-10
19-13
159.1Avg total
76.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.781.6158.2-4.922%
Season at home (9)79.784.4164.1-4.822%
Season away (9)73.778.7152.3-5.022%
Last 10 (10)76.183.0159.1-6.910%
Last 5 (5)81.881.0162.8+0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.083.5158.5-8.517%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.281.5159.8-3.225%
vs Weaker (1)88.092.0180.0-4.00%
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
LilleFos-sur-Mer
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vichy
#2
L
23-51
23
51
-28
H01/12
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H15/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A19/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A22/12
Pro B
Nantes
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H27/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A12/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A19/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H26/01
Pro B
Vichy
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A30/01
Pro B
74.8Avg total
35.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.878.8+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.437.175.5+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.640.582.1+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.074.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.673.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.739.374.0-4.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)40.038.678.6+1.455%-
vs Weaker (3)42.041.383.3+0.733%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A01/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/12
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H19/12
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A22/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H27/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H19/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H26/01
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A30/01
Pro B
78.6Avg total
38.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.677.6-1.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.538.276.7+0.333%-
Last 30 away (15)37.541.178.5-3.620%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.478.6-2.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.041.278.2-4.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.539.678.1-1.138%-
vs Weaker (1)32.038.070.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lille: 67.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.416.4
42.7%
51.1%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.1
35.7%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.110.2
63.4%
72.2%10.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.0
48.6%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.5
37.3%
33.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.113.9
69.2%
72.2%13.9
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lille
LLWLLWLLLL
Fos-sur-Mer
WLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#16
-8.1
Net rating
-10.4
91.3
Offensive rating
98.8
99.4
Defensive rating
109.2
46.7%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
21.3%
Turnover %
21.2%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.7%
3-point %
37.3%
69.8%
Assist %
64.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 98.8Defence99.4 · 109.2Shooting46.7% · 51.2%3-point %35.7% · 37.3%Ball care21.3% · 21.2%Off. rebounds26.1% · 25.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Lille   ■ Fos-sur-Mer
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lille wins
4
Fos-sur-Mer wins
DateGameScore
20/10/23Fos-sur-Mer v Lille84-95
14/05/21Fos-sur-Mer v Lille69-77
07/05/21Lille v Fos-sur-Mer75-80
26/10/19Fos-sur-Mer v Lille74-79
16/03/18Fos-sur-Mer v Lille70-75 OT
01/12/17Lille v Fos-sur-Mer69-67
24/03/17Lille v Fos-sur-Mer62-48
02/12/16Fos-sur-Mer v Lille89-60
26/05/16Lille v Fos-sur-Mer80-88
24/05/16Fos-sur-Mer v Lille69-68
Lillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24AVichy55-66
26/01/24HChalons-Reims79-80
19/01/24AAix Maurienne77-69
12/01/24AAntibes71-79
27/12/23HNantes66-70
22/12/23ADenain-Voltaire86-69
19/12/23ABoulazac68-70
15/12/23HPoitiers56-68
08/12/23APau-Orthez65-82
01/12/23HVichy62-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24AASA76-52
26/01/24HPau-Orthez90-97 OT
19/01/24HChalons-Reims91-98
12/01/24ADenain-Voltaire70-74
27/12/23HAntibes82-84
22/12/23ANantes70-82
19/12/23HASA77-89
15/12/23ALa Rochelle55-76
08/12/23HOrleans74-81
01/12/23ASt. Chamond76-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lille
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game74.169.277.9
Allowed / game74.972.876.7
Point differential-0.9-3.5+1.2
Avg total149.0142.0154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%22%22%
Points / game76.779.773.7
Allowed / game81.684.478.7
Point differential-4.9-4.8-5.0
Avg total158.2164.1152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle1816289%82.072.3+9.7
2 Vichy1814478%84.676.9+7.7
3 Boulazac1914574%81.875.7+6.2
4 Rouen1811761%83.579.8+3.7
5 Pau-Orthez1810856%79.677.4+2.2
6 Orleans1810856%81.680.9+0.7
7 Nantes1910953%79.380.1-0.8
8 Poitiers189950%79.680.8-1.3
9 St. Chamond1881044%82.981.6+1.3
10 Lille1881044%74.174.9-0.9
11 Antibes1881044%81.282.4-1.2
12 Denain-Voltaire1881044%77.380.3-3.1
13 Chalons-Reims1871139%79.280.2-1.0
14 ASA1871139%75.178.2-3.1
15 Evreux1871139%77.681.0-3.4
16 Aix Maurienne1871139%78.484.1-5.7
17 Angers1851328%81.687.9-6.3
18 Fos-sur-Mer1841422%76.781.6-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Lille17143512482
Fos-sur-Mer23191719583
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